E-commerce fulfillment volumes and parcel shipping growth rates - directly drives consumable paper demand
New machine placements and installed base expansion - leading indicator for future consumable revenue
Pulp and paper input cost inflation/deflation - impacts gross margins on consumable products
Regulatory developments on single-use plastics in EU and US states - accelerates customer adoption
high - Ranpak's revenue is directly tied to shipping volumes in e-commerce and industrial manufacturing. During economic slowdowns, parcel volumes decline and businesses defer capital equipment purchases. The company benefits disproportionately from e-commerce growth which has structural tailwinds, but faces headwinds when consumer discretionary spending contracts. Industrial production activity drives B2B packaging demand for durable goods shipments.
Rising interest rates negatively impact Ranpak through multiple channels: (1) higher financing costs on the company's debt (0.80 D/E ratio), (2) reduced e-commerce growth as consumer spending slows, (3) longer sales cycles for capital equipment purchases as customers face higher cost of capital, and (4) valuation multiple compression given negative earnings and growth stock characteristics. The company's path to profitability becomes more challenging in a high-rate environment.
Technological disruption from alternative sustainable packaging materials (mushroom-based, seaweed-based, or advanced recyclable plastics) that offer comparable sustainability with better performance characteristics
Vertical integration by large e-commerce players (Amazon, Walmart) developing proprietary packaging solutions in-house to reduce per-unit costs at scale
Pulp and paper supply chain concentration risk - limited suppliers for specialized paper grades could impact margins and availability
growth - Investors are attracted to the structural e-commerce growth story and sustainability tailwinds despite current unprofitability. The stock appeals to thematic investors focused on ESG and plastic reduction mandates. Recent 33.3% six-month return suggests momentum traders are active. Value investors may be attracted by 0.9x price/book and 1.2x price/sales multiples, but negative margins deter traditional value players. High volatility (evidenced by -25% one-year return versus +33% six-month) attracts traders rather than long-term dividend or income investors.
Trend
+30.1% vs SMA 50 · +16.3% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $340.4M $331.4M–$351.8M | — | -$0.28 | — | ±4% | Low2 |
FY2024 | $364.3M $361.8M–$366.9M | ▲ +7.0% | -$0.16 | — | ±3% | Moderate3 |
FY2025 | $395.9M $390.0M–$399.7M | ▲ +8.7% | -$0.32 | — | ±3% | Moderate3 |
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
PACK News
About
ranpak is a privately held, world leader of in-the-box paper protective packaging systems and materials in north america and europe. the name ranpak stands for "random packaging," which describes how ranpak's products can be used for any packaging application or requirement. ranpak's customers are typically oem's and distributors operating in a wide array of industries, including industrial, automotive, medical, consumer products and technology. in addition to its headquarters in concord township, ohio, ranpak operates five manufacturing facilities located in nevada, north carolina, missouri, the netherlands and czech republic.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PACK◀ | $5.75 | -6.50% | $492M | — | +707.5% | -969.6% | 1500 |
| $506.11 | -1.08% | $234.1B | 33.0 | +297.2% | 2029.7% | 1508 | |
| $109.06 | -6.25% | $116.4B | — | — | — | 1504 | |
| $63.01 | -4.73% | $90.6B | 33.3 | +112.4% | 856.2% | 1514 | |
| $300.10 | -2.94% | $74.0B | — | — | — | 1475 | |
| $247.62 | -0.51% | $69.7B | 33.2 | +215.9% | 1290.7% | 1477 | |
| $295.38 | +0.00% | $65.8B | 31.2 | -52.3% | — | 1501 | |
| Sector avg | — | -3.14% | — | 32.7 | +256.1% | 801.7% | 1497 |