OTTR
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.42%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 47Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
90.78
Open
90.20
Day Range89.51 – 90.60
89.51
90.60
52W Range73.74 – 92.24
73.74
92.24
90% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
290.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
13.8x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
0.58
Low vol
Performance
1D
+1.73%
5D
+1.90%
1M
+2.53%
3M
+3.16%
6M
+10.71%
YTD
+12.34%
1Y
+12.06%
Best: YTD (+12.34%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -2% · 39% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.3 · FCF $2.34/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.79B
Revenue TTM$1.30B
Net Income TTM$275.89M
Free Cash Flow$97.92M
Gross Margin38.9%
Net Margin21.2%
Operating Margin26.5%
Return on Equity15.4%
Return on Assets7.0%
Debt / Equity0.59
Current Ratio2.28
EPS TTM$6.59
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Regulatory outcomes from Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota PUC rate cases affecting allowed ROE and capital recovery timelines

Manufacturing segment order backlog and capacity utilization rates, particularly wind tower fabrication volumes tied to renewable energy project pipelines

Capital expenditure deployment efficiency and ability to earn on incremental rate base investments in utility infrastructure modernization

Industrial production trends affecting manufacturing demand, especially in agriculture equipment, construction, and energy infrastructure markets

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Utility operations (~60% of business) provide defensive characteristics with inelastic electricity demand, though agricultural and small industrial customer mix creates modest GDP sensitivity. Manufacturing segment exhibits higher cyclicality tied to industrial capital spending, construction activity, and renewable energy project development cycles. Blended sensitivity results in below-market beta, with manufacturing providing earnings volatility during economic expansions and contractions while utility cash flows remain stable.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple pressures: (1) higher financing costs for utility capital programs averaging $250-300M annually, compressing earned ROE spreads if regulatory lag exists; (2) valuation multiple compression as dividend yield becomes less attractive relative to risk-free rates; (3) potential demand headwinds in manufacturing from reduced industrial capital spending as borrowing costs increase. However, regulated utility model allows eventual recovery of financing costs through rate cases, providing partial offset. With 0.59x debt/equity ratio, balance sheet is moderately leveraged but manageable.

Key Risks

Energy transition pressures requiring accelerated coal generation retirements and renewable energy investments, creating regulatory asset recovery risk and capital deployment challenges in utility segment

Distributed generation and energy storage adoption eroding utility volumetric sales and requiring grid modernization investments to maintain relevance

Manufacturing segment exposure to wind energy sector concentration risk as federal tax credit policies (PTC/ITC) face potential phase-outs or modifications affecting project economics

Investor Profile

dividend - The stock attracts income-focused investors seeking 3.5-4.0% dividend yields with moderate growth potential (mid-single-digit rate base CAGR). The diversified model appeals to investors wanting utility stability with manufacturing upside optionality. Value investors may find appeal during manufacturing downturns when the stock trades closer to utility-only valuations despite embedded manufacturing recovery potential. The 15.4% ROE and consistent free cash flow generation support dividend sustainability.

Watch on Earnings
FEDFUNDS and GS10 treasury yields affecting utility financing costs and valuation multiplesIndustrial Production Index (INDPRO) as leading indicator for manufacturing segment demandNatural gas prices (NGUSD) impacting utility fuel costs and generation dispatch economicsSteel and aluminum commodity prices affecting manufacturing input costs and margin sustainability
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
56/100
Liquidity
2.28Strong
Leverage
0.59Strong
Coverage
7.3xStrong
ROE
15.4%Strong
ROIC
7.9%Concern
Cash
$386MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
HOLD
-10.4%downside to target
Hold
5100%
0 Buy (0%)5 Hold (100%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 47 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.28 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 6.0%

+9.8% vs SMA 50 · +16.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI46.7
Neutral territory
MACD+0.22
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$92.24+2.0%
Current
$90.39
EMA 50
$82.26-9.0%
EMA 200
$77.71-14.0%
52W Low
$73.74-18.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$73.7490th %ile$92.24
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)191K
Recent Vol (5D)
205K+7%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.3B
$6.64
±1%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.3B
-0.2%$5.53-16.8%
±1%
Moderate3
FY2027
$1.4B
$1.3B$1.4B
+3.8%$5.24-5.2%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryOTTR
Last 8Q
+9.2%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates falling
+22%
Q2'24
+22%
Q3'24
+3%
Q4'24
+3%
Q1'25
+6%
Q2'25
+8%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+6%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Siebert Williams Sh…Hold
Nov 28
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends2.38% yield
+12.8% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.38%
Quarterly Div.$0.5775
Est. Annual / Share$2.31
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
189K
2
Bank & Trust Co
119K
3
WHITTIER TRUST CO
99K
4
Phocas Financial Corp.
76K
5
ProShare Advisors LLC
75K
6
WHITTIER TRUST CO OF NEVADA INC
49K
7
Palisades Investment Partners, LLC
44K
8
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
42K
News & Activity

OTTR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

with offices in fergus falls, minnesota, and fargo, north dakota, otter tail corporation is a growing company with over $1.2 billion in revenues and more than 4,000 employees across many industries. our diversified operations include an electric utility, manufacturing, health services, food ingredient processing, plastics, construction and transportation. the otter tail companies collectively serve customers within the united states and in canada.

CEO
Charles S. MacFarlane
Charles S. MacFarlaneCEO & Director
Paul L. KnutsonVice President of Human Resources
Timothy J. RogelstadPresident
PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OTTR
$90.39+1.73%$3.8B13.8-199.1%2115.6%1500
$1089.86-1.89%$285.6B30.5+894.3%1283.0%1527
$95.84-0.95%$202.2B24.7+1100.1%2487.3%1510
$96.46+0.01%$109.0B24.9+1058.6%1468.9%1499
$127.95-0.73%$100.1B20.1+619.3%1541.1%1498
$316.56-1.66%$96.1B41.5+833.8%908.2%1494
$135.94-0.15%$74.4B19.8+937.2%1643.5%1515
Sector avg-0.52%25.1+749.2%1635.4%1506