POWW
Next earnings: Jun 15, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.55%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
1.94
Open
1.91
Day Range1.91 – 1.94
1.91
1.94
52W Range1.08 – 2.23
1.08
2.23
72% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
629.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-6.8x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.43
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -104% YoY · thin -954% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 4.0 · FCF $0.02/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$224.02M
Revenue TTM-$4.92M
Net Income TTM-$80.34M
Free Cash Flow$2.72M
Gross Margin-953.6%
Net Margin1632.0%
Operating Margin275.0%
Return on Equity-35.0%
Return on Assets-29.6%
Debt / Equity0.05
Current Ratio4.00
EPS TTM$-0.69
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Firearms background check data (NICS) as proxy for ammunition demand trends

Government contract awards and military procurement budget allocations

Retail channel inventory levels and distributor restocking patterns

Raw material costs for brass, lead, copper, and powder components

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Commercial ammunition demand correlates with discretionary consumer spending and sporting goods retail, showing cyclical characteristics. However, government/military contracts provide counter-cyclical stability. Economic uncertainty can paradoxically boost demand due to personal security concerns. Industrial production trends affect manufacturing costs and supply chain efficiency.

Interest Rates

Moderate impact through multiple channels: higher rates reduce consumer discretionary spending on ammunition and sporting goods, increase financing costs for inventory and operations, and compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies. The 4.0x current ratio suggests adequate liquidity, but negative cash flows make the company sensitive to credit availability for working capital needs.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk from potential federal or state-level ammunition restrictions, taxation, or sales limitations that could materially constrain addressable market

Secular decline risk if firearms ownership rates decrease or ammunition technology shifts (e.g., training simulators reducing live-fire requirements)

Environmental regulations on lead-based ammunition driving costly reformulation or manufacturing process changes

Investor Profile

momentum/speculative - The 46% six-month return despite negative fundamentals suggests speculative traders and turnaround investors rather than fundamental value or income investors. Negative margins and cash flows preclude dividend investors. The profile attracts investors betting on operational restructuring, political catalysts (election cycles driving firearms demand), or M&A activity. High volatility and small market cap ($0.2B) indicate retail and tactical hedge fund participation.

Watch on Earnings
FBI NICS firearms background check monthly data as leading indicator for ammunition demandDepartment of Defense procurement budget allocations for small arms ammunitionCopper futures prices (HGUSD) as key input cost for cartridge casingsLead commodity prices affecting bullet manufacturing costs
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
39/100
Liquidity
4.00Strong
Leverage
0.05Strong
Coverage
-12.6xConcern
ROE
-35.0%Concern
ROIC
-5.4%Concern
Cash
$30MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
BUY
+17.8%upside to target
Buy
375%
Hold
125%
3 Buy (75%)1 Hold (25%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 4.00 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 102 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 47.2%

+3.5% vs SMA 50 · +52.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.3
Neutral territory
MACD+0.03
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$2.23+16.8%
Current
$1.91
EMA 50
$1.85-3.0%
EMA 200
$1.26-34.0%
52W Low
$1.08-43.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$1.0872th %ile$2.23
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)524K
Recent Vol (5D)
360K-31%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$135.5M
$135.1M$135.9M
-$0.21
±0%
Low1
FY2025
$103.3M
$103.0M$103.6M
-23.8%-$0.40
±0%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$49.9M
$49.8M$50.0M
-51.7%-$0.06
±0%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryPOWW
Last 8Q
-176.5%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
-33%
Q1'24
+400%
Q2'24
+133%
Q3'24
-249%
Q1'25
-2100%
Q2'25
+167%
Q3'25
+120%
Q4'25
+150%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Roth CapitalNeutral → Buy
Nov 12
UPGRADE
Roth CapitalNeutral
Nov 15
DOWNGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Balentine LLC
17.2M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
6.7M
3
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
2.5M
4
First Eagle Investment Management, LLC
2.0M
5
STATE STREET CORP
1.8M
6
AWH Capital, L.P.
1.0M
7
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
848K
8
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
786K
News & Activity

POWW News

About

No description available.

Country
United States
Steven F. UrvanCEO & Chairman
James MannVice President of Operations
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
POWW
$1.91+0.00%$224M1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1522
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1508
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1474
$276.39+0.00%$196.4B22.6+372.3%1481
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%1499
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B1487
Sector avg-1.49%91.4+470.6%781.0%1496