Retail volume trends in refrigerated salad dressing category and market share gains/losses versus Ken's and Kraft
Input cost inflation for key commodities (soybean oil, eggs, dairy) and ability to pass through pricing to retailers
Foodservice channel recovery and penetration with restaurant chains and institutional buyers
New product innovation success in adjacent refrigerated categories (hummus, veggie dips, specialty sauces)
low-to-moderate - Packaged foods are defensive with stable demand during recessions, but Marzetti's premium positioning (refrigerated vs shelf-stable) creates modest sensitivity to consumer trade-down behavior. Foodservice exposure (~15-20% of sales) links performance to restaurant traffic and away-from-home dining trends. Retail grocery channel provides stability, but private label switching risk increases during economic stress when consumers prioritize value over brand.
Low direct sensitivity given minimal debt (0.08 D/E ratio) and strong balance sheet. Rising rates have modest negative impact through higher discount rates applied to valuation multiples (currently 14.4x EV/EBITDA). Consumer financing costs don't materially affect grocery purchasing behavior for staple categories. Primary rate impact is through broader consumer confidence and discretionary spending affecting foodservice channel.
Shift toward health-conscious eating and plant-based diets reducing demand for traditional salad dressings and butter-based frozen breads
Retail grocery consolidation increasing buyer power and pressure on trade spending and shelf space allocation
Cold-chain infrastructure costs rising with energy inflation and sustainability requirements for refrigeration
value - The stock trades at reasonable multiples (2.3x P/S, 14.4x EV/EBITDA) with defensive characteristics, strong FCF generation (4.6% yield), and minimal leverage attracting value-oriented investors seeking stable cash flows. Recent underperformance (-15.4% over 1 year) suggests potential value opportunity if operational execution improves. Dividend potential exists given strong cash generation and low capex needs, though not explicitly disclosed in available data.
1 signal unavailable — limited data for this stock
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $1.9B $1.9B–$1.9B | — | $6.28 | — | ±1% | Low2 |
FY2025 | $1.9B $1.9B–$1.9B | ▲ +0.7% | $6.71 | ▲ +6.8% | ±1% | Moderate3 |
FY2026(current) | $1.9B $1.9B–$1.9B | ▲ +1.9% | $6.81 | ▲ +1.5% | ±1% | Moderate3 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
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| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MZTI◀ | $114.01 | -0.33% | $3.1B | 17.7 | +199.6% | 876.6% | 1500 |
| $131.45 | +0.00% | $1.0T | — | +472.5% | — | 1520 | |
| $1048.95 | +0.74% | $465.4B | 54.5 | +816.7% | 294.3% | 1508 | |
| $80.82 | +0.00% | $347.7B | 25.4 | — | — | 1509 | |
| $141.57 | +0.00% | $329.7B | 20.5 | — | — | 1484 | |
| $189.61 | -1.17% | $295.5B | 26.7 | +731.3% | 2791.8% | 1509 | |
| $149.12 | +0.30% | $203.8B | 23.3 | — | — | 1489 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.07% | — | 28.0 | +555.0% | 1320.9% | 1503 |