OM
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-4.72%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 46Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
3.81
Open
3.74
Day Range3.59 – 3.78
3.59
3.78
52W Range3.00 – 21.98
3.00
21.98
3% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
187.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.43
Market-like
Performance
1D
-4.72%
5D
-10.37%
1M
-16.55%
3M
+7.08%
6M
-22.44%
YTD
-2.16%
1Y
-81.43%
Best: 3M (+7.08%)Worst: 1Y (-81.43%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +2% YoY · 41% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 6.3 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$67.29M
Revenue TTM$117.59M
Net Income TTM-$74.85M
Free Cash Flow-$34.25M
Gross Margin40.6%
Net Margin-63.7%
Operating Margin-56.9%
Return on Equity-55.9%
Return on Assets-30.0%
Debt / Equity0.04
Current Ratio6.29
EPS TTM$-4.07
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Tablo console placement numbers and installed base growth - quarterly unit sales indicate market penetration velocity

Cartridge utilization rates and recurring revenue trajectory - demonstrates stickiness and treatment volume per console

Gross margin trends - indicates pricing power, manufacturing efficiency, and product mix shift toward higher-margin consumables

Cash burn rate and runway - with negative FCF of $76M annually, quarterly cash consumption and financing needs drive equity dilution concerns

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Dialysis is non-discretionary healthcare, providing defensive characteristics as ESRD patients require continuous treatment regardless of economic conditions. However, Outset's growth depends on hospital capital equipment budgets, which contract during recessions as healthcare systems defer non-critical purchases. Acute care hospital utilization (and thus acute dialysis demand) correlates with overall healthcare volumes. The company's pre-profitability status makes it vulnerable to risk-off sentiment and growth equity multiple compression during economic downturns.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Outset through multiple channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, particularly severe for medical device firms trading at 0.5x P/S; (2) Increased cost of capital raises the hurdle rate for hospital capital equipment purchases, potentially extending sales cycles; (3) As a cash-burning entity, higher rates increase the opportunity cost of capital and make equity financing more dilutive. The company's 6.67x current ratio provides liquidity buffer, but sustained rate elevation pressures growth equity valuations.

Key Risks

Reimbursement risk - CMS and private payer reimbursement rates for dialysis treatments using Tablo may not adequately cover costs, limiting adoption by dialysis providers operating on thin margins

Home dialysis regulatory pathway - FDA clearance for home use remains uncertain, and without home indication, Outset cannot access the fastest-growing dialysis segment where competitors are gaining share

Technological obsolescence - Established players like Fresenius are developing next-generation portable dialysis systems that could neutralize Outset's differentiation

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Outset attracts high-risk tolerance investors seeking asymmetric upside from medical device innovation. The 75% one-year decline and deeply negative margins appeal to distressed/turnaround investors betting on survival and eventual profitability. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative earnings, no dividend, and uncertain path to cash generation. The stock's volatility and binary outcome profile (either achieves scale and becomes profitable, or faces dilution/bankruptcy) attracts momentum traders and biotech/medtech specialists.

Watch on Earnings
Quarterly Tablo console placements and cumulative installed baseCartridge revenue per console (utilization proxy)Gross margin percentage and trajectory toward 50%+ targetMonthly cash burn rate and quarters of runway remaining
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
41/100
Liquidity
6.29Strong
Leverage
0.04Strong
Coverage
-9.5xConcern
ROE
-55.9%Concern
ROIC
-31.3%Concern
Cash
$35MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE9 analysts
BUY
+120.4%upside to target
L $7.00
Med $8.00consensus
H $15.00
Buy
778%
Hold
111%
Sell
111%
7 Buy (78%)1 Hold (11%)1 Sell (11%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 46 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 6.29 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 55.4%

-3.4% vs SMA 50 · -56.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI46.3
Neutral territory
MACD-0.02
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$21.98+505.5%
EMA 200
$8.97+147.1%
EMA 50
$4.07+12.1%
Current
$3.63
52W Low
$3.00-17.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$3.003th %ile$21.98
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:6
Edge:+4 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)165K
Recent Vol (5D)
226K+37%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$117.2M
$116.6M$118.0M
-$4.45
±4%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$126.6M
$125.9M$127.4M
+8.0%-$2.89
±2%
Low2
FY2027
$140.4M
$139.6M$141.2M
+10.9%-$2.18
±12%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOM
Last 8Q
-202.6%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 6 Estimates rising
-5%
Q3'24
-1362%
Q4'24
+10%
Q1'25
-243%
Q2'25
+15%
Q3'25
-5%
Q4'25
-25%
Q1'26
-5%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
RBC CapitalOutperform → Sector Perform
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalSector Perform → Outperform
Jun 21
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Brottem John L.General Counsel
$10K
Feb 17
SELL
Trigg LeslieDir
$11K
Feb 17
SELL
Nash MarcEVP Operations…
$6K
Feb 17
SELL
Nash MarcEVP Operations…
$28K
Jan 20
SELL
Nash MarcEVP Operations…
$5K
Jan 21
SELL
Brottem John L.General Counsel
$48K
Jan 20
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
FMR LLC
2.7M
2
BML Capital Management, LLC
1.9M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
1.3M
4
PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC
833K
5
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
808K
6
PFM Health Sciences, LP
595K
7
Ensign Peak Advisors, Inc
527K
8
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
504K
News & Activity

OM News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Outset is a medical technology company pioneering a first-of-its-kind technology to reduce the cost and complexity of dialysis. The Tablo Hemodialysis System, FDA cleared for use from the hospital to the home, represents a significant technological advancement that transforms the dialysis experience for patients and operationally simplifies it for providers. Tablo serves as a single enterprise solution that can be utilized across the continuum of care, allowing dialysis to be delivered anytime, anywhere and by anyone. The integration of water purification and on-demand dialysate production enables Tablo to serve as a dialysis clinic on wheels, with 2-way wireless data transmission and a proprietary data analytics platform powering a new holistic approach to dialysis care. Tablo is a registered trademark of Outset Medical, Inc.

Industry
Electromedical and Electrotherapeutic Apparatus Manufacturing
Amelia MerrillVice President of People Operations & Culture
Dinamarie StefaniSenior Vice President of Regulatory Affairs & Quality Assurance
Brett FoggSenior Vice President of R&D & Operations
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OM
$3.63-4.72%$67M+509.0%-6834.3%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.22%50.3+341922.5%-4478.3%1500