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Mueller Water Products, Inc.(MWA)

$21.89—

WatchlistAsk AI Chart

Mueller Water Products, Inc.(MWA)

NYSEAbout this data

$21.89—

WatchlistAsk AI Chart Studio

MWA(MWA)

MWA

10/6/26

Mueller Water Products (MWA)

Tuesday

3:52 PM

ThesisMueller Water Products: the story is balanced — Municipal capital spending announcements and federal/state infrastructure funding allocations (IIJA…

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$1.4B	$1.5B	$1.5B
Rev. Growth	+8.7%	+3.2%	+2.4%
EPS	$1.23	$1.57	$1.59
EPS Growth	+66.2%	+27.6%	+1.2%
P/E (fwd)	17.8×	13.9×	13.8×

★ Analysts see FY2026 revenue reaching $1.5B — +3.2% growth in a single year.

What Moves the Stock

01Municipal capital spending announcements and federal/state infrastructure funding allocations (IIJA, state revolving funds)
02Raw material cost trends, particularly ductile iron scrap prices and brass/copper costs which impact gross margins by 200-300 basis points per 10% commodity move
03Smart meter adoption rates and AMI system deployments by large municipal utilities (contracts typically $5-20M over 3-5 years)
04Lead service line replacement mandates and EPA regulatory changes driving demand for lead-free brass products
05Acquisition activity in fragmented water infrastructure market and margin expansion from operational efficiency initiatives
06Infrastructure products (~75% of revenue): fire hydrants, gate valves, butterfly valves, pipe repair clamps, and brass fittings sold to municipal water utilities and contractors
07Technologies segment (~25% of revenue): smart water meters, AMI/AMR systems, leak detection equipment, and SaaS-based water analytics platforms
08Aftermarket parts and service revenue from installed base of metering systems and infrastructure products

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $1.4B
Rev. Growth: +8.7%
Gross Margin: 36.1%
Op. Margin: 18.2%
Net Margin: 13.4%
Net Income: $192M
NI Growth: +65.4%
EPS: $1.23
1Y Return: -14.9%

MWA Chart

My Notes

value - The stock trades at 14.2x EV/EBITDA with 3.7% FCF yield, attracting value investors seeking exposure to infrastructure spending…
Municipal bond financing costs directly impact water utility capital budgets, as most infrastructure projects are funded through tax-exempt…
Watch on earnings: HOUST (Housing Starts) - leading indicator for new water connection demand and residential infrastructure spending, Municipal bond issuance volumes and Build America Bond spreads - proxy for utility financing capacity, Copper and brass scrap prices (COMEX HG futures) - direct input cost representing 15-20% of Infrastructure segment COGS.

One Sentence Summary:

Mueller Water Products: the story is balanced — municipal capital spending announcements and federal/state infrastructure funding allocations (iija, state revolving funds).

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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Metric

FY2025

FY2026E

FY2027E

P/E (fwd)

17.8×

13.9×

13.8×

What Moves the Stock

01Municipal capital spending announcements and federal/state infrastructure funding allocations (IIJA, state revolving funds)

02Raw material cost trends, particularly ductile iron scrap prices and brass/copper costs which impact gross margins by 200-300 basis points per 10% commodity move

03Smart meter adoption rates and AMI system deployments by large municipal utilities (contracts typically $5-20M over 3-5 years)

04Lead service line replacement mandates and EPA regulatory changes driving demand for lead-free brass products

05Acquisition activity in fragmented water infrastructure market and margin expansion from operational efficiency initiatives

06Infrastructure products (~75% of revenue): fire hydrants, gate valves, butterfly valves, pipe repair clamps, and brass fittings sold to municipal water utilities and contractors

07Technologies segment (~25% of revenue): smart water meters, AMI/AMR systems, leak detection equipment, and SaaS-based water analytics platforms

08Aftermarket parts and service revenue from installed base of metering systems and infrastructure products

My Notes

value - The stock trades at 14.2x EV/EBITDA with 3.7% FCF yield, attracting value investors seeking exposure to infrastructure spending…

Municipal bond financing costs directly impact water utility capital budgets, as most infrastructure projects are funded through tax-exempt…

Watch on earnings: HOUST (Housing Starts) - leading indicator for new water connection demand and residential infrastructure spending, Municipal bond issuance volumes and Build America Bond spreads - proxy for utility financing capacity, Copper and brass scrap prices (COMEX HG futures) - direct input cost representing 15-20% of Infrastructure segment COGS.