OPLN
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-2.32%Negative session
Technical
1
TrendRally vs TrendAbove 50D, below 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
35.73
Open
35.97
Day Range34.85 – 35.97
34.85
35.97
52W Range25.81 – 38.49
25.81
38.49
72% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
0
Float
106.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
77.5x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
$0.45
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.32%
5D
-7.25%
1M
+13.39%
3M
+23.32%
6M
+35.90%
YTD
+17.19%
1Y
+56.57%
Best: 1Y (+56.57%)Worst: 5D (-7.25%)
Quick Read
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
price above key MAs · revenue +9% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 77x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.2 · FCF $3.43/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.70B
Revenue TTM$2.00B
Net Income TTM$189.70M
Free Cash Flow$365.80M
Gross Margin41.9%
Net Margin9.5%
Operating Margin17.1%
Return on Equity12.8%
Return on Assets3.9%
Debt / Equity1.49
Current Ratio1.16
EPS TTM$1.78
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Total marketplace transaction volumes (units sold)—directly tied to used vehicle turnover rates among dealers, rental fleets, and OEM captive finance companies

Average revenue per transaction (ARPT)—driven by vehicle mix (higher-value vehicles = higher fees), ancillary service attach rates, and pricing adjustments

Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) flowing through the platform—indicates market share gains versus competitors like Manheim (Cox Automotive) and ACV Auctions

Dealer inventory levels and days-to-turn metrics—elevated dealer inventory typically drives higher wholesale activity as dealers rebalance stock

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Used vehicle wholesale volumes correlate strongly with new vehicle sales (trade-ins), consumer vehicle purchase activity, and dealer profitability. During recessions, dealer inventory turnover slows, rental car companies delay fleet refreshes, and overall transaction volumes decline. Conversely, robust consumer spending and credit availability drive higher vehicle turnover. The business is procyclical but benefits from secular digitization trends that partially offset cyclical headwinds.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact OPENLANE through multiple channels: (1) higher auto loan rates reduce consumer vehicle affordability, suppressing new and used vehicle sales and thus wholesale turnover; (2) increased dealer floorplan financing costs pressure dealer profitability and inventory appetite; (3) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for high-growth technology platforms. The company carries moderate debt ($0.93 D/E ratio), so rising rates modestly increase interest expense, though the impact is secondary to demand-side effects.

Key Risks

Electric vehicle adoption could disrupt used vehicle supply chains—EVs have different depreciation curves, maintenance needs, and wholesale market dynamics that may require platform adaptations and could temporarily reduce transaction volumes during the transition period

Vertical integration by OEMs or large dealer groups—manufacturers increasingly managing certified pre-owned programs internally or mega-dealers building proprietary wholesale channels could bypass third-party marketplaces

Regulatory changes affecting vehicle data access—state franchise laws or data privacy regulations could limit OPENLANE's ability to aggregate and monetize vehicle condition/pricing data

Investor Profile

growth - The 44% one-year return and 10.9% FCF yield attract growth investors focused on secular digitization of automotive wholesale, network effect business models, and operating leverage potential. The company appeals to technology-oriented investors betting on market share gains from physical to digital channels. Moderate volatility (recent 3-month: +14.4%, 6-month: +2.4%) suggests episodic volatility tied to used vehicle market cycles and quarterly volume beats/misses.

Watch on Earnings
SAAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate) for new vehicle sales—leading indicator of trade-in volumes and wholesale supplyManheim Used Vehicle Value Index—tracks wholesale used vehicle prices, affecting GMV and dealer inventory turnover incentivesDealer inventory levels (days supply)—elevated inventory drives wholesale rebalancing activityConsumer auto loan delinquency rates (60+ days)—early warning of credit stress affecting vehicle demand
Health Radar
5 watch1 concern
33/100
Liquidity
1.16Watch
Leverage
1.49Watch
Coverage
2.6xWatch
ROE
12.8%Watch
ROIC
8.2%Watch
Cash
$142MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
BUY
+14.6%upside to target
L $37.00
Med $40.00consensus
H $40.00
Buy
950%
Hold
950%
9 Buy (50%)9 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 7 signals bullish
8/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$30.80 (+13.3%)
Above SMA 200$30.80 (+13.3%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentDeath Cross (50D vs 200D -0.0%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.16
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$38.49+10.3%
Current
$34.90
SMA 200
$30.80-11.8%
SMA 50
$30.80-11.8%
52W Low
$25.81-26.0%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$25.8172th %ile$38.49
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$1.7B
$1.7B$1.8B
$0.85
±4%
Low2
FY2025
$1.9B
$1.9B$2.0B
+11.5%$1.25+47.6%
±2%
High5
FY2026(current)
$2.1B
$2.1B$2.2B
+11.1%$1.39+11.6%
±10%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOPLN
Last 8Q
+12.5%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
-5%
Q3'24
+24%
Q4'24
+5%
Q1'25
+29%
Q2'25
+38%
Q3'25
+17%
Q4'25
-17%
Q1'26
+9%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Bank of America Sec…Neutral
Apr 10
UPGRADE
GuggenheimNeutral
Apr 26
UPGRADE
GuggenheimNeutral
Feb 25
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Coleman Charles S.EVP, CLO & Sec…
$763K
Dec 2
SELL
Coleman Charles S.EVP, CLO & Sec…
$1.5M
Dec 2
SELL
Ignition Acquisitio…10 Percent Own…
$0
Oct 8
SELL
Coyle James PEVP & Presiden…
$27K
Aug 7
SELL
Coyle James PEVP & Presiden…
$11K
Aug 7
SELL
Coyle James PEVP & Presiden…
$1.5M
Aug 7
SELL
Financials
News & Activity

OPLN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No company information available

PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OPLN
-2.32%
$888.31-3.47%$409.2B43.7+429.0%1312.8%1523
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B33.7+1848.2%1898.2%1489
$171.18-2.56%$230.5B31.8+974.1%759.8%1488
$220.49-3.80%$173.8B79.6+3449.4%249.7%1503
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1504
$399.44-2.12%$155.1B38.9+1033.0%1489.7%1504
Sector avg-2.47%41.7+1306.8%1437.1%1502