PLOW
Next earnings: Aug 3, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.51%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 54Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
45.38
Open
44.81
Day Range44.07 – 45.55
44.07
45.55
52W Range26.75 – 52.33
26.75
52.33
68% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
258.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
19.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
0.85
Market-like
Performance
1D
-2.51%
5D
-3.22%
1M
-1.62%
3M
+4.71%
6M
+43.22%
YTD
+35.50%
1Y
+51.25%
Best: 1Y (+51.25%)Worst: 5D (-3.22%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +15% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 20x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.7 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.02B
Revenue TTM$678.78M
Net Income TTM$53.13M
Free Cash Flow-$4.09B
Gross Margin26.7%
Net Margin7.8%
Operating Margin11.8%
Return on Equity0.1%
Return on Assets0.0%
Debt / Equity0.35
Current Ratio2.65
EPS TTM$2.30
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Winter weather severity and snowfall totals across key markets (Northeast, Midwest, Mountain states) - drives equipment utilization and replacement cycles

Municipal and state DOT snow removal budgets - typically 40-50% of revenue comes from government entities with annual budget cycles

Pre-season dealer orders (July-October) - leading indicator of expected demand and inventory positioning

Steel and raw material input costs - significant impact on gross margins given manufacturing-intensive model

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - The business exhibits counter-cyclical characteristics during recessions as municipalities prioritize essential services like snow removal, but commercial contractor demand weakens with construction activity. Municipal budgets (40-50% of revenue) are relatively stable and planned annually, providing baseline demand. However, commercial and contractor segments are tied to construction spending, fleet replacement cycles, and small business capital expenditure. The 136.7% net income growth suggests recovery from a weak prior period, likely reflecting improved weather patterns rather than economic acceleration. Overall sensitivity is moderate given the mix of defensive municipal revenue and cyclical commercial exposure.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have moderate negative impact through two channels: (1) Dealer financing costs increase, potentially reducing inventory stocking levels and pre-season orders, and (2) Commercial contractors face higher equipment financing costs, extending replacement cycles. However, most municipal purchases are budgeted and less rate-sensitive. The company's 1.08x debt/equity ratio means rising rates modestly increase interest expense, though the 2.01x current ratio suggests adequate liquidity. Valuation multiples (15.3x EV/EBITDA) may compress as rates rise and investors demand higher equity risk premiums for cyclical industrials.

Key Risks

Climate change and warming winters reducing long-term snowfall totals in traditional markets, potentially shrinking addressable market by 10-20% over next decade

Municipal budget pressures and shift toward outsourcing snow removal to private contractors, changing customer mix and pricing dynamics

Technological disruption from autonomous snow removal equipment or alternative de-icing technologies, though adoption timeline likely 10+ years

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts value investors seeking cyclical recovery plays and special situation investors betting on weather patterns. The 63.3% one-year return and 43.8% three-month return suggest momentum following a period of depressed earnings (136.7% net income growth from low base). The 3.4% FCF yield and 1.6x price/sales ratio indicate value characteristics. Investors typically buy during mild winters when stock is depressed and sell into heavy snow years. Not a dividend story despite stable market position. Requires tolerance for weather-driven earnings volatility and willingness to take contrarian positions.

Watch on Earnings
National Weather Service seasonal snowfall forecasts for Northeast and Midwest regions (October-March)Steel prices (hot-rolled coil) and hydraulic component costs impacting gross marginsMunicipal budget appropriations for snow removal in major cities (typically set June-August for following winter)Housing starts and commercial construction spending as leading indicators for work truck demand
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
41/100
Liquidity
2.65Strong
Leverage
0.35Strong
Coverage
6.8xStrong
ROE
0.1%Concern
ROIC
0.0%Concern
Cash
$8MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
HOLD
+8.5%upside to target
L $48.00
Med $48.00consensus
H $56.00
Buy
450%
Hold
338%
Sell
113%
4 Buy (50%)3 Hold (38%)1 Sell (12%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 54 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.65 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 33.4%

+11.6% vs SMA 50 · +48.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI54.1
Neutral territory
MACD+1.25
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$52.33+18.3%
Current
$44.24
EMA 50
$41.19-6.9%
EMA 200
$29.86-32.5%
52W Low
$26.75-39.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$26.7568th %ile$52.33
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:7
Edge:+4 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)246K
Recent Vol (5D)
258K+5%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$580.2M
$578.1M$582.8M
$1.38
±1%
Low2
FY2025
$641.3M
$639.0M$644.1M
+10.5%$2.17+57.4%
±1%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$770.5M
$767.7M$773.9M
+20.1%$2.92+34.8%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryPLOW
Last 8Q
+61.5%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+68%
Q3'24
+4%
Q4'24
+5%
Q1'25
+156%
Q2'25
+36%
Q3'25
+11%
Q4'25
+11%
Q1'26
+200%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Goldman SachsNeutral
Apr 8
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/5 SellsNet Selling
Sisulak Jon JController
$42K
Mar 9
SELL
Bernauer Christophe…Pres. Work Tru…
$37K
Mar 9
SELL
Janik James LDir
$454K
May 16
SELL
Sisulak Jon JController
$22K
Mar 10
SELL
Van Genderen MarkCOO
$115K
Nov 1
BUY
Mccormick Robert LPresident and …
$357K
Mar 11
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.67% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.67%
Quarterly Div.$0.2950
Est. Annual / Share$1.18
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC
2.1M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
1.9M
3
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
1.6M
4
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
936K
5
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.
788K
6
SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
623K
7
PUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.
622K
8
Nuveen, LLC
620K
News & Activity

PLOW News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

headquartered in milwaukee, wisconsin, douglas dynamics designs, manufactures and sells snow and ice control equipment for light trucks, which is comprised of snowplows and sand and salt spreaders, and related parts and accessories. the company is also a leading manufacturer of turf and other commercial/industrial grounds control products. the company sells its products under the western®, fisher®, snowex®, turfex®, sweepex® and henderson® brands, which are among the most established and recognized in the industry.

CEO
Robert McCormick
Mark Van GenderenPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Nathan ElwellVice President of Investor Relations
Sarah C. LauberExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Secretary
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PLOW
$44.24-2.51%$1.0B19.2+1540.0%714.8%1500
$888.31-3.47%$409.2B43.7+429.0%1312.8%1523
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B33.7+1848.2%1898.2%1489
$171.18-2.56%$230.5B31.8+974.1%759.8%1488
$220.49-3.80%$173.8B79.6+3449.4%249.7%1503
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1504
$399.44-2.12%$155.1B38.9+1033.0%1489.7%1504
Sector avg-2.49%38.4+1340.1%1333.9%1502