OGE
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-1.27%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 61Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
48.80
Open
48.83
Day Range48.18 – 49.16
48.18
49.16
52W Range41.70 – 50.13
41.70
50.13
77% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
21.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.04%
Beta
0.49
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.27%
5D
+0.56%
1M
-1.19%
3M
+11.84%
6M
+9.15%
YTD
+12.83%
1Y
+6.81%
Best: YTD (+12.83%)Worst: 1D (-1.27%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY · 49% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 21x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.7 (low) · FCF $4.74/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$9.94B
Revenue TTM$3.27B
Net Income TTM$458.20M
Free Cash Flow$977.70M
Gross Margin48.8%
Net Margin14.0%
Operating Margin23.9%
Return on Equity9.5%
Return on Assets3.2%
Debt / Equity1.19
Current Ratio0.66
EPS TTM$2.22
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Rate case outcomes - approved ROE levels, rate base valuations, and timing of rate relief directly impact earnings trajectory

Capital expenditure plans and rate base growth - infrastructure investment announcements (transmission upgrades, generation additions) drive multi-year earnings visibility

Regulatory developments - Oklahoma and Arkansas commission composition changes, fuel cost recovery mechanisms, and renewable energy mandates

Weather patterns - extreme summer heat drives air conditioning demand while mild winters reduce heating load, impacting volumetric revenues outside of decoupling mechanisms

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Electric utility demand is relatively inelastic with minimal GDP sensitivity. Residential usage (~45% of load) remains stable through cycles, while commercial/industrial demand (~55%) shows modest correlation to regional economic activity in Oklahoma's energy and agriculture sectors. Load growth typically tracks population and housing starts rather than broader economic cycles.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Valuation - utilities trade as bond proxies, with dividend yields competing against risk-free rates; rising 10-year Treasury yields compress P/E multiples as investors demand higher equity risk premiums. (2) Financing costs - OGE's 1.22x debt/equity ratio means refinancing risk on $3-4B debt stack; 100bps rate increase adds $30-40M annual interest expense, though partially recovered in future rate cases with regulatory lag of 12-18 months. (3) AFUDC (Allowance for Funds Used During Construction) - higher rates increase capitalized interest during construction, modestly boosting rate base but signaling tighter financial conditions.

Key Risks

Distributed generation and grid defection - rooftop solar adoption (currently <2% penetration in Oklahoma but accelerating) erodes volumetric sales while fixed infrastructure costs remain, pressuring rate design and requiring shift to fixed charges or decoupling mechanisms

Coal generation transition - remaining ~1,800 MW of coal capacity faces retirement pressure from environmental regulations and economics; premature retirement without full cost recovery creates stranded asset risk, though Oklahoma regulators have historically allowed securitization of undepreciated balances

Climate policy uncertainty - potential federal carbon pricing or EPA regulations could require accelerated generation fleet transition, creating capital intensity spikes and regulatory recovery uncertainty

Investor Profile

dividend - OGE targets 60-70% payout ratio with 4-5% dividend growth aligned to earnings growth, attracting income-focused investors seeking stable, tax-advantaged cash flows. The 10.8% ROE and regulated business model appeal to conservative value investors prioritizing capital preservation over growth. Limited volatility and beta near 0.6-0.7 suit risk-averse portfolios and retiree income strategies.

Watch on Earnings
Oklahoma Corporation Commission rate case calendar and ROE authorization trends - determines earnings power for 70%+ of rate baseHenry Hub natural gas spot and forward curve - impacts fuel costs, generation dispatch economics, and customer bill affordability despite pass-through mechanisms10-year Treasury yield and utility sector P/E compression/expansion - primary valuation driver for dividend-focused investor baseRegional employment and housing permit trends in Oklahoma City and Tulsa MSAs - leading indicators for customer growth and load expansion
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
28/100
Liquidity
0.66Concern
Leverage
1.19Watch
Coverage
3.9xWatch
ROE
9.5%Watch
ROIC
4.8%Concern
Cash
$200KConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
HOLD
-2.4%downside to target
L $44.00
Med $47.00consensus
H $49.00
Buy
943%
Hold
1257%
9 Buy (43%)12 Hold (57%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 61 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.66 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 15.9%

+6.3% vs SMA 50 · +23.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI61.2
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.72
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$50.13+4.0%
Current
$48.18
EMA 50
$45.96-4.6%
52W Low
$41.70-13.4%
EMA 200
$40.50-15.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$41.7077th %ile$50.13
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:9
Dist days:2
Edge:+7 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.1M+1%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$3.2B
$3.0B$3.3B
$2.30
±0%
High7
FY2026(current)
$3.4B
$3.3B$3.4B
+5.7%$2.43+5.7%
±3%
High9
FY2027
$3.5B
$3.5B$3.6B
+4.8%$2.61+7.2%
±1%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOGE
Last 8Q
+7.7%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 3
+11%
Q3'24
-4%
Q4'24
+9%
Q1'25
+41%
Q2'25
-4%
Q3'25
-2%
Q4'25
+10%
Q1'26
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wells FargoOverweight → Underweight
Jan 20
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysOverweight → Equal-Weight
Apr 22
DOWNGRADE
OppenheimerOutperform → Perform
Jun 15
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral
Jun 15
DOWNGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Buy
Apr 25
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Stafford Sarah R.Controller and…
$293K
Feb 24
SELL
Ganske Lyle G.Dir
$500K
Feb 23
BUY
Parker David AVP- Tech, Data…
$152K
Aug 4
SELL
Jones Donnie O.VP- Utility Op…
$500K
May 28
SELL
Bozich Frank ADir
$45K
May 21
BUY
Sultemeier William HGC, Corp. Sec …
$303K
May 6
SELL
Financials
Dividends3.52% yield
+0.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.52%
Quarterly Div.$0.4250
Est. Annual / Share$1.70
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO
2.1M
2
Nuveen, LLC
1.1M
3
OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORP
863K
4
MILLER HOWARD INVESTMENTS INC /NY
705K
5
ProShare Advisors LLC
592K
6
Retirement Systems of Alabama
493K
7
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
474K
8
TEMA ETFS LLC
326K
News & Activity

OGE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

oge energy corp. (nyse: oge): based in oklahoma city, oge eneryg corp. is the parent company of oklahoma gas & electric (og&e. in addition, oge energy holds 50 percent of the general partner interest in enable midstream partners, created by the merger of oge energy's enogex llc midstream subsidiary and the pipeline and field services businesses of houston-based centerpoint energy. •oklahoma gas & electric (og&e): our regulated electric utility serves 30,000 square miles in oklahoma and western arkansas. oge energy corp was founded by good, hard-working people, and their legacy continues today. many of our employees have been with the company for 25, 30 or even 40 years. their loyalty says a lot about how our company operates and what it stands for. we look forward to showing you just what makes us so proud of our team, such as: • valuing the individual’s health and well-being • expecting transparency in motives and production • fostering a spirit of teamwork at all levels • de

CEO
Sean Trauschke
Country
United States
Donnie O. JonesSenior Vice President of Utility Operations of OG&E
Robert Sean TrauschkeChairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Christine Ostendorf WoodworthVice President of Marketing & Communications - OG&E Company
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OGE
$48.18-1.27%$9.9B21.7+920.5%1443.8%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.75%21.4+856.0%1964.1%1500