OGS
Earnings in 1 day · May 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.35%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 57Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
89.22
Open
89.35
Day Range88.78 – 90.20
88.78
90.20
52W Range70.87 – 90.78
70.87
90.78
91% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
467.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
20.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
0.38
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.35%
5D
+0.66%
1M
+0.01%
3M
+11.25%
6M
+10.87%
YTD
+15.09%
1Y
+13.35%
Best: YTD (+15.09%)Worst: 1D (-0.35%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +17% YoY · 59% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 20x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.6 (low) · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.58B
Revenue TTM$2.43B
Net Income TTM$264.22M
Free Cash Flow-$128.39M
Gross Margin58.8%
Net Margin10.9%
Operating Margin18.8%
Return on Equity8.1%
Return on Assets2.8%
Debt / Equity0.99
Current Ratio0.60
EPS TTM$4.38
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Regulatory outcomes in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas rate cases - approved ROEs, rate base recognition, and lag time between investment and recovery directly impact earnings trajectory

Weather patterns during heating season (November-March) - colder temperatures drive higher residential usage despite normalization mechanisms, particularly impacting quarterly earnings volatility

Infrastructure investment pace and capital deployment efficiency - ability to deploy $600-750M annually into rate base accretive projects (pipeline modernization, system integrity, customer growth capex)

Interest rate environment and utility sector relative valuation - regulated utilities trade on dividend yield spreads to 10-year Treasuries, with multiple compression when rates rise rapidly

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Natural gas distribution is a non-discretionary utility service with stable demand regardless of economic conditions. Residential heating demand is weather-driven, not economically sensitive. Commercial/industrial segments (~35% of margin) show modest cyclicality, but overall revenue is protected by regulated cost-recovery mechanisms. Customer growth correlates with housing construction in Texas markets, providing slight GDP linkage.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have dual impact: (1) Higher financing costs on $2.7B debt balance increase interest expense, though rate cases eventually recover these costs in tariffs with 6-18 month lag, and (2) Valuation multiple compression as utility dividend yields become less attractive relative to risk-free Treasury yields, typically causing stock price pressure. The company's ~3.5% dividend yield must maintain spread over 10-year Treasury to attract income investors. Regulated ROE allowances do not automatically adjust for rate changes, creating near-term margin pressure.

Key Risks

Long-term electrification trends and building code changes favoring electric heat pumps over natural gas appliances, particularly in new construction, could erode customer growth in residential markets

Increasingly stringent methane emissions regulations and ESG pressure requiring accelerated pipeline replacement and leak detection investments, potentially straining regulatory cost recovery if state commissions resist rate increases

Climate change driving warmer winters reducing heating degree days and volumetric throughput, though weather normalization mechanisms partially mitigate this risk

Investor Profile

dividend/income - Regulated utilities attract conservative income-focused investors seeking stable, predictable dividends (currently ~3.5% yield) with modest earnings growth (4-6% long-term EPS CAGR typical for gas LDCs). The stock trades on dividend yield relative to Treasury rates rather than growth multiples. Defensive characteristics appeal during economic uncertainty, though interest rate sensitivity creates volatility.

Watch on Earnings
Natural gas futures prices (Henry Hub) and basis differentials in regional markets - while passed through, extreme volatility impacts customer bills and regulatory sentimentHeating degree days (HDD) in Kansas City, Oklahoma City, and Texas markets relative to 30-year normals during October-March heating season10-year Treasury yield and utility sector dividend yield spreads - primary valuation driver for regulated utility equitiesHousing starts and building permits in Austin and El Paso MSAs - leading indicators for customer growth in fastest-growing territories
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
27/100
Liquidity
0.60Concern
Leverage
0.99Strong
Coverage
3.2xWatch
ROE
8.1%Watch
ROIC
4.3%Concern
Cash
$34MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE14 analysts
HOLD
+1.2%upside to target
L $83.00
Med $90.00consensus
H $99.00
Buy
429%
Hold
1071%
4 Buy (29%)10 Hold (71%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 57 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.60 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 15, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 8.1%

+3.1% vs SMA 50 · +11.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI57.0
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.57
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$90.78+2.1%
Current
$88.91
EMA 50
$85.99-3.3%
EMA 200
$80.52-9.4%
52W Low
$70.87-20.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$70.8791th %ile$90.78
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)613K
Recent Vol (5D)
410K-33%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$2.6B
$2.5B$2.6B
$4.38
±0%
High6
FY2026(current)
$2.5B
$2.5B$2.6B
-1.0%$4.81+9.9%
±2%
High6
FY2027
$2.6B
$2.5B$2.7B
+3.8%$5.03+4.7%
±2%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOGS
Last 8Q
-0.5%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
-1%
Q2'24
-2%
Q3'24
-13%
Q4'24
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JefferiesHold → Buy
Apr 7
UPGRADE
Wells FargoOverweight
Sep 11
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Rodriguez Eduardo ADir
$73K
Mar 6
SELL
Brumfield Brian F.See Remarks
$86K
Feb 24
SELL
Hutchinson Michael GDir
$237K
Dec 4
SELL
Hutchinson Michael GDir
$89K
Mar 18
SELL
Financials
Dividends3.03% yield
+1.7% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.03%
Quarterly Div.$0.6800
Est. Annual / Share$2.72
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Boston Trust Walden Corp
1.1M
2
Nuveen, LLC
705K
3
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO
576K
4
ProShare Advisors LLC
411K
5
Retirement Systems of Alabama
183K
6
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
155K
7
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
106K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
79K
News & Activity

OGS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

one gas is one of the largest natural gas utilities in the united states, serving more than 2 million customers in oklahoma, kansas and texas, and is a publicly traded, 100 percent regulated, natural gas distribution utility. company locations: 100 west 5th st. tulsa, ok 74103

Sector
Industry
Natural Gas Distribution
CEO
Pierce Norton
Robert S. McAnnallyCEO & Director
Curtis L. DinanPresident & COO
Brian F. BrumfieldVice President, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller
PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OGS
$88.91-0.35%$5.6B20.3+1650.4%1088.5%1500
$1062.95-1.89%$285.6B30.5+894.3%1283.0%1527
$96.95-0.95%$202.2B24.7+1100.1%2487.3%1510
$96.71+0.01%$109.0B24.9+1058.6%1468.9%1499
$128.60-0.73%$100.1B20.1+619.3%1541.1%1498
$307.81-1.66%$96.1B41.5+833.8%908.2%1494
$136.91-0.15%$74.4B19.8+937.2%1643.5%1515
Sector avg-0.82%26.0+1013.4%1488.6%1506