ORI
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.73%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 32Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
39.95
Open
40.22
Day Range39.25 – 40.22
39.25
40.22
52W Range35.60 – 46.76
35.60
46.76
33% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.7x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.04%
Beta
0.69
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.73%
5D
-2.19%
1M
-2.80%
3M
+0.08%
6M
-0.51%
YTD
-13.98%
1Y
+2.94%
Best: 1Y (+2.94%)Worst: YTD (-13.98%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +13% YoY · 51% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $3.83/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$9.56B
Revenue TTM$9.37B
Net Income TTM$1.02B
Free Cash Flow$932.60M
Gross Margin51.1%
Net Margin10.9%
Operating Margin13.8%
Return on Equity16.7%
Return on Assets3.5%
Debt / Equity0.27
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$4.19
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Title insurance order volumes and revenue per file - directly tied to residential purchase/refinance activity and commercial real estate transactions

General insurance combined ratio performance - loss ratio trends in workers' compensation and commercial auto lines

Investment portfolio yield and duration positioning - $16B+ fixed income portfolio sensitivity to rate environment

Reserve development trends - prior year reserve releases or strengthening affecting reported earnings

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Title insurance is highly cyclical with premiums correlating 0.7+ to housing turnover and commercial real estate activity, creating 20-30% revenue swings across cycles. General insurance shows lower cyclicality with commercial exposure to employment levels (workers' comp) and freight activity (commercial auto) but benefits from pricing discipline during soft markets. Recession scenarios pressure title volumes 30-40% while general insurance premiums decline 10-15% with modest reserve deterioration. Investment income provides counter-cyclical stability.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create mixed effects: (1) Negative near-term impact on title insurance as mortgage refinancing activity collapses (2023-2025 refinance volumes down 70%+ from 2020-2021 peaks) and higher mortgage rates reduce home purchase affordability 15-20%. (2) Positive medium-term benefit as $16B investment portfolio reinvests at higher yields - 100bp rate increase adds $50-60M annual investment income over 3-4 year reinvestment period. (3) Book value experiences temporary unrealized losses on existing bond holdings. Net effect: rates above 6% pressure title revenues 20%+ but expand investment income 8-10% annually.

Key Risks

Title insurance industry faces regulatory scrutiny over pricing transparency and potential for rate compression - several states have implemented or proposed rate reductions of 10-15% in recent years

Blockchain and digital property records could disintermediate traditional title search processes over 10-15 year horizon, though implementation barriers remain substantial

Workers' compensation secular decline as employment shifts from high-risk manufacturing to lower-risk service sectors, reducing addressable premium base 2-3% annually

Investor Profile

value and dividend - ORI trades at 1.7x book value versus 2.0-2.5x for larger P&C peers, attracting value investors seeking undervalued insurance franchises. 3.0-3.5% dividend yield with 42-year consecutive dividend payment history appeals to income-focused investors. Institutional ownership ~85% skews toward value-oriented asset managers and insurance specialists. Limited growth narrative (10% revenue growth reflects post-pandemic normalization rather than structural expansion) and cyclical title exposure deter growth investors.

Watch on Earnings
Existing home sales and housing turnover rate (NAR data) - drives 60-70% of title insurance revenues30-year mortgage rates and mortgage application indices (MBA data) - leading indicator for title order flow 60-90 days forward10-year Treasury yield and investment-grade corporate bond spreads - determines reinvestment yields for $16B portfolioCommercial real estate transaction volumes (RCA CPPI) - drives commercial title insurance premiums
Health Radar
4 strong2 concern
58/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
0.27Strong
Coverage
18.4xStrong
ROE
16.7%Strong
ROIC
34.3%Strong
Cash
$263MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
HOLD
+7.0%upside to target
L $40.00
Med $42.00consensus
H $44.00
Strong Buy
120%
Hold
480%
1 Buy (20%)4 Hold (80%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
0 of 5 signals bullish
1/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 32 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 10, 2026
In 99 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 23.8%

-9.1% vs SMA 50 · +12.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI32.1
Momentum fading
MACD-1.07
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$46.76+19.1%
EMA 50
$42.22+7.5%
Current
$39.26
EMA 200
$36.14-8.0%
52W Low
$35.60-9.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$35.6033th %ile$46.76
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:8
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.7M+15%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$7.6B
$7.5B$7.6B
$2.40
±1%
Low1
FY2024
$8.3B
$8.3B$8.4B
+9.9%$2.80+16.6%
±1%
Low2
FY2025
$9.1B
$9.0B$9.1B
+8.6%$3.27+16.7%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryORI
Last 8Q
+20.3%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+25%
Q3'24
+82%
Q4'24
+27%
Q1'25
+9%
Q2'25
+5%
Q3'25
+46%
Q4'25
-17%
Q1'26
-14%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerOverweight → Neutral
Jan 22
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Strong Buy
Sep 22
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight
Feb 12
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Apr 29
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
Smith John EricDir
$20K
Mar 2
BUY
Smith John EricDir
$29K
Mar 2
BUY
Monroe CarolynSVP - Title In…
$154K
Feb 2
SELL
Monroe CarolynSVP - Title In…
$63K
Feb 2
SELL
Monroe CarolynSVP - Title In…
$298K
Nov 14
SELL
Risch TheraceDir
$21K
Nov 3
BUY
Financials
Dividends9.39% yield
+10.4% avg annual growth
Annual Yield9.39%
Quarterly Div.$0.3150
Est. Annual / Share$1.26
FrequencyQuarterly
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC
4.7M
2
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
3.9M
3
MILLER HOWARD INVESTMENTS INC /NY
1.7M
4
North Star Investment Management Corp.
799K
5
ProShare Advisors LLC
603K
6
Retirement Systems of Alabama
581K
7
RITHOLTZ WEALTH MANAGEMENT
580K
8
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
532K
News & Activity

ORI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Chicago-based Old Republic International Corporation is one of the nation's 50 largest shareholder-owned insurance businesses. It is a member of the Fortune 500 listing of America's largest companies. The Company is organized as an insurance holding company whose subsidiaries actively market, underwrite, and provide risk management services for a wide variety of coverages mostly in the general and title insurance fields. A long-term interest in mortgage guaranty and consumer credit indemnity coverages has devolved to a run-off operating mode in recent years. Old Republic's general insurance business ranks among the nation's 50 largest, while its title insurance operations are the third largest in its industry.

Industry
Direct Property and Casualty Insurance Carriers
Jeffrey Patrick LangeSenior VP of Underwriting & Distribution and COO
Francis Joseph SodaroSenior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Thomas Andrew DareSenior Vice President, Secretary & General Counsel
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ORI
$39.26-1.73%$9.6B9.4+1040.7%1030.1%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.81%19.6+873.1%1905.0%1500