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The Progressive CorporationPGRNYSE
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OverviewNewsChartFundamentalsEarningsAnalysts

Analyst Sentiment

Analysts are neutral — opinion is divided on direction.

Consensus Rating
Hold
16 analysts·Moderate coverage
50%
Rating Distribution
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
850%
Hold
744%
Sell
16%
Strong Sell
00%

Analyst ratings reflect Wall Street opinion, not guarantees. Historical accuracy varies by firm and sector.

Price Target Expectations

Analysts see moderate upside — consensus target 15% higher.

Bear Case
$214.00
+0%
Base Case
$245.18
+15%
Bull Case
$265.00
+24%
Price Range16 analysts
Low
Consensus
High
$214.00
$265.00
Current Target
Current Price
$213.15
Upside to Target
$32.03

Price targets are 12-month forecasts. Actual results depend on earnings, market conditions, and sector trends.

Earnings & Revenue Estimates

Earnings Surprises

Beat rate:58%(7/12 quarters)
Avg surprise:+-0.0%
Beat
Miss
Inline
Estimate
Based on reported EPS vs consensus estimate.

Recent Analyst Actions

Jan 8, 2026Barclays
Progressive upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays
Target:$265.00
+26.7%from $209.10
Jan 7, 2026Goldman Sachs
Progressive price target lowered to $227 from $247 at Goldman Sachs
Target:$227.00
+8.6%from $209.10
Jan 7, 2026Evercore ISI
Progressive price target lowered to $237 from $250 at Evercore ISI
Target:$237.00
+10.8%from $213.99
Dec 19, 2025Wells Fargo
Progressive price target lowered to $242 from $247 at Wells Fargo
Target:$242.00
+7.6%from $224.86
Dec 18, 2025BMO Capital
Progressive price target lowered to $253 from $256 at BMO Capital
Target:$253.00
+11.3%from $227.27
Dec 15, 2025Mizuho Securities
Progressive initiated with a Neutral at Mizuho
Target:$242.00
+2.5%from $236.18
Dec 9, 2025BMO Capital
Progressive price target lowered to $256 from $260 at BMO Capital
Target:$256.00
+14.7%from $223.16
Nov 21, 2025BMO Capital
Progressive price target raised to $260 from $247 at BMO Capital
Target:$260.00
+15.0%from $226.00
Nov 20, 2025Wells Fargo
Progressive price target raised to $247 from $246 at Wells Fargo
Target:$247.00
+10.8%from $222.93
Nov 17, 2025HSBC
HSBC Upgrades Progressive Corp. (PGR) to Buy
Target:$259.00
+15.0%from $225.14
Nov 14, 2025Jefferies
Progressive downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Target:$232.00
+4.0%from $223.15
Oct 27, 2025Goldman Sachs
Progressive Corp. (PGR) PT Lowered to $245 at Goldman Sachs
Target:$245.00
+13.1%from $216.63
Oct 20, 2025Barclays
Progressive price target lowered to $257 from $271 at Barclays
Target:$257.00
+13.9%from $225.61
Oct 20, 2025Morgan Stanley
Progressive downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
Target:$214.00
-5.1%from $225.61
Oct 17, 2025Raymond James
Progressive price target lowered to $265 from $305 at Raymond James
Target:$265.00
+18.7%from $223.34
Oct 16, 2025BMO Capital
Progressive price target lowered to $247 from $252 at BMO Capital
Target:$247.00
+9.1%from $226.50
Oct 16, 2025Wells Fargo
Progressive price target lowered to $246 from $266 at Wells Fargo
Target:$246.00
+8.6%from $226.50
Oct 8, 2025UBS
Progressive price target lowered to $261 from $268 at UBS
Target:$261.00
+6.6%from $244.82
Oct 8, 2025Barclays
Progressive price target lowered to $271 from $281 at Barclays
Target:$271.00
+11.1%from $243.89
Oct 1, 2025Evercore ISI
Progressive price target lowered to $273 from $275 at Evercore ISI
Target:$273.00
+10.3%from $247.51
Sep 18, 2025BMO Capital
Progressive price target raised to $252 from $250 at BMO Capital
Target:$252.00
+3.5%from $243.49
Sep 18, 2025Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo downgrades Progressive on slowing policy growth
Target:$265.00
+8.8%from $243.49
Sep 17, 2025BMO Capital
Progressive downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital
Target:$250.00
+2.6%from $243.61
Aug 22, 2025Morgan Stanley
Progressive price target raised to $267 from $265 at Morgan Stanley
Target:$267.00
+7.1%from $249.21
Aug 11, 2025Morgan Stanley
Progressive price target lowered to $265 from $275 at Morgan Stanley
Target:$265.00
+7.5%from $246.51

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