PACK
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-6.50%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 75Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
6.15
Open
6.03
Day Range5.74 – 6.07
5.74
6.07
52W Range3.20 – 6.67
3.20
6.67
73% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
622.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-13.1x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.68
High vol
Performance
1D
-6.50%
5D
-11.81%
1M
+50.52%
3M
+1.77%
6M
+18.56%
YTD
+6.28%
1Y
+55.41%
Best: 1Y (+55.41%)Worst: 5D (-11.81%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +8% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 1.7 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$491.88M
Revenue TTM$405.00M
Net Income TTM-$37.60M
Free Cash Flow-$2.80M
Gross Margin24.4%
Net Margin-9.3%
Operating Margin-5.0%
Return on Equity-7.0%
Return on Assets-3.4%
Debt / Equity0.82
Current Ratio1.73
EPS TTM$-0.44
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

E-commerce fulfillment volumes and parcel shipping growth rates - directly drives consumable paper demand

New machine placements and installed base expansion - leading indicator for future consumable revenue

Pulp and paper input cost inflation/deflation - impacts gross margins on consumable products

Regulatory developments on single-use plastics in EU and US states - accelerates customer adoption

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Ranpak's revenue is directly tied to shipping volumes in e-commerce and industrial manufacturing. During economic slowdowns, parcel volumes decline and businesses defer capital equipment purchases. The company benefits disproportionately from e-commerce growth which has structural tailwinds, but faces headwinds when consumer discretionary spending contracts. Industrial production activity drives B2B packaging demand for durable goods shipments.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Ranpak through multiple channels: (1) higher financing costs on the company's debt (0.80 D/E ratio), (2) reduced e-commerce growth as consumer spending slows, (3) longer sales cycles for capital equipment purchases as customers face higher cost of capital, and (4) valuation multiple compression given negative earnings and growth stock characteristics. The company's path to profitability becomes more challenging in a high-rate environment.

Key Risks

Technological disruption from alternative sustainable packaging materials (mushroom-based, seaweed-based, or advanced recyclable plastics) that offer comparable sustainability with better performance characteristics

Vertical integration by large e-commerce players (Amazon, Walmart) developing proprietary packaging solutions in-house to reduce per-unit costs at scale

Pulp and paper supply chain concentration risk - limited suppliers for specialized paper grades could impact margins and availability

Investor Profile

growth - Investors are attracted to the structural e-commerce growth story and sustainability tailwinds despite current unprofitability. The stock appeals to thematic investors focused on ESG and plastic reduction mandates. Recent 33.3% six-month return suggests momentum traders are active. Value investors may be attracted by 0.9x price/book and 1.2x price/sales multiples, but negative margins deter traditional value players. High volatility (evidenced by -25% one-year return versus +33% six-month) attracts traders rather than long-term dividend or income investors.

Watch on Earnings
E-commerce parcel volumes (proxy: retail sales ex-auto) as leading indicator for consumable demandPulp and paper commodity prices - direct input cost affecting gross marginsIndustrial production index - correlates with B2B packaging demand in manufacturing sectorConsumer sentiment and discretionary spending trends - drives e-commerce fulfillment activity
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
25/100
Liquidity
1.73Watch
Leverage
0.82Strong
Coverage
-0.6xConcern
ROE
-7.0%Concern
ROIC
-1.6%Concern
Cash
$63MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
BUY
+73.9%upside to target
L $6.00
Med $10.00consensus
H $11.50
Buy
360%
Hold
240%
3 Buy (60%)2 Hold (40%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 75 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.73 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 92 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 10.6%

+30.1% vs SMA 50 · +16.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI75.1
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+0.61
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$6.67+16.0%
Current
$5.75
EMA 50
$4.97-13.5%
EMA 200
$4.68-18.7%
52W Low
$3.20-44.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$3.2073th %ile$6.67
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:2
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)654K
Recent Vol (5D)
629K-4%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$340.4M
$331.4M$351.8M
-$0.28
±4%
Low2
FY2024
$364.3M
$361.8M$366.9M
+7.0%-$0.16
±3%
Moderate3
FY2025
$395.9M
$390.0M$399.7M
+8.7%-$0.32
±3%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryPACK
Last 8Q
-302.1%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates rising
+217%
Q3'24
-150%
Q4'24
-900%
Q1'25
-44%
Q2'25
-800%
Q3'25
-500%
Q4'25
-230%
Q1'26
-9%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/1 SellNet Selling
Jones Michael Antho…Dir
$100K
May 30
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
JS Capital Management LLC
30.5M
2
SOROS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
4.6M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
3.1M
4
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
3.0M
5
Schusterman Interests, LLC
3.0M
6
Petrus Trust Company, LTA
3.0M
7
G2 Investment Partners Management LLC
2.8M
8
ArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC
2.1M
News & Activity

PACK News

About

ranpak is a privately held, world leader of in-the-box paper protective packaging systems and materials in north america and europe. the name ranpak stands for "random packaging," which describes how ranpak's products can be used for any packaging application or requirement. ranpak's customers are typically oem's and distributors operating in a wide array of industries, including industrial, automotive, medical, consumer products and technology. in addition to its headquarters in concord township, ohio, ranpak operates five manufacturing facilities located in nevada, north carolina, missouri, the netherlands and czech republic.

CEO
Omar Asali
Greg CaldwellSenior Vice President & Chief Marketing Officer
Michael S. GliedmanExecutive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer & Director
William E. DrewExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
PeersBasic Materials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PACK
$5.75-6.50%$492M+707.5%-969.6%1500
$506.11-1.08%$234.1B33.0+297.2%2029.7%1508
$109.06-6.25%$116.4B1504
$63.01-4.73%$90.6B33.3+112.4%856.2%1514
$300.10-2.94%$74.0B1475
$247.62-0.51%$69.7B33.2+215.9%1290.7%1477
$295.38+0.00%$65.8B31.2-52.3%1501
Sector avg-3.14%32.7+256.1%801.7%1497