NPCE
Next earnings: Aug 11, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.72%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 53Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
15.79
Open
15.49
Day Range15.01 – 15.68
15.01
15.68
52W Range7.56 – 19.60
7.56
19.60
65% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
211.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-23.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.65
Low vol
Performance
1D
-2.72%
5D
-21.23%
1M
-1.60%
3M
+2.06%
6M
+18.70%
YTD
-0.52%
1Y
-10.07%
Best: 6M (+18.70%)Worst: 5D (-21.23%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +18% YoY · 78% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 5.4 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$523.68M
Revenue TTM$99.53M
Net Income TTM-$21.57M
Free Cash Flow-$9.84M
Gross Margin78.3%
Net Margin-21.7%
Operating Margin-16.8%
Return on Equity-120.7%
Return on Assets-21.8%
Debt / Equity4.87
Current Ratio5.38
EPS TTM$-0.64
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly implant volumes and year-over-year growth rates - the primary indicator of commercial traction and market penetration

Sales force expansion announcements and productivity metrics (implants per territory) - signals investment in growth versus path to profitability

Clinical data releases and publications demonstrating long-term efficacy, quality of life improvements, and seizure reduction rates

Payer coverage decisions, particularly from large commercial insurers expanding beyond Medicare/Medicaid baseline coverage

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Epilepsy treatment represents medically necessary care for patients with drug-resistant seizures, creating relatively inelastic demand regardless of economic conditions. However, elective procedure timing can be influenced by employment-linked insurance coverage and patient out-of-pocket costs. Hospital capital budgets for neurosurgery programs may face pressure during recessions, potentially delaying program development at new centers. The company's growth is more dependent on clinical adoption curves and reimbursement expansion than GDP fluctuations.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through two mechanisms: (1) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, particularly impacting NPCE's 5.4x price/sales multiple; (2) increased borrowing costs affect the company's ability to access capital markets for growth financing, though the current 4.86x current ratio provides substantial liquidity cushion. Rates have minimal impact on underlying business operations as the company has limited debt and customers don't typically finance device purchases.

Key Risks

Technological disruption from next-generation epilepsy treatments including gene therapy, focused ultrasound ablation, or closed-loop pharmaceutical delivery systems that could render neurostimulation obsolete

Regulatory pathway changes or heightened FDA scrutiny of neuromodulation devices following adverse events in adjacent categories (spinal cord stimulators, deep brain stimulation)

Reimbursement pressure as CMS and commercial payers increasingly scrutinize high-cost device procedures, potentially reducing ASPs or requiring more stringent medical necessity criteria

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth-oriented investors focused on medtech innovation and commercial-stage companies with large addressable markets. The 22.1% revenue growth, 80.8% six-month return, and early penetration of a 150,000-patient opportunity appeal to investors willing to accept near-term losses for long-term market leadership potential. The company's profile fits venture-style public equity investors and healthcare-focused growth funds rather than value or income investors given negative profitability and no dividend. Recent 80.8% six-month surge suggests momentum investors have entered following positive clinical or commercial catalysts.

Watch on Earnings
Quarterly implant procedure volumes and year-over-year growth rates as primary commercial traction indicatorMedicare claims data for CPT code 61886/61888 (RNS implantation) to triangulate market penetration independent of company reportingComprehensive epilepsy center adoption rate - tracking how many of the ~3,000 U.S. centers have active RNS programsAverage selling price (ASP) trends and gross margin stability indicating pricing power sustainability
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
28/100
Liquidity
5.38Strong
Leverage
4.87Concern
Coverage
-2.7xConcern
ROE
-120.7%Concern
ROIC
-19.7%Concern
Cash
$22MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
+36.7%upside to target
L $20.00
Med $21.00consensus
H $22.00
Buy
990%
Hold
110%
9 Buy (90%)1 Hold (10%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 53 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.38 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 124 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 15.4%

+4.4% vs SMA 50 · +20.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.2
Neutral territory
MACD+0.56
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$19.60+27.6%
Current
$15.36
EMA 50
$15.07-1.9%
EMA 200
$13.11-14.6%
52W Low
$7.56-50.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$7.5665th %ile$19.60
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)207K
Recent Vol (5D)
294K+42%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$95.1M
$93.8M$95.7M
-$0.77
±6%
High5
FY2026(current)
$99.7M
$98.8M$100.8M
+4.8%-$0.59
±33%
High6
FY2027
$123.7M
$122.4M$125.1M
+24.1%-$0.35
±28%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNPCE
Last 8Q
+24.5%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+10%
Q3'24
+27%
Q4'24
+28%
Q1'25
+19%
Q2'25
-8%
Q3'25
+45%
Q4'25
+43%
Q1'26
+32%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wells FargoBuy → Overweight
Mar 14
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Morrell MarthaCHIEF MEDICAL …
$399K
Dec 15
SELL
Orbimed Advisors Llc10 Percent Own…
$2.1M
May 14
SELL
Orbimed Advisors Llc10 Percent Own…
$542K
May 14
SELL
Morrell MarthaCHIEF MEDICAL …
$1.1M
Feb 21
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Polar Capital Holdings Plc
3.3M
2
Soleus Capital Management, L.P.
2.9M
3
MORGAN STANLEY
2.6M
4
First Light Asset Management, LLC
2.5M
5
BlackRock, Inc.
2.3M
6
ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC
2.1M
7
DRIEHAUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
1.5M
8
DEUTSCHE BANK AG\
932K
News & Activity

NPCE News

About

Based in Mountain View, Calif., NeuroPace is a commercial-stage medical device company focused on transforming the lives of people suffering from epilepsy by reducing or eliminating the occurrence of debilitating seizures. Its novel and differentiated RNS System is the first and only commercially available, brain-responsive platform that delivers personalized, real-time treatment at the seizure source. This platform can drive a better standard of care for patients suffering from drug-resistant epilepsy, and has the potential to offer a more personalized solution and improved outcomes to the large population of patients suffering from other brain disorders.

Industry
Surgical and Medical Instrument Manufacturing
Chris ReeseSenior Vice President of Sales
Joel D. BeckerChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Amy TreadwellVice President of Human Resources
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NPCE
$15.36-2.72%$524M+2513.0%-2146.8%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.93%50.3+342208.8%-3808.6%1500