NVDA
Earnings in 4 days · May 20, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-4.42%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 72Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
235.74
Open
229.75
Day Range224.25 – 231.50
224.25
231.50
52W Range129.16 – 236.54
129.16
236.54
90% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
170.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
46.0x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.00%
Beta
2.19
High vol
Performance
1D
-4.42%
5D
+5.77%
1M
+13.30%
3M
+23.25%
6M
+18.48%
YTD
+20.82%
1Y
+67.11%
Best: 1Y (+67.11%)Worst: 1D (-4.42%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +65% YoY · 71% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 46x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.9 · FCF $3.98/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.48T
Revenue TTM$215.94B
Net Income TTM$120.07B
Free Cash Flow$96.68B
Gross Margin71.1%
Net Margin55.6%
Operating Margin60.4%
Return on Equity104.4%
Return on Assets58.1%
Debt / Equity0.07
Current Ratio3.91
EPS TTM$4.94
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Datacenter revenue growth and guidance - particularly sequential growth rates and visibility into hyperscaler capex commitments for next 2-4 quarters

GPU supply availability and allocation - ability to meet demand for H100/H200 and Blackwell production ramp timelines from TSMC

Competitive positioning vs AMD MI300 series and custom silicon from hyperscalers (Google TPU, Amazon Trainium/Inferentia, Microsoft Maia)

Gross margin trajectory - mix shift toward higher-margin Blackwell architecture vs. discounting pressure or competitive threats

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Datacenter AI infrastructure spending exhibits some counter-cyclical characteristics as enterprises prioritize productivity gains during slowdowns, but ultimately depends on corporate IT budgets and cloud provider capex which correlate with GDP growth. Gaming segment (10-12% of revenue) is cyclically sensitive to consumer discretionary spending. Overall, the AI infrastructure supercycle currently overrides traditional cyclical patterns, but a severe recession would pressure enterprise AI adoption timelines and hyperscaler expansion plans.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create moderate headwinds through two mechanisms: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for high-growth stocks trading at 24x sales, making Nvidia more sensitive to rate volatility than mature tech peers. (2) Higher borrowing costs may slow cloud provider capex and enterprise AI infrastructure investments, though this effect is muted given strong ROI on AI workloads. The 0.09 debt/equity ratio means minimal direct financing cost impact. Rate sensitivity primarily operates through valuation multiple compression rather than operational impacts.

Key Risks

Hyperscaler vertical integration - Amazon (Trainium/Inferentia), Google (TPU v5), Microsoft (Maia/Cobalt), and Meta developing custom AI accelerators to reduce Nvidia dependency, potentially eroding 40-50% of datacenter customer base over 3-5 years

Export controls and geopolitical risk - U.S. restrictions on China sales (A800/H800 variants) eliminate 20-25% of addressable market, with risk of further tightening or retaliation affecting supply chain (TSMC Taiwan concentration)

Technology disruption - Emerging architectures (analog computing, photonic chips, quantum) or software optimization reducing GPU intensity per AI workload, though unlikely before 2028-2030

Investor Profile

growth - Investors focus on 100%+ revenue growth, AI infrastructure supercycle narrative, and operating leverage expansion rather than valuation metrics. The 24x P/S and 37x EV/EBITDA multiples reflect growth-at-any-price mentality. Momentum investors dominate given strong relative strength and technology leadership position. Limited dividend yield (0.03%) and high valuation multiples deter value investors. Institutional ownership exceeds 65% with concentration in growth-oriented funds.

Watch on Earnings
Hyperscaler capex announcements (Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta quarterly reports) - leading indicator of GPU demand 2-3 quarters forwardTSMC CoWoS advanced packaging capacity and utilization - bottleneck for H100/Blackwell production through 2026Nvidia datacenter revenue per hyperscaler customer (concentration risk and custom silicon displacement tracking)GPU cloud spot pricing (H100 hourly rates on AWS, Azure, GCP) - real-time demand/supply indicator
Health Radar
5 strong1 concern
86/100
Liquidity
3.91Strong
Leverage
0.07Strong
Coverage
503.4xStrong
ROE
104.4%Strong
ROIC
62.9%Strong
Cash
$10.6BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE35 analysts
BUY
+22.0%upside to target
L $140.00
Med $275.00consensus
H $360.00
Strong Buy
26%
Buy
3291%
Hold
13%
34 Buy (97%)1 Hold (3%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 72 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.91 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 3.7%

+16.8% vs SMA 50 · +21.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI72.1
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+9.17
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$236.5+5.0%
Current
$225.3
EMA 50
$200.3-11.1%
EMA 200
$183.9-18.4%
52W Low
$129.2-42.7%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$129.290th %ile$236.5
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)161.6M
Recent Vol (5D)
165.6M+3%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 40 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2026(current)
$213.7B
$210.6B$215.3B
$4.69
±1%
High34
FY2027
$369.4B
$337.6B$394.9B
+72.9%$8.31+77.1%
±7%
High39
FY2028
$489.3B
$377.4B$584.3B
+32.5%$11.25+35.3%
±21%
High40
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryNVDA
Last 8Q
+6.2%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+9%
Q2'24
+5%
Q3'24
+8%
Q4'24
+5%
Q1'25
+10%
Q2'25
+4%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+5%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
MacquarieOutperform
Dec 29
UPGRADE
HSBCBuy
Oct 15
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsBuy
Jul 15
DOWNGRADE
Seaport GlobalCautious
May 23
DOWNGRADE
WedbushOutperform → Cautious
May 23
DOWNGRADE
WedbushOutperform
Apr 25
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Underweight
Sep 19
DOWNGRADE
New StreetPositive → Buy
Aug 6
UPGRADE
New StreetNeutral → Positive
Jul 6
DOWNGRADE
New StreetBuy → Neutral
Jul 5
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesBuy → Hold
Oct 3
UPGRADE
Exane BNP ParibasNeutral → Outperform
Aug 24
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Stevens Mark ADir
$17.3M
Mar 20
SELL
Stevens Mark ADir
$21.2M
Mar 20
SELL
Shah Aarti S.Dir
$1.5M
Mar 19
SELL
Shah Aarti S.Dir
$1.8M
Mar 19
SELL
Shah Aarti S.Dir
$36K
Mar 19
SELL
Robertson Donald F …Principal Acco…
$206K
Mar 20
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.02% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.02%
Quarterly Div.$0.0100
Est. Annual / Share$0.04
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
1.9B
2
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
447.8M
3
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
252.7M
4
UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS INC
199.0M
5
Capital Research Global Investors
193.0M
6
Legal & General Group Plc
169.2M
7
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
153.8M
8
Invesco Ltd.
142.8M
News & Activity

NVDA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Nvidia Corporation is an American multinational technology company incorporated in Delaware and based in Santa Clara, California.

Industry
Semiconductor and Related Device Manufacturing
CEO
Jen-Hsun Huang
Jen-Hsun HuangCo-Founder, CEO & Director
Debora ShoquistExecutive Vice President of Operations
Mylene MangalindanVice President of Corporate Communications
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NVDA
$225.32-4.42%$5.5T45.6+6547.4%5560.3%1502
$300.23+0.68%$4.4T36.0+642.6%2691.5%1482
$421.92+3.05%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1460
$425.19-3.32%$2.0T80.7+2387.4%3619.8%1500
$724.66-6.62%$817.2B33.8+4885.1%2284.5%1532
$424.10-5.69%$691.5B138.6+3433.8%1251.5%1516
$192.98-1.34%$555.0B34.0+838.0%2167.8%1486
Sector avg-2.52%56.2+2889.6%3027.1%1497