Net digital subscription additions (quarterly adds vs. 250K-350K typical range)
Digital subscription ARPU trends and bundle penetration rates (news+games+cooking adoption)
Digital advertising revenue growth relative to industry benchmarks (outperformance vs. -5% to +5% sector rates)
Churn rates and engagement metrics (daily active users, games played per subscriber)
moderate - Subscription revenue (70%+ of total) provides recession resilience as consumers prioritize essential information and entertainment. However, advertising revenue (20-25%) correlates with corporate marketing budgets and GDP growth. During downturns, digital ad spending contracts 10-20%, though NYT's premium positioning provides relative insulation. Consumer discretionary spending affects willingness to pay for bundled subscriptions, but news consumption often increases during economic uncertainty.
Rising rates create modest headwinds through two channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for high-growth subscription businesses trading at 20-25x EBITDA, and (2) Consumer discretionary spending tightens as debt service costs rise, potentially increasing subscription churn at the margin. However, NYT's zero-debt balance sheet eliminates financing cost concerns. The company benefits from higher yields on $900M+ cash balance.
AI-driven content aggregation and summarization tools (ChatGPT, Perplexity) could reduce direct traffic to NYT properties, undermining subscription conversion funnels and advertising inventory value
Generational shift in news consumption toward short-form video (TikTok, YouTube) and away from long-form journalism threatens relevance with audiences under 35
Regulatory risks around platform distribution (Apple/Google app store fees at 15-30%, potential antitrust actions affecting referral traffic from search/social)
growth - Investors focus on the secular shift from print to digital, recurring revenue model expansion, and operating leverage potential. The stock trades at premium multiples (4.3x sales, 21.8x EBITDA) reflecting expectations for sustained double-digit subscription growth and margin expansion. Dividend yield is minimal (~1%), indicating capital allocation prioritizes growth investments and buybacks over income. The 50%+ one-year return attracts momentum investors betting on continued digital transformation execution.
Trend
-7.8% vs SMA 50 · +9.1% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $2.8B $2.8B–$2.8B | — | $2.38 | — | ±7% | High6 |
FY2026(current) | $3.1B $3.1B–$3.1B | ▲ +9.9% | $2.85 | ▲ +19.8% | ±3% | High6 |
FY2027 | $3.3B $3.3B–$3.3B | ▲ +6.9% | $3.18 | ▲ +11.6% | ±4% | High6 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
NYT News
About
the new york times company has announced that it plans to rebrand the international herald tribune (iht) and introduce a multiplatform international version of the new york times that will be tailored and edited specifically for global audiences. the publication will be called the international new york times and is planned to launch in october 2013. read more > http://bit.ly/17fjhpf for more information, please visit www.ihtinfo.com
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT◀ | $74.48 | -1.35% | $12.1B | 31.6 | +924.2% | 1217.7% | 1500 |
| $404.35 | -3.20% | $2.1T | 30.5 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $132.58 | -6.05% | $307.9B | 20.7 | -44.8% | 1012.0% | 1500 | |
| $88.38 | -2.58% | $303.7B | 13.6 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $148.08 | -1.13% | $282.6B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $181.58 | -1.83% | $281.6B | 26.9 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $183.40 | -0.23% | $256.1B | 16.8 | +213.3% | 1482.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -2.34% | — | 23.0 | +881.2% | 2006.1% | 1500 |