OPTU
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish12
Price
1
Move-8.54%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.7× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
TrendFull DowntrendBelow 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
0.88
Open
0.86
Day Range0.79 – 0.89
0.79
0.89
52W Range0.79 – 2.98
0.79
2.98
1% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.8M
Float
469.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-0.1x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
$-9.94
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-8.54%
5D
-30.66%
1M
-47.09%
3M
-51.84%
6M
-54.81%
YTD
-51.25%
1Y
-71.58%
Worst: 1Y (-71.58%)
Quick Read
Trend
DOWNTREND
Price below SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -4% · 65% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.8 (low) · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$377.76M
Revenue TTM$8.50B
Net Income TTM-$4.68B
Free Cash Flow-$88.26M
Gross Margin64.7%
Net Margin-55.0%
Operating Margin-1.0%
Return on Equity180.2%
Return on Assets-16.8%
Debt / Equity-5.13
Current Ratio0.85
EPS TTM$-9.90
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Broadband net subscriber additions/losses - the critical metric as video declines; market expects continued losses of 20,000-40,000 broadband subs per quarter due to fiber/fixed wireless competition

Broadband ARPU trends - ability to push through price increases (typically $3-5 annually) without accelerating churn determines revenue trajectory

Fiber upgrade progress - percentage of footprint upgraded to fiber-to-the-home (currently estimated 15-20% complete) impacts competitive positioning and churn rates

Free cash flow trajectory - path to positive FCF depends on moderating capex intensity while stabilizing subscriber base; currently burning cash

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low-to-moderate - Broadband services exhibit defensive characteristics as internet connectivity is essential, with residential churn driven more by competition than economic conditions. However, business services revenue (10-15% of total) is cyclically sensitive to SMB formation and expansion. Consumer discretionary spending affects video package upgrades and premium service adoption. Advertising revenue (small component, estimated 2-3% of total) correlates with economic activity. Overall, revenue is relatively stable through cycles, but margin pressure increases during recessions as customers downgrade to lower-priced packages.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Refinancing costs on substantial debt load directly impact interest expense and cash available for operations/capex; (2) Higher rates reduce valuation multiples for cash flow streams, particularly impacting leveraged cable operators; (3) Elevated mortgage rates reduce household formation and moving activity, which typically drives new subscriber connections; (4) Cost of capital for fiber upgrade investments increases, potentially slowing competitive response. With negative FCF and debt refinancing needs, rising rates are materially negative.

Key Risks

Technology disruption from fiber overbuilders and fixed wireless access - Verizon and AT&T fiber offerings provide symmetrical gigabit speeds superior to cable's DOCSIS technology, while T-Mobile/Verizon fixed wireless offers 'good enough' broadband at $50-60/month with no installation, capturing price-sensitive customers and second homes

Secular video cord-cutting acceleration - traditional cable TV subscribers declining 8-12% annually as streaming services (Netflix, YouTube TV, Hulu Live) offer superior value proposition; video revenue historically subsidized broadband network investments

Regulatory risk from net neutrality, municipal broadband initiatives, and potential infrastructure sharing mandates that could reduce competitive moats

Investor Profile

Distressed value/special situations investors and high-yield credit investors given negative FCF, compressed valuation (0.1x P/S, 0.2x EV/EBITDA), and 43.6% one-year decline. The stock attracts investors betting on operational turnaround through fiber upgrades stabilizing subscriber losses, potential M&A (consolidation with other regional cable operators), or debt restructuring scenarios. Not suitable for growth, dividend, or conservative value investors given negative earnings, no dividend, and execution risk. Momentum investors are sellers given negative price trends.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly broadband churn rate - industry average 1.2-1.5%, Optimum likely running higher (1.5-2.0%) in markets facing fiber competitionFiber passings and penetration rate - percentage of homes upgraded to FTTH and subsequent market share in fiber-enabled areas vs. legacy HFCBroadband ARPU growth rate - ability to achieve 3-5% annual increases through speed tier migrations and price adjustmentsAdjusted EBITDA margin trend - path back to 40%+ margins from current compressed levels
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
40/100
Liquidity
0.85Concern
Leverage
-5.13Strong
Coverage
-0.0xConcern
ROE
180.2%Strong
ROIC
-0.3%Concern
Cash
$1.1BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
HOLD
+24.3%upside to target
L $1.00
Med $1.00consensus
H $2.25
Hold
3100%
0 Buy (0%)3 Hold (100%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 7 signals bullish
2/10
Trend
Trend StateDowntrend (below both MAs)
Above SMA 50$1.38 (-41.7%)
Above SMA 200$1.86 (-56.9%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentDeath Cross (50D vs 200D -26.0%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.85 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$2.98+270.5%
SMA 200
$1.86+131.9%
SMA 50
$1.38+71.7%
Current
$0.8043
52W Low
$0.7900-1.8%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$0.79001th %ile$2.98
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$8.5B
$8.5B$8.6B
-$3.84
±12%
High10
FY2026(current)
$8.2B
$8.1B$8.3B
-4.4%-$5.10
±50%
High9
FY2027
$7.8B
$7.5B$8.0B
-4.6%-$0.67
±50%
High10
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOPTU
Last 8Q
-190.8%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates falling
-47%
Q3'24
-333%
Q4'24
-400%
Q1'25
-134%
Q2'25
-250%
Q3'25
-200%
Q4'25
-200%
Q1'26
+38%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d13
CitigroupNeutral → Sell
May 15
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Market Perform
Mar 10
DOWNGRADE
UBSPositive
Mar 10
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral
Feb 15
DOWNGRADE
BenchmarkHold
Feb 10
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $32K sold · 30d window
Olsen MichaelGeneral Counse…
$32K
May 1
SELL
Olsen MichaelGeneral Counse…
$26K
Apr 1
SELL
Olsen MichaelGeneral Counse…
$28K
Mar 2
SELL
Olsen MichaelGeneral Counse…
$400K
Feb 17
SELL
Goei DexterDir
$902K
Dec 9
SELL
Goei DexterDir
$1.8M
Dec 10
SELL
Financials
News & Activity

OPTU News

19 articles · 4h ago

About

No company information available

PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OPTU
-8.54%
$396.78-1.07%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1523
$393.32-0.97%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$614.23-0.68%$1.6T22.1+2216.7%3008.4%1501
$87.02+0.09%$366.4B27.5+1585.1%2430.4%1479
$185.22-1.58%$200.4B19.3+848.8%1244.7%1485
$46.37-1.47%$193.6B11.2+252.5%1242.8%1505
Sector avg-2.03%23.3+1321.4%2414.4%1503