OLN
Next earnings: Jul 27, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-3.46%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 55Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
27.74
Open
27.19
Day Range26.72 – 27.41
26.72
27.41
52W Range18.08 – 30.46
18.08
30.46
70% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-16.5x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
1.11
Market-like
Performance
1D
-3.46%
5D
-1.44%
1M
-3.53%
3M
+3.48%
6M
+33.10%
YTD
+28.56%
1Y
+26.98%
Best: 6M (+33.10%)Worst: 1M (-3.53%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +3% · 6% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.4 · FCF $2.66/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.05B
Revenue TTM$6.72B
Net Income TTM-$127.00M
Free Cash Flow$303.00M
Gross Margin6.4%
Net Margin-1.9%
Operating Margin-1.3%
Return on Equity-6.7%
Return on Assets-1.7%
Debt / Equity1.87
Current Ratio1.36
EPS TTM$-1.12
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Caustic soda spot pricing and contract settlements (currently depressed in $200-300/ton range vs. historical $400-600/ton)

Natural gas and electricity costs impacting chlor-alkali production economics (electrochemical units consume ~2,000-2,500 kWh per ton of caustic)

PVC demand and pricing driving vinyls segment profitability and utilization of integrated EDC/VCM capacity

Winchester commercial ammunition volumes reflecting consumer demand cycles and inventory destocking

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Chlor-alkali and vinyls are deeply cyclical, tied to industrial production (chlorine derivatives for water treatment, plastics manufacturing) and construction activity (PVC pipe, siding). Epoxy demand correlates with durable goods manufacturing, wind turbine production, and aerospace build rates. Winchester commercial ammunition exhibits consumer discretionary characteristics. Current negative net margin reflects trough-cycle conditions with industrial demand weakness and chemical inventory destocking.

Interest Rates

Moderate impact through two channels: (1) Higher rates increase financing costs on $1.9B net debt (estimated, given 1.79x D/E and $2.7B market cap implies ~$1.4B equity book value), pressuring interest expense. (2) Rising rates dampen construction activity and durable goods demand, reducing chlor-alkali and epoxy volumes. However, primary driver remains commodity chemical pricing, not rate-driven demand elasticity.

Key Risks

Secular caustic soda oversupply from Chinese capacity additions (estimated 5-8 million tons of new capacity 2020-2025) structurally depressing global pricing and potentially rendering higher-cost North American/European units permanently uneconomic

Energy transition reducing long-term chlorine demand from fossil fuel-based plastics and PVC, though offset partially by water treatment and renewable energy applications (epoxy in wind blades)

Environmental regulations increasing costs for chlor-alkali production (mercury cell phase-outs complete, but carbon pricing and wastewater discharge standards tightening)

Investor Profile

value - Current 0.4x price/sales and 8.7% FCF yield attract deep value investors betting on cyclical recovery in caustic soda pricing and margin normalization. Recent 24.3% three-month return suggests early-stage positioning for chemical cycle inflection. Negative earnings and ROE deter growth/quality investors. Not a dividend story given need to preserve cash for debt reduction.

Watch on Earnings
Caustic soda spot price (US Gulf Coast and global contract settlements)Henry Hub natural gas prices (primary energy input for chlor-alkali electricity generation)North American PVC pricing and operating rates (indicator of vinyls segment health)US industrial production index (proxy for chlorine derivative demand)
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
15/100
Liquidity
1.36Watch
Leverage
1.87Watch
Coverage
-0.5xConcern
ROE
-6.7%Concern
ROIC
-0.9%Concern
Cash
$168MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
HOLD
-2.9%downside to target
L $22.00
Med $26.00consensus
H $37.00
Buy
422%
Hold
1267%
Sell
211%
4 Buy (22%)12 Hold (67%)2 Sell (11%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 55 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.36
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 14.8%

-1.5% vs SMA 50 · +13.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI55.0
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.19
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$30.46+13.7%
EMA 50
$27.04+1.0%
Current
$26.78
EMA 200
$24.16-9.8%
52W Low
$18.08-32.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$18.0870th %ile$30.46
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:1
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.6M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.2M-15%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$6.6B
$5.8B$7.1B
$2.86
±13%
High5
FY2024
$6.4B
$6.3B$6.6B
-3.2%$0.92-67.7%
±7%
High10
FY2025
$6.7B
$6.6B$6.8B
+3.8%-$0.20
±50%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOLN
Last 8Q
+125.9%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
-4%
Q3'24
-517%
Q4'24
+1000%
Q1'25
+140%
Q2'25
-51%
Q3'25
+427%
Q4'25
+9%
Q1'26
+3%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupBuy → Neutral
Oct 2
DOWNGRADE
Fermium ResearchBuy
Sep 25
UPGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform → Sector Perform
Feb 4
DOWNGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy → Neutral
Jul 29
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysOverweight → Neutral
Oct 30
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoEqual-Weight
Sep 26
DOWNGRADE
CFRAStrong Buy
Mar 1
UPGRADE
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Overweight
Jan 5
UPGRADE
KeyBancOverweight
Mar 14
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Carter DeonVP & President…
$154K
Feb 25
SELL
Castle Angela MVP & Chief Leg…
$58K
Feb 24
SELL
Sumner R NicholeVP & Controller
$107K
Feb 3
SELL
Slater Todd AVP & CFO
$2.1M
Feb 3
SELL
Vermillion Teresa MVP & Treasurer
$94K
Nov 26
SELL
Vermillion Teresa MVP & Treasurer
$127K
Aug 13
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.99% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.99%
Quarterly Div.$0.2000
Est. Annual / Share$0.80
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
15.1M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
11.5M
3
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
5.6M
4
FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.
5.0M
5
STATE STREET CORP
4.8M
6
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
4.4M
7
YACKTMAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LP
4.1M
8
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
2.8M
News & Activity

OLN News

19 articles · 4h ago

About

olin corporation (nyse: oln) has a long history of supplying quality products and services to our customers, while generating value for our shareholders. on a daily basis, we are meeting our customers'​ evolving needs through innovation and an unwavering commitment to exceeding expectations and maintaining the highest ethical standards. olin's 6,300 dedicated employees across the globe are also fully committed to being good neighbors and environmental stewards in the communities in which we operate. download the olin careers app today.

CEO
John Fischer
Brett A. FlaugherVice President & President of Winchester
Deon CarterVice President and President of Chlor Alkali Products & Vinyls
Kenneth Todd LanePresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OLN
$26.78-3.46%$3.1B+368.0%-63.1%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.64%21.6+801.8%1823.2%1500