NEXN
Next earnings: Aug 13, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-4.83%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.4× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 62Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
8.08
Open
7.88
Day Range7.54 – 8.09
7.54
8.09
52W Range5.60 – 12.00
5.60
12.00
33% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
329.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
18.8x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-4.83%
5D
+0.65%
1M
+6.07%
3M
+26.07%
6M
+19.60%
YTD
+17.58%
1Y
-33.71%
Best: 3M (+26.07%)Worst: 1Y (-33.71%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
72% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 19x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.3 · FCF $1.84/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$428.49M
Revenue TTM$364.78M
Net Income TTM$25.04M
Free Cash Flow$103.78M
Gross Margin71.9%
Net Margin6.9%
Operating Margin8.9%
Return on Equity5.2%
Return on Assets3.3%
Debt / Equity0.07
Current Ratio1.29
EPS TTM$0.44
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Digital advertising market growth rates, particularly CTV/streaming video adoption which represents the fastest-growing segment

Platform transaction volume and take-rate trends - any compression in take-rates signals competitive pressure from larger platforms

Market share gains or losses versus Trade Desk, Google DV360, and Amazon Advertising in programmatic CTV

Customer concentration risk and retention rates for top advertisers and publishers

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Advertising spending is highly cyclical and typically among the first budgets cut during economic downturns. Digital ad spend correlates strongly with GDP growth, corporate profit margins, and consumer discretionary spending. Programmatic advertising is particularly sensitive as performance marketing budgets (vs brand spending) get scrutinized more closely during recessions. The company's 10.1% revenue growth amid moderating economic conditions suggests some resilience, but any recession would likely pressure growth rates significantly.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Nexxen through multiple channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable/low-margin growth companies, (2) Reduced venture capital and private equity funding for digital-native advertisers (DTC brands, apps, gaming) who are key programmatic buyers, (3) Slower consumer spending reduces advertiser ROI and budget allocations. The company's strong cash generation (67.5% FCF yield) provides some buffer, but growth expectations drive the stock more than current cash flows.

Key Risks

Privacy regulation and cookie deprecation - Chrome's eventual phase-out of third-party cookies (timeline uncertain as of February 2026) threatens targeting capabilities and could reduce platform effectiveness versus walled gardens with first-party data

Disintermediation risk - Large advertisers and publishers increasingly building direct relationships or using in-house technology, reducing need for independent ad-tech intermediaries

Walled garden dominance - Google, Meta, Amazon control majority of digital ad spend with closed ecosystems, limiting addressable market for independent platforms

Investor Profile

value/special situations - The extreme valuation disconnect (0.5x sales, 1.1x EV/EBITDA, 67.5% FCF yield) attracts deep value investors betting on mean reversion, potential M&A, or turnaround. The 44% one-year decline and small market cap ($200M) suggest significant retail capitulation and limited institutional coverage. Not suitable for growth-at-any-price investors given decelerating revenue growth. Distressed/activist investors may see opportunity to unlock value through operational improvements or strategic sale.

Watch on Earnings
US digital advertising spending growth rate (IAB/eMarketer reports) - leading indicator for industry demandCTV advertising market share data and streaming platform inventory availabilityTrade Desk revenue growth and guidance as bellwether for independent programmatic platformsConsumer sentiment and retail sales trends - proxy for advertiser demand and budget allocations
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
55/100
Liquidity
1.29Watch
Leverage
0.07Strong
Coverage
14.7xStrong
ROE
5.2%Concern
ROIC
4.3%Concern
Cash
$133MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE11 analysts
BUY
+30.0%upside to target
Buy
1091%
Hold
19%
10 Buy (91%)1 Hold (9%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 62 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.29
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 74.8%

+6.3% vs SMA 50 · +85.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI61.8
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.21
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$12.00+56.0%
Current
$7.69
EMA 50
$7.44-3.3%
52W Low
$5.60-27.2%
EMA 200
$4.18-45.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$5.6033th %ile$12.00
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:1
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)327K
Recent Vol (5D)
394K+21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$354.8M
$350.9M$360.1M
$0.95
±2%
High5
FY2026(current)
$390.1M
$385.7M$395.8M
+9.9%$1.05+10.4%
±2%
High5
FY2027
$421.0M
$416.3M$427.2M
+7.9%$1.21+14.8%
±2%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNEXN
Last 8Q
+45.0%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
Q3'24
+27%
Q4'24
+50%
Q1'25
+167%
Q2'25
+53%
Q3'25
-9%
Q4'25
+22%
Q1'26
+50%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
NeedhamOverweight
May 12
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
May 5
UPGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Mithaq Capital SPC
17.3M
2
RICE HALL JAMES & ASSOCIATES, LLC
2.1M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
1.7M
4
Rock Point Advisors, LLC
1.0M
5
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
956K
6
MORGAN STANLEY
579K
7
Lombard Odier Asset Management (USA) Corp
489K
8
STATE STREET CORP
488K
News & Activity

NEXN News

About

No description available.

CEO
Ofer Druker
Country
Israel
Caroline SmithVice President of Communications
William EckertVice President of Investor Relations
PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NEXN
$7.69-4.83%$428M17.3-19.1%686.5%1500
$396.78-1.07%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1523
$393.32-0.97%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$614.23-0.68%$1.6T22.1+2216.7%3008.4%1501
$87.02+0.09%$366.4B27.5+1585.1%2430.4%1479
$185.22-1.58%$200.4B19.3+848.8%1244.7%1485
$46.37-1.47%$193.6B11.2+252.5%1242.8%1505
Sector avg-1.50%22.5+1129.9%2167.5%1502