PECO
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.43%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 50Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
39.87
Open
39.62
Day Range38.90 – 39.96
38.90
39.96
52W Range32.84 – 40.71
32.84
40.71
87% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
890.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
43.1x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.04%
Beta
0.68
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.43%
5D
-0.63%
1M
+6.61%
3M
+6.66%
6M
+16.63%
YTD
+11.61%
1Y
+12.12%
Best: 6M (+16.63%)Worst: 5D (-0.63%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +9% YoY · 53% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 43x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.1 (low) · FCF $1.66/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.00B
Revenue TTM$740.17M
Net Income TTM$115.35M
Free Cash Flow$206.92M
Gross Margin53.4%
Net Margin15.6%
Operating Margin37.5%
Return on Equity5.1%
Return on Assets2.2%
Debt / Equity1.15
Current Ratio0.14
EPS TTM$0.92
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-center NOI growth rates - driven by occupancy gains, rent spreads on lease renewals (new vs. expiring rents), and percentage rent from high-performing tenants

Leasing spreads and occupancy trajectory - ability to push rents 10-15% above expiring leases signals pricing power and market health

Acquisition and disposition activity - accretive acquisitions at 6-7% cap rates vs. disposition of non-core assets at 7-8% cap rates demonstrate capital allocation discipline

FFO and AFFO per share growth - core operating metric for REIT valuation, typically growing 3-5% annually through NOI growth and modest external growth

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low-to-moderate - Grocery-anchored retail demonstrates defensive characteristics since food spending is non-discretionary and grocery store traffic remains stable through recessions. However, in-line tenant health (restaurants, personal services, discretionary retail) correlates with consumer spending and employment levels. Historical data shows grocery-anchored centers maintain 93-95% occupancy even during downturns vs. 85-88% for non-grocery retail. Revenue sensitivity to GDP is muted but present through percentage rent clauses and tenant bankruptcies during severe recessions.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher cap rates compress asset values and reduce acquisition opportunities, (2) Increased borrowing costs on floating-rate debt and refinancings reduce FFO (though 85%+ of debt is fixed-rate), (3) REIT valuations compress as dividend yields must compete with risk-free Treasury yields - typically trading at 100-150bps spread to 10-year Treasury. However, in-place leases with embedded rent escalators (2-3% annually) provide partial inflation hedge. Current 1.09x debt/equity and investment-grade credit profile provide refinancing flexibility.

Key Risks

E-commerce penetration in grocery (currently ~12% of sales) - while Amazon Fresh and Instacart grow, physical grocery stores remain essential for fresh/perishable items and serve as fulfillment hubs for online orders, supporting continued relevance of grocery-anchored centers

Oversupply risk in select markets - new grocery-anchored development in high-growth Sunbelt markets could pressure occupancy and rent growth, though limited construction financing and 18-24 month development timelines create natural supply constraints

Changing retail formats - shift toward smaller-format grocers (Trader Joe's, Aldi, Lidl) and discount concepts may pressure traditional anchor tenant economics and require center repositioning

Investor Profile

dividend-income and defensive value investors - PECO offers 4.0-4.5% dividend yield with modest growth (3-5% annually), appealing to income-focused investors seeking inflation protection and lower volatility than broader equity markets. The grocery-anchored focus attracts investors prioritizing stability over growth, particularly those seeking recession-resistant cash flows. Institutional ownership ~95% reflects appeal to pension funds and insurance companies requiring predictable income streams.

Watch on Earnings
10-Year Treasury yield (GS10) - primary driver of REIT valuation multiples and cap rate expectationsRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) - leading indicator of in-line tenant health and percentage rent performanceConsumer sentiment (UMCSENT) - correlates with discretionary spending at restaurants and service tenants in centersUnemployment rate (UNRATE) - impacts tenant bankruptcy risk and consumer traffic to centers
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
21/100
Liquidity
0.14Concern
Leverage
1.15Watch
Coverage
2.4xWatch
ROE
5.1%Concern
ROIC
5.3%Concern
Cash
$4MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE14 analysts
BUY
-1.8%downside to target
L $37.00
Med $39.00consensus
H $43.00
Buy
750%
Hold
750%
7 Buy (50%)7 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 50 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.14 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 6.1%

+5.5% vs SMA 50 · +11.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI50.1
Neutral territory
MACD-0.28
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$40.71+2.5%
Current
$39.70
EMA 50
$37.41-5.8%
EMA 200
$36.00-9.3%
52W Low
$32.84-17.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$32.8487th %ile$40.71
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)809K
Recent Vol (5D)
770K-5%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$620.4M
$598.6M$641.2M
$0.48
±4%
Low2
FY2024
$646.4M
$640.1M$650.7M
+4.2%$0.47-3.8%
±1%
High5
FY2025
$658.3M
$657.3M$659.8M
+1.8%$0.62+32.3%
±2%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryPECO
Last 8Q
-8.8%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-14%
Q3'24
-36%
Q4'24
+25%
Q1'25
-67%
Q2'25
-84%
Q3'25
-69%
Q4'25
+135%
Q1'26
+39%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wolfe ResearchOutperform
Nov 12
UPGRADE
Wells FargoEqual-Weight
Aug 28
UPGRADE
Credit SuisseOutperform
Jan 9
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends3.22% yield
2 yrs of payments
Annual Yield3.22%
Monthly Div.$0.1083
Est. Annual / Share$1.30
FrequencyMonthly
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q2'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO
1.8M
2
Nuveen, LLC
993K
3
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
612K
4
Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc.
311K
5
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
258K
6
J.W. COLE ADVISORS, INC.
161K
7
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
137K
8
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
132K
News & Activity

PECO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Gary G. BaileySenior Vice President & Chief Information Officer
Joe C. HoffmannSenior Vice President of Tax
Joseph G. SchlosserChief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PECO
$39.70-0.43%$5.0B43.0+1072.1%1519.9%1500
$217.16+0.12%$153.3B108.0+3582.4%878.3%1511
$138.76-1.87%$129.4B34.8+717.6%3880.1%1505
$1083.20-0.23%$106.8B74.9+585.3%1457.9%1524
$180.88-0.40%$84.3B29.3+511.4%2376.5%1491
$198.51-1.09%$69.3B49.7+1004.0%2140.8%1518
$201.51-0.46%$65.5B14.2+671.9%7251.1%1507
Sector avg-0.62%50.6+1163.5%2786.4%1508