RDW
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+0.50%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume2.3× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 58Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
13.99
Open
13.73
Day Range13.46 – 14.57
13.46
14.57
52W Range4.87 – 22.25
4.87
22.25
53% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
22.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-5.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.53
High vol
Performance
1D
+0.50%
5D
+49.42%
1M
+41.88%
3M
+75.31%
6M
+159.89%
YTD
+85.00%
1Y
+8.74%
Best: 6M (+159.89%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +34% · 9% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.8 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.11B
Revenue TTM$370.96M
Net Income TTM-$300.11M
Free Cash Flow-$157.31M
Gross Margin9.2%
Net Margin-80.9%
Operating Margin-76.6%
Return on Equity-29.0%
Return on Assets-19.9%
Debt / Equity0.19
Current Ratio1.75
EPS TTM$-1.55
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

NASA and DoD contract awards - particularly Gateway lunar station, Artemis program components, and Space Development Agency satellite contracts

Commercial satellite constellation orders - volume production contracts for solar arrays and structures from LEO broadband operators

In-space manufacturing milestones - successful demonstrations of 3D printing, materials processing, or pharmaceutical research in microgravity

Quarterly backlog growth and book-to-bill ratio - leading indicators of revenue trajectory and market share gains

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Revenue is largely driven by multi-year government space budgets (NASA, DoD, intelligence agencies) which are relatively insulated from economic cycles. Commercial satellite demand has some cyclical exposure tied to telecom capex and venture funding for space startups, but represents smaller revenue portion. However, the company's ability to raise capital and fund operations is sensitive to risk appetite in equity markets given negative cash flow profile.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) higher cost of capital for the company's own financing needs and working capital facilities, (2) reduced valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies in public markets, (3) tighter venture funding for commercial space customers which may delay or cancel satellite orders, and (4) increased competition for government budget dollars as debt service costs rise. The company's negative cash flow amplifies sensitivity to financing conditions.

Key Risks

Government budget volatility - NASA and DoD appropriations subject to political cycles, continuing resolutions, and shifting priorities away from space exploration toward other defense needs

Technological obsolescence - rapid innovation in space manufacturing, propulsion, and materials could render existing product lines less competitive; new entrants with advanced capabilities pose disruption risk

Regulatory and export control complexity - ITAR restrictions limit international sales opportunities and increase compliance costs; changes to space traffic management or orbital debris regulations could impact operations

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts speculative growth investors betting on the commercial space economy expansion and Redwire's positioning in critical infrastructure. The company's negative profitability, high revenue growth, and exposure to transformative space trends (lunar economy, in-space manufacturing, satellite mega-constellations) appeal to investors with long time horizons willing to accept execution risk. Recent 53% three-month rally suggests momentum and retail interest, while -61% one-year return reflects high volatility and sensitivity to growth stock sentiment.

Watch on Earnings
NASA budget appropriations for Artemis lunar program and Gateway station (primary government revenue driver)DoD Space Development Agency procurement activity and satellite constellation awardsCommercial LEO satellite constellation deployment rates (Starlink, Kuiper, OneWeb expansion plans)Quarterly cash balance and burn rate (liquidity runway given negative cash flow)
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
29/100
Liquidity
1.75Watch
Leverage
0.19Strong
Coverage
-7.4xConcern
ROE
-29.0%Concern
ROIC
-19.6%Concern
Cash
$95MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
+3.1%upside to target
L $9.00
Med $14.50consensus
H $20.00
Buy
990%
Sell
110%
9 Buy (90%)0 Hold (0%)1 Sell (10%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 58 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.75 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 8.6%

+44.3% vs SMA 50 · +56.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.4
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.74
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$22.25+58.3%
Current
$14.06
EMA 200
$10.32-26.6%
EMA 50
$10.11-28.1%
52W Low
$4.87-65.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$4.8753th %ile$22.25
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:5
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)24.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
45.2M+85%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$292.0M
$283.2M$302.9M
-$0.98
±4%
Low2
FY2024
$309.3M
$309.1M$309.7M
+5.9%-$1.03
±6%
High5
FY2025
$328.7M
$316.8M$332.6M
+6.3%-$1.69
±23%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryRDW
Last 8Q
-111.6%avg beat
Beat 0 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates rising
-125%
Q3'24
-40%
Q4'24
-267%
Q1'25
Q2'25
-255%
Q3'25
-75%
Q4'25
-119%
Q1'26
-12%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d10
Seaport GlobalNeutral
Feb 27
UPGRADE
B. RileyNeutral → Buy
Jan 27
UPGRADE
B. RileyBuy → Neutral
Oct 29
DOWNGRADE
B. RileyNeutral → Buy
Aug 9
UPGRADE
B. RileyNeutral
Jul 22
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $282.1M sold · 30d window
Ae Red Holdings, LlcDir
$231.8M
Apr 22
SELL
Ae Red Holdings, LlcDir
$18.1M
Apr 20
SELL
Ae Red Holdings, LlcDir
$10.3M
Apr 21
SELL
Ae Red Holdings, LlcDir
$33.2M
Apr 16
SELL
Ae Red Holdings, LlcDir
$21.9M
Apr 17
SELL
Ae Red Holdings, LlcDir
$11.9M
Apr 14
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS, LP
33.6M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
11.1M
3
VOYA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
3.4M
4
UBS Group AG
2.0M
5
HRT FINANCIAL LP
1.9M
6
Penserra Capital Management LLC
1.8M
7
Invesco Ltd.
1.7M
8
Mitsubishi UFJ Kokusai Asset Management Co., Ltd.
1.4M
News & Activity

RDW News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Redwire is a new leader in mission critical space solutions and high reliability components for the next generation space economy, with valuable IP for solar power generation and in-space 3D printing and manufacturing. With decades of flight heritage combined with the agile and innovative culture of a commercial space platform, Redwire is uniquely positioned to assist its customers in solving the complex challenges of future space missions.

Industry
Small Arms Ammunition Manufacturing
Aaron FutchExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
Allen G. FlyntSenior Vice President of Space Platforms & Robotics
Michael GoldPresident of Redwire Space
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
RDW
$14.06+0.50%$2.1B+1028.6%-6755.1%1500
$888.31-3.47%$409.2B43.7+429.0%1312.8%1523
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B33.7+1848.2%1898.2%1489
$171.18-2.56%$230.5B31.8+974.1%759.8%1488
$220.49-3.80%$173.8B79.6+3449.4%249.7%1503
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1504
$399.44-2.12%$155.1B38.9+1033.0%1489.7%1504
Sector avg-2.06%41.7+1267.1%266.8%1502