NP
Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.41%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 40Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
24.81
Open
24.83
Day Range24.38 – 25.42
24.38
25.42
52W Range14.78 – 33.24
14.78
33.24
52% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
419.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-135.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.06%
Beta
0.75
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.41%
5D
-7.63%
1M
-5.60%
3M
-1.49%
6M
-3.78%
YTD
-16.12%
1Y
-1.37%
Worst: YTD (-16.12%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
65% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $0.40/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.32B
Revenue TTM$123.63M
Net Income TTM$34.82M
Free Cash Flow$55.78M
Gross Margin65.1%
Net Margin28.2%
Operating Margin56.0%
Return on Equity-11.4%
Return on Assets40.8%
Debt / Equity-1.06
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$0.25
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) bookings and customer logo additions, particularly Tier 1 insurance carriers

Revenue retention rates (gross and net dollar retention) indicating platform stickiness and upsell success

Operating margin expansion trajectory as the company scales toward Rule of 40 efficiency (growth rate + FCF margin)

Product release velocity for new modules (e.g., telematics integration, parametric insurance capabilities) expanding TAM

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Insurance carrier IT spending exhibits defensive characteristics (regulatory compliance and operational efficiency are non-discretionary), but new policy volume growth and carriers' profitability drive budget expansion. During recessions, carriers may delay digital transformation projects, though cost-reduction mandates can accelerate cloud migration from legacy systems. The company's 40.6% growth suggests it's still in land-grab phase where market share gains offset macro headwinds. Commercial insurance pricing cycles (hard vs soft markets) indirectly impact carrier profitability and willingness to invest in technology.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed impact: (1) NEGATIVE for valuation - high-growth SaaS multiples compress as discount rates rise (explaining recent 22% stock decline despite strong fundamentals), (2) POSITIVE for customer demand - higher rates improve insurance carriers' investment income on float, expanding IT budgets, (3) NEGATIVE for financing costs if Neptune carries variable-rate debt, though -0.37 D/E ratio suggests minimal debt burden. The 15.4x P/S multiple is vulnerable to further multiple compression if 10-year yields continue rising above 4.5%.

Key Risks

Incumbent vendor entrenchment - Guidewire and Duck Creek control 60%+ of P&C core systems market with deep carrier relationships and decades of regulatory expertise, creating high barriers to displacement

Regulatory complexity - Insurance is state-regulated in the US with 50+ jurisdictions requiring localized compliance, creating ongoing R&D burden and limiting international expansion leverage

Consolidation risk - Insurance carrier M&A could reduce total addressable customer count and create platform rationalization decisions favoring incumbents

Investor Profile

growth - The 40.6% revenue growth, 15.4x P/S valuation, and high operating margins attract growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors seeking exposure to digital transformation in insurance. The 22% YTD decline has likely shaken out momentum investors, leaving long-term holders focused on Rule of 40 trajectory and market share gains. Negative ROE and minimal FCF deter value investors and income-focused funds. Institutional ownership likely concentrated in technology-focused funds and InsurTech thematic ETFs.

Watch on Earnings
US insurance industry combined ratio (loss ratio + expense ratio) as proxy for carrier profitability and IT budget capacityEnterprise software spending trends in financial services vertical (Gartner IT spending forecasts)10-year Treasury yield (GS10) as primary driver of SaaS valuation multiples and discount rate assumptionsInsurance M&A activity volume indicating potential customer consolidation or market disruption
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
46/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
-1.06Strong
Coverage
3.6xWatch
ROE
-11.4%Concern
ROIC
56.2%Strong
Cash
$8MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE11 analysts
BUY
+14.5%upside to target
L $20.00
Med $28.00consensus
H $32.50
Buy
764%
Hold
436%
7 Buy (64%)4 Hold (36%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 40 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 300.0%

+47.4% vs SMA 50 · +489.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI40.5
Momentum fading
MACD-0.21
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$33.23+35.9%
EMA 50
$24.62+0.7%
Current
$24.46
52W Low
$14.78-39.6%
EMA 200
$6.34-74.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$14.7852th %ile$33.23
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:9
Dist days:5
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)283K
Recent Vol (5D)
327K+15%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 16 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.1B
$844.5M$1.3B
$1.09
±27%
High16
FY2025
$155.3M
$154.9M$155.6M
-85.3%$0.38-65.0%
±6%
High8
FY2026(current)
$195.9M
$194.4M$198.9M
+26.2%$0.53+39.6%
±4%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNP
Last 8Q
+6.0%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
-12%
Q4'21
-17%
Q1'22
+66%
Q2'22
-1%
Q4'25
+11%
Q1'26
+1%
Q1'26
Q2'26
-1%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d30
Bank of America Sec…Neutral
Feb 20
UPGRADE
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Outperform
Feb 19
UPGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform → Outperform
Feb 13
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
Burgess Trevor RDir
$935K
Mar 13
BUY
Vostrizansky Michae…Dir
$494K
Feb 20
BUY
Steiner JamesDir
$2.4M
Oct 2
BUY
Carlon Jonathan Win…Dir
$100K
Oct 2
BUY
Burgess Trevor RDir
$1.0M
Oct 2
BUY
Ftv Vii, L.p.10 Percent Own…
$12.7M
Oct 1
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
433K
2
FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
63K
3
SeaBridge Investment Advisors LLC
25K
4
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
15K
5
Linden Thomas Advisory Services, LLC
12K
6
KLP KAPITALFORVALTNING AS
5K
7
Financial Management Professionals, Inc.
684
8
Farther Finance Advisors, LLC
58
News & Activity

NP News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Neenah is committed to manufacturing growth for its customers, end users, shareholders and employees. With manufacturing facilities in the United States, Europe and the United Kingdom, the company is a leading global manufacturer of specialty materials serving customers across six continents, with headquarters in Alpharetta, GA. IT's focused on growing in filtration media, specialty coatings, custom-engineered materials and premium packaging. The materials are found in a variety of products used every day, such as transportation and water filters, premium packaging of spirits, technology and beauty products, industrial labels, tapes and abrasives and digital printing for high-end apparel.

Industry
Pulp Mills
James SteinerCFO, Secretary & Director
Matthew DuffyPresident & Chief Risk Officer of Neptune Flood
Kate StillwellPresident of Parametric Insurance
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NP
$24.46-1.41%$2.3B97.1+3374.0%2344.9%1500
$401.61+0.99%$2.1T30.6+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$90.13-1.98%$309.8B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$133.27+1.35%$309.3B23.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$183.46-0.69%$284.4B27.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$144.62-1.33%$275.9B20.5+597.3%2564.4%1500
$89.26+0.31%$252.7B14.3-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.39%32.5+1206.5%2092.9%1500