NPB
Next earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.00%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull DowntrendBelow 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
17.12
Open
17.33
Day Range16.90 – 17.33
16.90
17.33
52W Range12.52 – 19.48
12.52
19.48
66% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
186.1K
Float
15.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
7.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
$2.24
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+0.00%
5D
-3.06%
1M
-8.98%
3M
-2.67%
6M
+1.72%
YTD
+2.03%
1Y
+22.20%
Best: 1Y (+22.20%)Worst: 1M (-8.98%)
Quick Read
Trend
DOWNTREND
Price below SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +22% YoY · 51% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 8x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $1.66/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$256.76M
Revenue TTM$493.06M
Net Income TTM$88.31M
Free Cash Flow$25.12M
Gross Margin51.1%
Net Margin17.9%
Operating Margin23.8%
Return on Equity17.8%
Return on Assets1.2%
Debt / Equity2.96
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$5.85
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion/compression driven by Federal Reserve policy and deposit competition

Commercial real estate loan portfolio performance and credit quality metrics in Michigan markets

Loan growth rates in commercial and industrial lending segments

Deposit franchise stability and cost of funds relative to regional competitors

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Regional banks are directly exposed to local economic conditions affecting loan demand, credit quality, and deposit flows. Michigan's economy has manufacturing and automotive exposure, making Northpointe sensitive to industrial production cycles. Commercial real estate lending creates cyclical exposure to property values and occupancy rates. The 51.2% net income growth suggests strong current conditions, but profitability can compress quickly in recessions through higher loan loss provisions.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity to interest rate levels and yield curve shape. Rising short-term rates typically expand net interest margins as loan yields reprice faster than deposit costs, benefiting earnings. However, inverted yield curves compress margins and signal recession risk. The current 20.7% revenue growth likely reflects benefits from the 2022-2023 rate hiking cycle. Future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve would pressure margins unless offset by loan volume growth. Deposit competition intensifies when rates rise, potentially limiting margin expansion.

Key Risks

Digital banking disruption from fintech competitors and national banks offering high-yield online savings accounts, pressuring deposit franchise and pricing power

Regulatory burden disproportionately affects smaller regional banks with limited scale to absorb compliance costs, particularly post-Silicon Valley Bank reforms affecting banks above $10B in assets

Branch network obsolescence as customer preferences shift to digital channels, creating stranded real estate costs

Investor Profile

value - Trading at 0.5x book value with 21% ROE attracts deep value investors seeking mean reversion in regional bank valuations. The 6.9% FCF yield and likely dividend (typical for profitable regional banks) appeals to income-focused investors. Recent 24.6% one-year return suggests momentum investors participated in the regional bank recovery trade. Not a growth stock given mature industry and regional focus, but strong recent earnings growth (51.2%) may attract GARP investors betting on sustained margin expansion.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and 10-year Treasury yield for net interest margin trajectoryMichigan unemployment rate and regional manufacturing activity as leading indicators for credit quality10Y-2Y yield curve spread as predictor of recession risk and margin compressionCommercial real estate vacancy rates and capitalization rates in Michigan markets
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
24/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
2.96Concern
Coverage
0.5xConcern
ROE
17.8%Strong
ROIC
16.9%Strong
Cash
$496MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
BUY
+16.8%upside to target
Buy
1100%
1 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 7 signals bullish
3/10
Trend
Trend StateDowntrend (below both MAs)
Above SMA 50$17.67 (-3.1%)
Above SMA 200$17.32 (-1.1%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +2.0%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$19.48+13.8%
SMA 50
$17.67+3.2%
SMA 200
$17.32+1.2%
Current
$17.12
52W Low
$12.52-26.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$12.5266th %ile$19.48
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$195.6M
$192.9M$198.3M
$1.95
±2%
Low1
FY2025
$240.0M
$237.1M$242.9M
+22.7%$2.17+10.8%
±2%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$266.7M
$263.7M$269.6M
+11.1%$2.70+24.6%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNPB
Last 8Q
-8.6%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+86%
Q3'24
-56%
Q4'24
-83%
Q2'25
+2%
Q2'25
Q3'25
+2%
Q4'25
-13%
Q1'26
-6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
NET BUYERS$857K bought · $134K sold · 30d window
Williams Charles Al…Dir
$427K
May 13
BUY
Williams Charles Al…Dir
$430K
May 12
BUY
Hooker David StevensDir
$125K
May 1
SELL
Hooker David StevensDir
$9K
May 1
SELL
Dean Richard JefferyDir
$1.0M
Mar 9
SELL
Lawrence David F.Dir
$9K
Mar 3
BUY
Financials
Dividends0.58% yield
2 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.58%
Quarterly Div.$0.0250
Est. Annual / Share$0.10
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 5 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
4.5M
2
ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.
2.6M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
1.4M
4
Boston Partners
1.2M
5
MORGAN STANLEY
1.0M
6
HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
737K
7
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP
601K
8
MALTESE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
572K
News & Activity

NPB News

About

No company information available

PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NPB
+0.00%
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.31%19.1+678.4%2675.1%1507