NX
Next earnings: Jun 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-6.92%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 50Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
19.93
Open
19.85
Day Range18.52 – 19.85
18.52
19.85
52W Range11.04 – 22.98
11.04
22.98
63% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
512.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-3.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.98
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +28% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.3 · FCF $2.09/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$852.16M
Revenue TTM$1.85B
Net Income TTM-$239.99M
Free Cash Flow$94.89M
Gross Margin26.1%
Net Margin-13.0%
Operating Margin-10.0%
Return on Equity-30.2%
Return on Assets-12.1%
Debt / Equity1.22
Current Ratio2.31
EPS TTM$-5.28
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

US housing starts and building permits - particularly single-family starts which drive 60%+ of fenestration demand

Vinyl window market share trends versus wood/aluminum - vinyl penetration currently 55-60% of North American market

PVC resin and aluminum pricing volatility - impacts working capital and margin stability despite pass-through contracts

European residential construction activity - affects HL Plastics segment profitability

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue is highly correlated with residential construction activity, which is cyclical and GDP-sensitive. Single-family housing starts drive 60-65% of fenestration demand, while repair/remodel activity (30-35% of demand) is more stable but still tied to home equity levels and consumer confidence. The negative operating margin in TTM data suggests the company is experiencing cyclical trough conditions, likely reflecting 2024-2025 housing market weakness from elevated mortgage rates. Historical patterns show 20-30% revenue swings between housing cycle peaks and troughs.

Interest Rates

High indirect sensitivity through housing market transmission mechanism. Rising mortgage rates (currently 6.5-7.0% range versus 3.0% in 2021) reduce housing affordability, suppressing new home sales and starts by 30-40% from 2021 peaks. This directly impacts OEM customer order volumes. The company itself has moderate direct rate exposure with $300-400M estimated debt at floating/fixed rates, but the demand-side impact dominates. Falling rates would stimulate housing activity with 6-12 month lag, driving volume recovery.

Key Risks

Long-term housing formation trends - declining household formation rates due to demographics and affordability could structurally limit market growth below historical 1.5M annual starts

Material substitution risk - emerging window technologies (fiberglass, composite materials) could displace vinyl extrusions, though vinyl's cost advantage provides protection

Energy efficiency regulations - stricter building codes could require more expensive spacer systems and components, potentially disrupting existing product portfolios

Investor Profile

value/cyclical recovery - The stock attracts deep value investors and housing cycle specialists given 0.6x Price/Sales, 10% FCF yield, and negative margins at cyclical trough. The 80.8% three-month return suggests momentum players are entering as housing data stabilizes. Typical holders include small-cap value funds, event-driven funds anticipating margin recovery, and sector specialists with 18-24 month investment horizons targeting 15-20% EBITDA margins at cycle normalization. Not suitable for income investors (likely suspended/minimal dividend) or growth investors.

Watch on Earnings
US housing starts (HOUST) - monthly data, target 1.4-1.5M annual rate for normalized demandBuilding permits (PERMIT) - leading indicator 2-3 months ahead of starts30-year mortgage rates (MORTGAGE30US) - primary driver of housing affordability and buyer demandPVC resin spot prices - tracks through chemical industry data, impacts gross margins and working capital
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
25/100
Liquidity
2.31Strong
Leverage
1.22Watch
Coverage
-3.4xConcern
ROE
-30.2%Concern
ROIC
-10.4%Concern
Cash
$76MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
Buy
450%
Hold
450%
4 Buy (50%)4 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 50 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.31 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 8.0%

+15.9% vs SMA 50 · +25.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.8
Neutral territory
MACD+0.96
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$22.98+23.9%
Current
$18.55
EMA 50
$17.38-6.3%
EMA 200
$15.44-16.8%
52W Low
$11.04-40.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$11.0463th %ile$22.98
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)448K
Recent Vol (5D)
410K-8%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
$2.46
±0%
Low1
FY2024
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.3B
+16.0%$2.13-13.5%
±0%
Low2
FY2025
$1.8B
$1.8B$1.8B
+42.4%$2.00-6.2%
±0%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNX
Last 8Q
+75.0%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+25%
Q2'24
+3%
Q3'24
+9%
Q4'24
+417%
Q1'25
+25%
Q2'25
-19%
Q3'25
+61%
Q4'25
+80%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
Teleios Capital Par…10 Percent Own…
$1.3M
Dec 16
SELL
Teleios Capital Par…10 Percent Own…
$1.9M
Dec 17
SELL
Hughes Bradley E.Dir
$53K
Sep 11
BUY
Hughes Bradley E.Dir
$17K
Sep 11
BUY
Hughes Bradley E.Dir
$29K
Sep 11
BUY
Wilson George Laver…Dir
$100K
Dec 19
BUY
Financials
Dividends1.73% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield1.73%
Quarterly Div.$0.0800
Est. Annual / Share$0.32
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC
1.8M
2
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
157K
3
Nuveen, LLC
145K
4
Linden Thomas Advisory Services, LLC
61K
5
MOODY NATIONAL BANK TRUST DIVISION
46K
6
SG Americas Securities, LLC
45K
7
FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
44K
8
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
33K
News & Activity

NX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

building strength for our customers at quanex building products, our customer’s success is our priority. whether seeking a special component to bring a new product to market, technical support to make a production process more efficient, or creative marketing support to drive awareness, we have the knowledge base and experience to lead the largest and smallest providers to success. with unparalleled expertise in energy efficiency and sustainability standards, integrated systems design and product development, marketing, production equipment and processes, we enhance the value our customers can offer to their customers. quanex works hard to listen to customers and anticipate future needs. our vision is to be the supplier of choice in the markets we serve and we are committed to building strength in our people, systems and processes.

CEO
George Wilson
Chris AldersonPresident of Extruded Solutions
Paul CornettSenior Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
Scott Michael ZuehlkeSenior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
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NX
$18.55+0.00%$916M1500
$874.78-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$280.52-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$172.90-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$221.30-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$422.44-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$263.41-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-0.86%42.5+1306.8%1437.1%1502