Firearms background check data (NICS) as proxy for ammunition demand trends
Government contract awards and military procurement budget allocations
Retail channel inventory levels and distributor restocking patterns
Raw material costs for brass, lead, copper, and powder components
moderate - Commercial ammunition demand correlates with discretionary consumer spending and sporting goods retail, showing cyclical characteristics. However, government/military contracts provide counter-cyclical stability. Economic uncertainty can paradoxically boost demand due to personal security concerns. Industrial production trends affect manufacturing costs and supply chain efficiency.
Moderate impact through multiple channels: higher rates reduce consumer discretionary spending on ammunition and sporting goods, increase financing costs for inventory and operations, and compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies. The 4.0x current ratio suggests adequate liquidity, but negative cash flows make the company sensitive to credit availability for working capital needs.
Regulatory risk from potential federal or state-level ammunition restrictions, taxation, or sales limitations that could materially constrain addressable market
Secular decline risk if firearms ownership rates decrease or ammunition technology shifts (e.g., training simulators reducing live-fire requirements)
Environmental regulations on lead-based ammunition driving costly reformulation or manufacturing process changes
momentum/speculative - The 46% six-month return despite negative fundamentals suggests speculative traders and turnaround investors rather than fundamental value or income investors. Negative margins and cash flows preclude dividend investors. The profile attracts investors betting on operational restructuring, political catalysts (election cycles driving firearms demand), or M&A activity. High volatility and small market cap ($0.2B) indicate retail and tactical hedge fund participation.
Trend
+3.5% vs SMA 50 · +52.4% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $135.5M $135.1M–$135.9M | — | -$0.21 | — | ±0% | Low1 |
FY2025 | $103.3M $103.0M–$103.6M | ▼ -23.8% | -$0.40 | — | ±0% | Low1 |
FY2026(current) | $49.9M $49.8M–$50.0M | ▼ -51.7% | -$0.06 | — | ±0% | Low1 |
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
POWW News
About
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| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
POWW◀ | $1.91 | +0.00% | $224M | — | — | — | 1500 |
| $264.14 | -1.15% | $2.8T | 31.3 | +1237.8% | 1083.4% | 1522 | |
| $422.24 | -4.75% | $1.6T | 352.3 | -293.1% | 400.1% | 1508 | |
| $297.51 | -2.25% | $296.3B | 20.9 | +324.0% | 859.6% | 1474 | |
| $276.39 | +0.00% | $196.4B | 22.6 | +372.3% | — | 1481 | |
| $147.43 | +0.05% | $163.2B | 30.2 | +711.9% | — | 1499 | |
| $218.42 | -2.32% | $122.3B | — | — | — | 1487 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.49% | — | 91.4 | +470.6% | 781.0% | 1496 |