NXDR
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-2.40%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendRally vs TrendAbove 50D, below 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
2.08
Open
2.04
Day Range2.00 – 2.10
2.00
2.10
52W Range1.33 – 3.72
1.33
3.72
29% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
3.7M
Float
387.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-18.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
$-0.11
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.40%
5D
+7.98%
1M
+33.55%
3M
+26.88%
6M
+22.29%
YTD
-3.33%
1Y
+40.97%
Best: 1Y (+40.97%)Worst: YTD (-3.33%)
Quick Read
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
price above key MAs · revenue +7% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 14.0 · FCF $0.02/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$785.74M
Revenue TTM$265.14M
Net Income TTM-$43.67M
Free Cash Flow$6.73M
Gross Margin83.9%
Net Margin-16.5%
Operating Margin-22.7%
Return on Equity-10.3%
Return on Assets-9.7%
Debt / Equity0.07
Current Ratio14.01
EPS TTM$-0.11
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Weekly Active User (WAU) growth and engagement metrics - demonstrates network effect strength and monetization potential

Revenue per weekly active user (ARPU) expansion - indicates improving ad pricing power and SMB advertiser density

SMB advertiser count and retention rates - validates product-market fit for core customer segment

Path to profitability signals - operating expense leverage, adjusted EBITDA margin improvement, and cash burn rate reduction

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Nextdoor's revenue is heavily dependent on SMB advertising budgets, which are highly cyclical and among the first expenses cut during economic downturns. Local service businesses (contractors, real estate agents, home services) reduce marketing spend when consumer demand weakens. The platform saw pressure during 2022-2023 as SMBs tightened budgets amid recession fears and higher interest rates impacting housing-related categories.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Nextdoor through multiple channels: (1) reduced housing market activity decreases advertising from real estate agents, mortgage brokers, and home improvement services - key advertiser categories; (2) higher rates pressure SMB cash flows, reducing discretionary marketing budgets; (3) as an unprofitable growth company, higher rates compress valuation multiples and increase cost of capital for future fundraising. The company's minimal debt (0.08 D/E) limits direct financing cost impact.

Key Risks

Platform commoditization - Meta, Google, and Yelp expanding hyperlocal features could replicate Nextdoor's value proposition with larger existing user bases and superior ad targeting technology

Regulatory privacy concerns - verified address requirements and neighborhood-level data collection face increasing scrutiny under evolving privacy regulations (GDPR, state-level US laws)

Content moderation challenges - hyperlocal discussions can amplify neighborhood conflicts, racial profiling concerns, and misinformation, creating brand risk and potential liability

Investor Profile

growth - Investors are betting on the company's ability to achieve profitability as it scales its neighborhood network effects, despite current losses. The stock attracts speculative growth investors willing to accept high volatility and execution risk in exchange for potential multi-bagger returns if the company successfully monetizes its user base. The -39.8% one-year return and small market cap indicate this is a high-risk, high-reward profile unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Watch on Earnings
US small business optimism index and SMB advertising spend trendsHousing market activity (existing home sales, mortgage applications) as proxy for real estate and home services advertising demandConsumer sentiment and discretionary spending patterns affecting local retail and service businessesMeta and Google local advertising product announcements and market share data
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
40/100
Liquidity
14.01Strong
Leverage
0.07Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-10.3%Concern
ROIC
-14.0%Concern
Cash
$63MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
HOLD
+10.8%upside to target
Hold
4100%
0 Buy (0%)4 Hold (100%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 7 signals bullish
8/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$1.58 (+28.8%)
Above SMA 200$1.85 (+9.7%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentDeath Cross (50D vs 200D -14.8%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 14.01 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$3.72+83.3%
Current
$2.03
SMA 200
$1.85-8.8%
SMA 50
$1.58-22.3%
52W Low
$1.33-34.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$1.3329th %ile$3.72
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$255.9M
$255.6M$256.1M
-$0.14
±3%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$283.0M
$282.0M$284.1M
+10.6%-$0.07
±0%
Moderate3
FY2027
$312.6M
$311.5M$313.8M
+10.5%-$0.05
±0%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryNXDR
Last 8Q
+31.9%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+14%
Q3'24
+20%
Q4'24
Q1'25
+14%
Q2'25
+33%
Q3'25
+67%
Q4'25
+67%
Q1'26
+40%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Underweight
May 12
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
Schwartz SophiaGeneral Counse…
$66K
Apr 16
SELL
How AntoinetteChief Accounti…
$24K
Apr 16
SELL
Schwartz SophiaGeneral Counse…
$4K
Feb 18
SELL
Financials
News & Activity

NXDR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No company information available

PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NXDR
-2.40%
$396.78-1.07%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1523
$393.32-0.97%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$614.23-0.68%$1.6T22.1+2216.7%3008.4%1501
$87.02+0.09%$366.4B27.5+1585.1%2430.4%1479
$185.22-1.58%$200.4B19.3+848.8%1244.7%1485
$46.37-1.47%$193.6B11.2+252.5%1242.8%1505
Sector avg-1.15%23.3+1321.4%2414.4%1503