PEB
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.73%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.0× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 68Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
13.89
Open
13.97
Day Range13.97 – 14.13
13.97
14.13
52W Range8.69 – 14.72
8.69
14.72
90% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
3.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-17.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.00%
Beta
1.29
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +3% · 18% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.3 (low) · FCF $2.27/sh
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.57B
Revenue TTM$1.50B
Net Income TTM-$52.14M
Free Cash Flow$256.79M
Gross Margin17.8%
Net Margin-3.5%
Operating Margin4.2%
Return on Equity-2.1%
Return on Assets-1.0%
Debt / Equity0.99
Current Ratio0.34
EPS TTM$-0.46
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Urban market RevPAR trends, particularly in San Francisco Bay Area and Southern California which represent ~40% of portfolio NOI

Business travel recovery and corporate transient demand as companies adjust remote work policies and resume in-person meetings

Group and convention booking pace for 12-24 months forward, indicating future revenue visibility

Asset disposition and capital recycling activity, including property sales to reduce leverage or fund acquisitions

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Urban upscale hotels are highly discretionary purchases tied directly to GDP growth, corporate profit health, and consumer confidence. Business travel correlates strongly with corporate earnings and employment in high-wage professional services sectors. Leisure travel to urban destinations depends on discretionary income after essential spending. The company's exposure to convention and group business creates additional sensitivity to corporate event budgets. Historical data shows hotel REITs experience 2-3x GDP beta on revenue during economic cycles.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Pebblebrook through multiple channels: (1) Higher cap rates compress property valuations and NAV, (2) Floating rate debt exposure (~30-40% of total debt typically) increases interest expense directly, (3) REIT dividend yields become less attractive versus risk-free Treasury yields, driving multiple compression, (4) Higher mortgage rates may reduce leisure travel as consumers face increased housing costs. The company's 1.02x debt-to-equity ratio amplifies refinancing risk when rates rise. Conversely, falling rates provide tailwinds through lower debt service and improved REIT valuation multiples.

Key Risks

Permanent reduction in business travel demand as remote work and video conferencing become entrenched, reducing corporate transient and meeting/convention revenue which historically represented 40-50% of urban hotel demand

Oversupply risk in key markets as new hotel construction pipelines (approved pre-2024) deliver inventory into urban markets, particularly in Miami and Los Angeles where permitting had accelerated

Short-term rental competition (Airbnb, Vrbo) capturing leisure demand with lower price points and unique experiences, particularly impacting weekend leisure travel to urban destinations

Investor Profile

value - The 0.6x price-to-book ratio and 1.0x price-to-sales multiple indicate deep value territory, attracting contrarian investors betting on urban hotel recovery and asset value realization. The 18.5% FCF yield appeals to value investors despite negative net margin, as it suggests potential for dividend restoration once profitability normalizes. Recent 25.7% six-month return shows momentum investors entering on recovery thesis. However, negative ROE and thin margins deter growth and quality-focused investors. Typical holders include REIT-focused value funds, distressed/special situations investors, and tactical traders playing cyclical recovery.

Watch on Earnings
STR (Smith Travel Research) weekly RevPAR data for San Francisco, Los Angeles, and San Diego markets showing real-time demand trendsTSA checkpoint throughput data as leading indicator of air travel recovery and urban hotel demandCorporate earnings growth rates for S&P 500 companies as proxy for business travel budget healthUrban office occupancy rates in key markets (San Francisco, Boston, DC) indicating return-to-office trends that drive weekday hotel demand
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
17/100
Liquidity
0.34Concern
Leverage
0.99Strong
Coverage
0.8xConcern
ROE
-2.1%Concern
ROIC
1.3%Concern
Cash
$184MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE27 analysts
HOLD
+6.2%upside to target
L $10.00
Med $15.00consensus
H $16.25
Buy
726%
Hold
1452%
Sell
622%
7 Buy (26%)14 Hold (52%)6 Sell (22%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 68 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.34 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 7, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 33.5%

+15.5% vs SMA 50 · +54.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI67.6
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.57
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$14.72+4.2%
Current
$14.13
EMA 50
$12.65-10.5%
EMA 200
$9.86-30.3%
52W Low
$8.69-38.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$8.6990th %ile$14.72
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:5
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.5M+10%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.4B
$1.4B$1.5B
-$1.10
±4%
High7
FY2024
$1.4B
$1.4B$1.5B
+0.4%-$0.29
±1%
High8
FY2025
$1.5B
$1.5B$1.5B
+1.6%-$0.89
±5%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryPEB
Last 8Q
+20.5%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates falling
+15%
Q3'24
+11%
Q4'24
+67%
Q1'25
+23%
Q2'25
+12%
Q3'25
+2%
Q4'25
+17%
Q1'26
+16%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Compass PointBuy → Neutral
Mar 10
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Feb 27
UPGRADE
WedbushUnderperform
Jan 2
DOWNGRADE
Compass PointNegative → Buy
Nov 21
UPGRADE
Compass PointNegative
Mar 28
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoOverweight
Aug 29
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Jan 10
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
Bortz Jon EDir
$563K
Dec 15
SELL
Schall Michael JDir
$109K
Nov 19
BUY
Schall Michael JDir
$101K
Aug 19
BUY
Bortz Jon EDir
$48K
Jun 6
BUY
Bortz Jon EDir
$165K
May 30
BUY
Bortz Jon EDir
$54K
May 27
BUY
Financials
Dividends0.29% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.29%
Quarterly Div.$0.0100
Est. Annual / Share$0.04
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO
3.2M
2
AEW CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L P
1.6M
3
Nuveen, LLC
404K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
206K
5
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
164K
6
OPPENHEIMER ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
127K
7
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
124K
8
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
117K
News & Activity

PEB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

pebblebrook hotel trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (“reit”) organized to opportunistically acquire and invest primarily in upper upscale, full-service hotels located in urban markets in major gateway cities. the company owns 37 hotels, including 31 wholly owned hotels with a total of 7,402 guest rooms and a 49% joint venture interest in six hotels with a total of 1,777 guest rooms. the company owns, or has an ownership interest in, hotels located in 11 states and the district of columbia, including: san francisco, california; los angeles, california (beverly hills, hollywood, santa monica and west hollywood); boston, massachusetts; new york, new york; san diego, california; portland, oregon; buckhead, georgia; naples, florida; seattle, washington; miami, florida; washington, dc; philadelphia, pennsylvania; columbia river gorge, washington; nashville, tennessee; bethesda, maryland and minneapolis, minnesota. for more information, please visit us at www.pebblebrook

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
Jon Bortz
Andrew H. DittamoVice President & Controller
Raymond D. MartzCo-President, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer & Secretary
Thomas Charles FisherCo-President & Chief Investment Officer
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PEB
$14.13+0.00%$1.6B1500
$214.78+0.12%$153.3B108.0+3582.4%878.3%1511
$140.03-1.87%$129.4B34.8+717.6%3880.1%1505
$1077.97-0.23%$106.8B74.9+585.3%1457.9%1524
$179.22-0.40%$84.3B29.3+511.4%2376.5%1491
$197.97-1.09%$69.3B49.7+1004.0%2140.8%1518
$202.53-0.46%$65.5B14.2+671.9%7251.1%1507
Sector avg-0.56%51.8+1178.8%2997.4%1508