PRAA
Next earnings: Aug 3, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+2.99%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 44Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
14.72
Open
14.68
Day Range14.28 – 15.62
14.28
15.62
52W Range10.25 – 22.55
10.25
22.55
40% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
528.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-2.1x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.41
Low vol
Performance
1D
+2.99%
5D
-26.30%
1M
-25.98%
3M
+39.59%
6M
-7.16%
YTD
-14.30%
1Y
-1.37%
Best: 3M (+39.59%)Worst: 5D (-26.30%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +13% YoY · 99% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.0 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$578.22M
Revenue TTM$1.28B
Net Income TTM-$280.59M
Free Cash Flow-$13.36M
Gross Margin98.8%
Net Margin-21.9%
Operating Margin35.7%
Return on Equity-26.4%
Return on Assets-5.4%
Debt / Equity0.03
Current Ratio2.02
EPS TTM$-7.31
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Portfolio purchase volume and pricing - deployment of capital into new NPL acquisitions at attractive IRRs (target 15-20%+ typically)

Collection effectiveness and recovery curves - actual cash collections versus modeled expectations on existing portfolios

Credit quality trends in consumer lending - rising charge-off rates at banks increase NPL supply, but also signal weaker consumer health affecting collectability

Regulatory developments in debt collection practices - CFPB rules, state-level restrictions, or European consumer protection laws

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Business exhibits counter-cyclical supply dynamics (recessions increase NPL availability as charge-offs rise) but pro-cyclical collection dynamics (recessions reduce consumer ability to pay). The net effect is complex: weak economy increases portfolio supply at better prices but reduces recovery rates. Strong employment and wage growth improve collection effectiveness on existing portfolios. Current negative FCF suggests company is in investment mode, requiring stable credit markets for financing.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Financing costs - company uses credit facilities and debt to fund portfolio purchases, so rising rates directly compress IRRs and profitability; (2) Discount rates - higher rates reduce NPV of future collections, lowering ERC valuations; (3) Consumer payment capacity - higher rates strain household budgets through credit card rates and mortgage costs, reducing collection effectiveness. The 0.03 D/E ratio appears unusually low and may reflect off-balance-sheet financing or recent deleveraging.

Key Risks

Regulatory tightening of debt collection practices - CFPB enforcement actions, state-level restrictions on contact frequency, garnishment limits, or statute of limitations changes can materially reduce collectability

Secular decline in traditional credit card debt - shift to BNPL (Buy Now Pay Later) and alternative credit products may reduce future NPL supply in core asset classes

Data privacy regulations limiting use of consumer information for collection scoring and contact strategies

Investor Profile

value - Distressed valuation metrics (0.4x P/S, 0.5x P/B) attract deep value investors betting on operational turnaround or portfolio recovery. The 53% one-year decline and negative FCF suggest current holders are either distressed debt specialists or long-term contrarians. Not suitable for growth, dividend (likely suspended given negative FCF), or momentum investors. Requires high conviction in management's underwriting discipline and collection capabilities.

Watch on Earnings
Consumer credit card charge-off rates (ABS data from major issuers) - leading indicator of NPL supplyPersonal savings rate and consumer debt service ratio - indicators of collection effectivenessHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - proxy for company's borrowing costs and market accessUnemployment rate and wage growth - direct drivers of consumer payment capacity
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
50/100
Liquidity
2.02Strong
Leverage
0.03Strong
Coverage
2.5xWatch
ROE
-26.4%Concern
ROIC
186.4%Strong
Cash
$104MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
HOLD
+64.9%upside to target
L $24.00
Med $25.00consensus
H $26.00
Buy
542%
Hold
758%
5 Buy (42%)7 Hold (58%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 44 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.02 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 26.5%

-5.8% vs SMA 50 · +19.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI43.9
Momentum fading
MACD-0.15
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$22.55+48.7%
EMA 50
$16.26+7.3%
Current
$15.16
EMA 200
$12.75-15.9%
52W Low
$10.25-32.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$10.2540th %ile$22.55
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:6
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)453K
Recent Vol (5D)
902K+99%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$977.7M
$946.5M$1.0B
$0.10
±4%
Low2
FY2024
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
+12.2%$1.77+1664.0%
±1%
Moderate3
FY2025
$1.2B
$1.1B$1.2B
+5.5%-$8.72
±4%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryPRAA
Last 8Q
+107.6%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+575%
Q3'24
+44%
Q4'24
+4%
Q1'25
-78%
Q2'25
+74%
Q3'25
+6%
Q4'25
+192%
Q1'26
+43%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupOutperform → Market Perform
Jan 28
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Olsen GeirDir
$212K
Nov 6
BUY
Paschke Brett LeeDir
$67K
May 7
BUY
Olsen GeirDir
$248K
May 7
BUY
Olsen GeirDir
$251K
Aug 7
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
7.1M
2
Global Alpha Capital Management Ltd.
1.9M
3
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.6M
4
UBS Group AG
490K
5
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CORP /VA
443K
6
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
398K
7
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC
373K
8
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
253K
News & Activity

PRAA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

as a global leader in acquiring nonperforming loans, pra group (nasdaq: praa) returns capital to global banks and other creditors to help expand financial services for consumers in the americas and europe. pra group companies collaborate with customers to help them resolve their debt and provide a broad range of additional revenue and recovery services to business and government clients. pra has been recognized as one of fortune's 100 fastest-growing companies for three years and one of forbes' best small companies in america for eight consecutive years since 2007.

Industry
Credit Card Issuing
CEO
Kevin Stevenson
Lauren PartinSenior Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations
Martin SjolundChief Executive Officer, President & Director
Najim MostamandVice President of Investor Relations
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
PRAA
$15.16+2.99%$578M+1035.9%-2460.3%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg+0.12%19.1+729.5%1941.4%1506