ONIT
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed
Price
1
Move-0.40%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
PRICE
Prev Close
30.03
Open
30.15
Day Range28.90 – 30.15
28.90
30.15
52W Range21.15 – 31.96
21.15
31.96
81% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
18.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
154.8x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-3.00%
5D
-5.69%
1M
-18.94%
3M
-21.24%
6M
-16.81%
YTD
-21.51%
1Y
-8.25%
Worst: YTD (-21.51%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +10% YoY · 67% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 155x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 51.5 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$298.67M
Revenue TTM$1.20B
Net Income TTM$175.00M
Free Cash Flow-$2.28B
Gross Margin66.6%
Net Margin14.6%
Operating Margin26.5%
Return on Equity30.6%
Return on Assets1.0%
Debt / Equity25.27
Current Ratio51.50
EPS TTM$20.60
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New insurance written (NIW) volumes, driven by purchase mortgage originations and refinancing activity in the conforming loan market

Credit performance metrics including delinquency rates, cure rates, and loss development on the in-force book

Housing price appreciation trends which directly impact claim severity and loss reserves

Mortgage interest rate movements affecting origination volumes and persistency (prepayment speeds)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Mortgage insurance is highly cyclical with dual exposure to housing market health and employment conditions. Origination volumes (NIW) correlate strongly with home sales and refinancing activity, while credit losses spike during recessions when unemployment rises and housing prices decline. The 459% net income growth suggests recovery from prior stress period, but earnings can swing dramatically based on loss reserve releases or builds.

Interest Rates

Rising mortgage rates reduce refinancing activity and purchase affordability, compressing NIW volumes and future premium income growth. However, higher rates improve persistency on the existing book as borrowers are less likely to prepay, extending premium duration. The net effect depends on the magnitude and speed of rate changes. Lower rates drive origination surges but accelerate prepayments, creating a revenue treadmill requiring constant new production.

Key Risks

GSE reform or changes to mortgage insurance requirements could eliminate or reduce the MI mandate for high-LTV loans, fundamentally altering demand

Increased competition from bank-owned MI subsidiaries, lender-paid structures, or alternative credit enhancement mechanisms compressing pricing power

Regulatory capital requirements (PMIERs) becoming more stringent, requiring additional capital raises or constraining growth capacity

Investor Profile

value - Trading at 0.3x Price/Sales and 0.6x Price/Book with 33.4% ROE suggests deep value opportunity for investors betting on normalized earnings power and housing market stability. The 37% one-year return indicates momentum emerging as credit concerns abate. Cyclical value investors focused on housing recovery and mean reversion in loss ratios are primary holders.

Watch on Earnings
30-year fixed mortgage rate (MORTGAGE30US) as primary driver of origination volumes and persistencyS&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index (CSUSHPINSA) for housing appreciation trends affecting claim severity and equity cushionsUnemployment rate (UNRATE) as leading indicator of mortgage delinquencies and default probabilityHousing starts (HOUST) and building permits (PERMIT) as forward indicators of purchase mortgage demand
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
36/100
Liquidity
51.50Strong
Leverage
25.27Concern
Coverage
0.8xConcern
ROE
30.6%Strong
ROIC
1.8%Concern
Cash
$181MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
BUY
+100.6%upside to target
Buy
3100%
3 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 4 signals bullish
4/10
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 51.50 — healthy liquidity

1 signal unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$31.96+6.9%
Current
$29.91
52W Low
$21.15-29.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$21.1581th %ile$31.96
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:10
Edge:+7 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)72K
Recent Vol (5D)
87K+20%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
-$1.29
Low1
FY2024
$1.0B
$1.0B$1.0B
-4.7%$9.90
Low2
FY2025
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
+6.0%$9.70-2.1%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryONIT
Last 8Q
+40.5%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+197%
Q3'24
+171%
Q4'24
-41%
Q1'25
+59%
Q2'25
-10%
Q3'25
+74%
Q4'25
-59%
Q1'26
-67%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BTIGBuy
Dec 9
UPGRADE
Financials
News & Activity

ONIT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

helping homeowners is what we do!® consider joining us to help fulfill our mission of helping homeowners. as an ocwen team member, your mission is to delight the customers or co-workers you serve through caring service and innovative solutions. our talented, diverse team members are dedicated to helping the homeowners and investors we serve. as an industry leader in foreclosure prevention and loss mitigation, ocwen has completed over 776,700 loan modifications, over 318,000 home affordable modification program (hamp) sponsored modifications, 49% more than the next highest servicer. each team member, regardless of their role, is proud of ocwen’s focus on helping families stay in their homes and improving financial outcomes for investors. ocwen financial corporation is a financial services holding company which, through our subsidiaries, is one of the largest mortgage companies in the united states. our primary business is mortgage loan servicing and origination. homeward residentia

Industry
Mortgage and Nonmortgage Loan Brokers
CEO
Glen Messina
Aaron D. WadeExecutive Vice President & Chief Investment Officer
Dennis ZelenyExecutive Vice President & Chief Administrative Officer
Joseph J. SamariasChief Ethics Officer, Chief Legal Officer, Executive Vice President & Company Secretary
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ONIT
$29.91-3.00%$235M1.7-24.3%1776.5%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.73%16.6+578.0%2546.7%1506