NWN
Earnings in 3 days · May 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.26%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 46Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
53.00
Open
53.57
Day Range52.60 – 53.57
52.60
53.57
52W Range39.10 – 55.99
39.10
55.99
81% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
276.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
19.1x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.04%
Beta
0.39
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.26%
5D
-1.20%
1M
-3.29%
3M
+11.64%
6M
+16.10%
YTD
+13.09%
1Y
+22.36%
Best: 1Y (+22.36%)Worst: 1M (-3.29%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +12% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 19x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.7 (low) · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.20B
Revenue TTM$1.29B
Net Income TTM$113.32M
Free Cash Flow-$197.77M
Gross Margin39.3%
Net Margin8.8%
Operating Margin26.2%
Return on Equity7.8%
Return on Assets1.8%
Debt / Equity1.87
Current Ratio0.72
EPS TTM$2.77
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Regulatory outcomes from Oregon PUC and Washington UTC rate cases - allowed ROE, rate base growth, and recovery mechanisms directly impact earnings trajectory

Natural gas commodity price volatility - while costs are passed through, extreme price spikes can pressure customer affordability and regulatory relations

Customer growth rates in Oregon/Washington service territories - new residential and commercial connections drive rate base expansion

State-level climate policy developments - Oregon's Climate Protection Program and Washington's cap-and-invest system create uncertainty around long-term gas demand

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Regulated gas utilities demonstrate defensive characteristics with minimal GDP sensitivity. Residential heating demand (60-65% of volumes) is non-discretionary and weather-driven rather than economically sensitive. Commercial and industrial segments show modest cyclicality, but decoupling mechanisms insulate revenues from volume fluctuations. Customer growth correlates loosely with regional housing activity and population trends in Oregon/Washington markets.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher financing costs on $1.9B debt stack (mix of fixed and floating) pressure interest expense, though regulatory lag delays recovery through rates by 12-18 months; (2) Utility valuations compress as dividend yields become less attractive relative to risk-free rates - NWN's ~4% yield loses appeal when 10-year Treasuries exceed 4.5%; (3) Higher allowed ROEs in rate cases partially offset financing cost increases, but regulatory commissions typically lag market rate movements. The 1.76x debt/equity ratio amplifies interest rate sensitivity compared to less-levered utilities.

Key Risks

Electrification policies and building code changes in Oregon and Washington mandating electric heat pumps over gas furnaces in new construction, reducing long-term customer growth and creating stranded asset risk for existing pipeline infrastructure

Climate legislation including Oregon's Climate Protection Program (CPP) requiring gas utilities to reduce emissions 50% by 2035 and 90% by 2050, necessitating costly renewable natural gas procurement or hydrogen blending investments with uncertain cost recovery

Aging pipeline infrastructure requiring accelerated replacement programs - portions of the 6,000-mile system date to 1950s-1960s, with cast iron and bare steel pipes requiring replacement at $2-3M per mile

Investor Profile

dividend/income - Regulated utilities attract conservative income-focused investors seeking stable dividends (currently ~4% yield) and defensive characteristics. The stock appeals to retirees, pension funds, and low-volatility strategies given predictable cash flows and regulatory protection. However, limited growth prospects (customer additions of 1-2% annually) and electrification headwinds reduce appeal to growth investors. Recent 22.8% one-year return reflects multiple expansion as rates peaked rather than fundamental improvement.

Watch on Earnings
NGUSD (Henry Hub natural gas futures) - wholesale gas costs passed through to customers but extreme volatility affects affordability and regulatory relationsOregon and Washington housing starts and building permits - leading indicators for customer growth in core service territoriesWeather patterns and heating degree days in Portland/Eugene/Vancouver markets - drive volumetric demand despite decoupling mechanismsRegulatory calendar for Oregon PUC and Washington UTC rate case filings and decisions - timing and outcomes determine near-term earnings trajectory
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
22/100
Liquidity
0.72Concern
Leverage
1.87Watch
Coverage
3.0xWatch
ROE
7.8%Concern
ROIC
4.3%Concern
Cash
$41MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE7 analysts
HOLD
+9.7%upside to target
L $55.00
Med $58.00consensus
H $58.00
Buy
229%
Hold
571%
2 Buy (29%)5 Hold (71%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 46 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.72 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 12.6%

-0.1% vs SMA 50 · +12.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI45.6
Neutral territory
MACD-0.00
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$55.99+5.9%
Current
$52.86
EMA 50
$52.54-0.6%
EMA 200
$47.58-10.0%
52W Low
$39.10-26.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$39.1081th %ile$55.99
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:5
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)309K
Recent Vol (5D)
272K-12%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.4B
$2.92
±3%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$1.4B
$1.4B$1.5B
+7.5%$3.05+4.2%
±2%
Moderate3
FY2027
$1.5B
$1.5B$1.5B
+3.9%$3.22+5.7%
±0%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryNWN
Last 8Q
+22.6%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
-7%
Q2'24
+42%
Q3'24
+10%
Q4'24
-1%
Q1'25
+9%
Q2'25
+114%
Q3'25
+11%
Q4'25
+2%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Janney MontgomeryNeutral → Buy
Aug 5
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral
May 24
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Weber David A.Officer, Other…
$89K
Mar 23
SELL
Kravitz Zachary DOfficer, Other…
$28
Mar 5
SELL
Kravitz Zachary DOfficer, Other…
$28
Mar 5
SELL
Rogers Melinda B.Officer, Other…
$7
Mar 5
SELL
Rush Kimberly Heiti…Officer, Other…
$41
Mar 5
SELL
Rush Kimberly Heiti…Officer, Other…
$20
Mar 5
SELL
Financials
Dividends3.72% yield
+0.6% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.72%
Quarterly Div.$0.4930
Est. Annual / Share$1.97
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P.
1.2M
2
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO
613K
3
Nuveen, LLC
503K
4
SG Americas Securities, LLC
193K
5
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
142K
6
ProShare Advisors LLC
130K
7
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
91K
8
GRACE & WHITE INC /NY
90K
News & Activity

NWN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NYSE: NWN) (NW Natural Holdings) is headquartered in Portland, Oregon and has been doing business for more than 160 years. It owns Northwest Natural Gas Company (NW Natural), NW Natural Water Company (NW Natural Water), and other business interests and activities. NW Natural is a local distribution company that currently provides natural gas service to approximately 2.5 million people in more than 140 communities through nearly 770,000 meters in Oregon and Southwest Washington with one of the most modern pipeline systems in the nation. NW Natural consistently leads the industry with high J.D. Power & Associates customer satisfaction scores. NW Natural owns and operates 20 Bcf of underground gas storage capacity in Oregon. NW Natural Water provides water distribution and wastewater services to communities throughout the Pacific Northwest and Texas. NW Natural Water currently serves approximately 65,000 people through about 26,000 connections.

Sector
Industry
Natural Gas Distribution
Brody J. WilsonVice President, Chief Accounting Officer, Controller & Treasurer
Raymond J. KaszubaSenior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Melinda RogersVice President & Chief Human Resources and Diversity Officer
PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NWN
$52.86-0.26%$2.2B19.1+1182.7%878.9%1500
$1062.95-1.89%$285.6B30.5+894.3%1283.0%1527
$96.95-0.95%$202.2B24.7+1100.1%2487.3%1510
$96.71+0.01%$109.0B24.9+1058.6%1468.9%1499
$128.60-0.73%$100.1B20.1+619.3%1541.1%1498
$307.81-1.66%$96.1B41.5+833.8%908.2%1494
$136.91-0.15%$74.4B19.8+937.2%1643.5%1515
Sector avg-0.80%25.8+946.6%1458.7%1506