US housing starts and building permits (new construction drives insulation demand; re-roofing represents 70%+ of roofing revenue but correlates with home sales activity)
Asphalt shingle pricing and raw material cost spreads (asphalt costs represent 30-40% of roofing COGS; pricing lag creates margin compression/expansion)
Residential re-roofing demand driven by storm activity, housing turnover, and roof age demographics (average roof life 20-25 years)
Commercial and industrial construction activity affecting insulation and composites volumes
high - Revenue directly correlates with residential and commercial construction activity, which are highly cyclical. New housing starts drive insulation demand with 3-6 month lag. Re-roofing activity (70% of roofing revenue) correlates with existing home sales, consumer confidence, and discretionary spending on home improvements. Commercial construction affects insulation and composites. Industrial production drives composites demand from automotive, wind energy, and infrastructure. Current 13.4% revenue growth reflects recovery from 2024-2025 housing slowdown, but negative net income growth (-45.9%) indicates margin compression from cost inflation and volume deleverage.
High sensitivity through housing market transmission mechanism. Rising mortgage rates reduce home affordability, suppressing new construction starts and existing home sales velocity (which drives re-roofing decisions as homeowners defer discretionary projects). 30-year mortgage rates above 7% (as of early 2025) have constrained housing activity significantly. Additionally, Owens Corning carries $3.5-4.0B in debt (Debt/Equity 1.27), so rising rates increase interest expense, though much of debt is fixed-rate. Valuation multiple contracts as 10-year Treasury yields rise, making cyclical industrials less attractive.
Secular decline in new housing formation due to demographic shifts, affordability crisis, and zoning constraints limiting long-term volume growth potential in core North American markets
Energy efficiency regulations and building codes could shift toward alternative insulation materials (spray foam, rigid foam) reducing fiberglass market share
Asphalt supply concentration and refinery rationalization creating input cost volatility and potential supply disruptions for shingle manufacturing
value - Stock trades at 1.0x Price/Sales and 16.3x EV/EBITDA with 11.5% FCF yield, attracting value investors betting on housing recovery and margin normalization. Cyclical trough valuation with negative 1-year return (-25.7%) but recent 3-month bounce (+33.1%) suggests early-cycle positioning. Strong free cash flow generation ($1.2B FCF on $11.0B revenue) supports capital returns, though negative ROE reflects recent earnings compression. Not a dividend story (likely modest yield) but appeals to investors seeking operating leverage to housing recovery with downside protection from market leadership and cash generation.
No analyst coverage available for this stock.
2 signals unavailable — limited data for this stock
Trend
+0.4% vs SMA 50 · -4.8% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
OC News
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About
owens corning (nyse: oc) develops, manufactures and markets insulation, roofing and fiberglass composites. global in scope and human in scale, the company’s market-leading businesses use their deep expertise in materials, manufacturing and building science to develop products and systems that save energy and improve comfort in commercial and residential buildings. through its glass reinforcements business, the company makes thousands of products lighter, stronger and more durable. ultimately, owens corning people and products make the world a better place. based in toledo, ohio, owens corning posted 2014 sales of $5.3 billion and employs about 15,000 people in 26 countries. it has been a fortune 500® company for 61 consecutive years. for more information, please visit www.owenscorning.com. a global company where market-leading businesses are built. at owens corning, we strive every day to make the world a better place. today, owens corning operates in three segments: insulation, roo
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OC◀ | $122.73 | -0.49% | $9.9B | — | -794.5% | -516.7% | 1500 |
| $397.67 | +0.41% | $2.1T | 28.7 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $91.95 | +0.10% | $316.0B | 14.1 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $131.46 | -0.32% | $305.1B | 22.6 | +586.3% | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $184.74 | -1.40% | $286.4B | 27.2 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $146.57 | -0.87% | $279.7B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $88.98 | -1.86% | $251.9B | 14.4 | -591.0% | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.63% | — | 21.3 | +610.9% | 1684.1% | 1500 |