PLMR
Next earnings: Aug 3, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-0.88%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume2.0× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 43Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
111.73
Open
113.09
Day Range109.01 – 114.04
109.01
114.04
52W Range107.75 – 175.85
107.75
175.85
4% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
309.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
15.6x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.09
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.88%
5D
-8.18%
1M
-9.12%
3M
-13.22%
6M
-5.98%
YTD
-17.82%
1Y
-29.16%
Worst: 1Y (-29.16%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +60% YoY · 41% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 16x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 250.6 · FCF $15.26/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.94B
Revenue TTM$977.99M
Net Income TTM$197.09M
Free Cash Flow$405.61M
Gross Margin41.0%
Net Margin20.2%
Operating Margin20.4%
Return on Equity21.7%
Return on Assets5.5%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio250.56
EPS TTM$7.42
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Catastrophic loss events - major earthquakes (magnitude 6.5+ in California) or wildfire seasons directly impact loss ratios and reinsurance costs, with market reactions often immediate

Gross written premium growth rates - quarterly GWP acceleration/deceleration signals market share gains, rate adequacy, and distribution expansion in target geographies

Combined ratio performance - underwriting profitability below 90% combined ratio drives valuation expansion, while deterioration above 95% triggers multiple compression

Reinsurance treaty renewals (typically June 1 and January 1) - pricing, retention levels, and capacity availability determine capital efficiency and earnings volatility

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Property insurance demand is relatively inelastic (mortgage requirements drive earthquake coverage, wealth protection drives coastal homeowners policies), but premium growth accelerates during economic expansions as real estate values appreciate and new construction increases insurable exposure. Recession impacts are muted compared to commercial lines, though severe downturns may reduce voluntary earthquake coverage purchases. The 58.2% revenue growth suggests the company is gaining share in hardening specialty markets rather than riding broad economic cycles.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates provide dual benefits: (1) higher investment yields on the $400-500M investment portfolio (estimated from balance sheet strength) improve net income by 50-100 basis points per 1% rate increase, and (2) higher discount rates on loss reserves can reduce reported liabilities. However, rising rates compress P/E multiples for insurance stocks as investors demand higher equity risk premiums. The zero debt/equity ratio eliminates financing cost concerns. Falling rates reduce investment income but typically expand valuation multiples.

Key Risks

Climate change intensification - increasing frequency/severity of wildfires and potential seismic activity changes could outpace actuarial models, leading to adverse loss development and reinsurance market hardening that compresses margins

California regulatory intervention - state-mandated rate caps, coverage expansions (e.g., FAIR Plan reforms), or restrictions on non-renewals in wildfire zones could force the company into unprofitable underwriting or limit growth in core markets

Reinsurance market dislocation - catastrophic loss years (e.g., $100B+ industry events) could trigger reinsurance capacity withdrawal or prohibitive pricing, forcing higher net retention and capital strain

Investor Profile

growth - The 58.2% revenue growth, 60.5% EPS growth, and 24.3% ROE attract growth investors seeking exposure to specialty insurance market hardening and catastrophe risk repricing. The company's capital-light model and scalability appeal to investors prioritizing earnings compounding over dividend yield. However, the 4.7% one-year return suggests recent volatility or multiple compression has created value characteristics, potentially attracting GARP (growth at reasonable price) investors given the 3.9x P/S and 18.3x EV/EBITDA relative to 58% revenue growth.

Watch on Earnings
USGS seismic activity reports for California, Pacific Northwest - magnitude 5.0+ earthquakes signal potential loss events and market hardening opportunitiesCalifornia Department of Insurance rate filing approvals - admitted market rate changes predict E&S pricing trends with 6-12 month lagNational Interagency Fire Center wildfire acreage statistics - severe fire seasons (1M+ acres in California) drive homeowners claims and reinsurance cost inflationAM Best reinsurance market reports - treaty renewal pricing, capacity trends, and catastrophe bond issuance volumes
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
70/100
Liquidity
250.56Strong
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
57.6xStrong
ROE
21.7%Strong
ROIC
9.1%Watch
Cash
$107MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
-1.1%downside to target
L $88.00
Med $109.50consensus
H $134.00
Buy
990%
Hold
110%
9 Buy (90%)1 Hold (10%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 43 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 250.56 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 8, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 5, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 105 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 13.8%

-9.2% vs SMA 50 · +3.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI43.5
Momentum fading
MACD+0.38
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$175.9+58.8%
EMA 50
$123.3+11.3%
Current
$110.8
52W Low
$107.8-2.7%
EMA 200
$107.2-3.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$107.84th %ile$175.9
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:6
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)305K
Recent Vol (5D)
342K+12%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$445.9M
$430.8M$462.1M
$3.88
±5%
Moderate4
FY2024
$1.5B
$1.5B$1.6B
+245.7%$4.80+23.6%
±2%
High6
FY2025
$2.0B
$2.0B$2.1B
+30.8%$7.72+60.9%
±1%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryPLMR
Last 8Q
+15.4%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+15%
Q3'24
+19%
Q4'24
+25%
Q1'25
+18%
Q2'25
+5%
Q3'25
+27%
Q4'25
+9%
Q1'26
+6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Outperform
May 16
UPGRADE
Keefe Bruyette & Wo…Market Perform
Oct 12
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight
Jun 22
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $1.1M sold · 30d window
Armstrong MacDir
$211K
Apr 21
SELL
Armstrong MacDir
$89K
Apr 21
SELL
Armstrong MacDir
$158K
Apr 21
SELL
Armstrong MacDir
$414K
Apr 15
SELL
Christianson JonPresident
$239K
Apr 15
SELL
Christianson JonPresident
$10K
Apr 15
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
716K
2
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
715K
3
EMERALD ADVISERS, LLC
298K
4
Artemis Investment Management LLP
275K
5
VILLERE ST DENIS J & CO LLC
247K
6
Handelsbanken Fonder AB
169K
7
EMERALD MUTUAL FUND ADVISERS TRUST
163K
8
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
148K
News & Activity

PLMR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

palomar specialty insurance company is committed to providing a stable option for catastrophe insurance. experience, knowledge and financial strength allow palomar to focus on the specialized needs of catastrophe risk for commercial and personal property.

George DobrevSenior Vice President of Analytics
Jon Marcus ChristiansonPresident
Elizabeth Whitaker SeitzEVice President of Treasury & Financial Operations and Chief Accounting Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PLMR
$110.75-0.88%$3.0B14.9+5815.6%2249.7%1500
$314.90+1.78%$834.5B14.9+330.7%2039.3%1504
$318.80-1.00%$617.3B27.4+1134.0%5014.5%1499
$491.89-1.04%$440.0B28.1+1641.6%4564.7%1489
$53.60+0.90%$377.0B12.3-45.1%1592.6%1503
$193.35+2.13%$300.4B16.7+1147.7%1466.4%1517
$937.35+2.01%$272.7B15.8-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg+0.56%18.6+1412.3%2614.3%1504