QQQ
Signal
Leaning Bearish1!
Price
1
Move+0.96%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 74Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
667.74
Open
669.16
Day Range668.80 – 675.97
668.80
675.97
52W Range476.78 – 675.97
476.78
675.97
99% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
61.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
35.6x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
1.27
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.96%
5D
+1.62%
1M
+15.24%
3M
+7.67%
6M
+7.17%
YTD
+9.74%
1Y
+37.91%
Best: 1Y (+37.91%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
mixed signals
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 36x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
Insufficient data
Bearish
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Earnings growth and revenue acceleration of mega-cap technology constituents (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL)

Federal Reserve policy shifts affecting discount rates applied to long-duration growth stocks

AI infrastructure spending cycles driving semiconductor and cloud platform demand

Multiple expansion/contraction based on 10-year Treasury yields and equity risk premium

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Technology sector shows mixed cyclicality. Enterprise software and cloud infrastructure exhibit recurring revenue models with 80%+ retention rates, providing downside protection. However, advertising-driven platforms (META, GOOGL) and consumer hardware (AAPL) are sensitive to GDP growth and consumer spending. Semiconductor demand correlates with industrial production and capital goods orders. Overall, Nasdaq-100 companies demonstrate higher operating leverage than S&P 500 due to fixed-cost-heavy business models.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity to interest rate expectations. Technology stocks trade at elevated forward P/E multiples (25-35x for mega-caps) with cash flows weighted toward outer years, making valuations highly sensitive to discount rate changes. A 100bp move in 10-year Treasury yields historically correlates with 8-12% moves in QQQ. Rising rates compress multiples through higher equity risk premium and make bond alternatives more attractive. Additionally, many constituents carry substantial cash balances ($200B+ for AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL) where rising rates increase interest income but this is offset by valuation compression.

Key Risks

Regulatory fragmentation risk - EU Digital Markets Act, potential US antitrust actions against AAPL, GOOGL, AMZN, META could force business model changes or breakups

Geopolitical technology decoupling - China restrictions on semiconductor equipment exports (ASML, AMAT), potential Taiwan Strait conflict disrupting TSMC supply (60% of global foundry capacity)

AI commoditization risk - if large language models become commoditized utilities, current AI infrastructure spending boom could reverse, impacting NVDA, hyperscalers

Investor Profile

growth - QQQ attracts growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to secular technology trends (cloud, AI, digital transformation) with higher risk tolerance. The fund appeals to momentum investors during risk-on environments and suffers outflows during risk-off rotations to value/defensives. Institutional allocators use QQQ for tactical technology overweights. Retail investors favor QQQ for simplified access to mega-cap technology without individual stock selection risk.

Watch on Earnings
Nasdaq-100 forward 12-month P/E ratio relative to 10-year average (currently 28-32x range)10-year Treasury yield and real yields (TIPS) as primary valuation driverAggregate revenue growth rate for mega-cap 7 technology stocksPhiladelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) as leading indicator for technology capex cycles
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 1.6%

+11.6% vs SMA 50 · +13.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI74.1
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD-9.35
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$676.0+0.3%
Current
$674.2
EMA 50
$599.0-11.1%
EMA 200
$580.4-13.9%
52W Low
$476.8-29.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$476.899th %ile$676.0
Earnings & Analysts
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Analyst IMS Investment Management Services Ltd.
1.8M
2
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
1.8M
3
National Mutual Insurance Federation of Agricultural Cooperatives
1.8M
4
Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc.
1.3M
5
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORP
1000K
6
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
851K
7
Kestra Advisory Services, LLC
818K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
810K
News & Activity

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