RIOT
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-4.59%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 73Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
24.62
Open
23.71
Day Range23.08 – 24.15
23.08
24.15
52W Range7.93 – 25.86
7.93
25.86
87% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
18.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-9.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.86
High vol
Performance
1D
-4.59%
5D
-3.77%
1M
+34.85%
3M
+54.34%
6M
+68.39%
YTD
+85.40%
1Y
+170.00%
Best: 1Y (+170.00%)Worst: 1D (-4.59%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +42% · -24% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 1.1 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$8.88B
Revenue TTM$653.27M
Net Income TTM-$867.29M
Free Cash Flow-$1.02B
Gross Margin-23.8%
Net Margin-132.8%
Operating Margin-70.2%
Return on Equity-28.8%
Return on Assets-25.2%
Debt / Equity0.12
Current Ratio1.08
EPS TTM$-2.49
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Bitcoin spot price - direct correlation as mined Bitcoin represents ~95% of revenue at market prices

Network hashrate and mining difficulty adjustments - rising difficulty reduces Bitcoin production per unit of hashrate

Operational hashrate deployment - actual energized hashrate versus capacity targets (14+ EH/s buildout progress)

Electricity costs and ERCOT power market dynamics - curtailment revenue opportunities and power cost per Bitcoin mined

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Bitcoin price exhibits characteristics of both a risk asset (correlates with tech/growth stocks during risk-on periods) and alternative store of value (potential safe haven during currency debasement concerns). Mining profitability is less directly tied to GDP than traditional cyclicals, but institutional Bitcoin adoption and crypto market liquidity are influenced by broader risk appetite and economic conditions.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Bitcoin price correlation with risk assets - rising rates reduce present value of future cash flows and shift capital away from speculative assets toward fixed income; (2) Cost of capital for expansion - Riot's aggressive capex program ($1.3B TTM) becomes more expensive to finance in high-rate environments; (3) Discount rate for long-duration assets - mining infrastructure has 3-5 year useful life, making NPV calculations sensitive to discount rates. Fed tightening historically pressures Bitcoin prices and crypto-related equities.

Key Risks

Bitcoin halving economics - April 2024 halving cut block rewards by 50%, requiring Bitcoin price appreciation or significant cost reduction to maintain profitability; next halving in 2028 will further compress unit economics

Regulatory uncertainty - potential US federal regulation of crypto mining (energy consumption mandates, taxation of mined coins, environmental restrictions) or adverse changes to digital asset classification

Energy policy and ESG pressure - Bitcoin mining's energy intensity faces scrutiny; potential carbon taxes, renewable energy mandates, or restrictions on fossil fuel-powered mining could increase costs

Investor Profile

growth/momentum - Attracts investors seeking leveraged exposure to Bitcoin price appreciation without directly holding cryptocurrency. Appeals to growth investors betting on crypto adoption and momentum traders riding Bitcoin bull cycles. High volatility and negative FCF make it unsuitable for value or income investors. Institutional ownership includes crypto-focused hedge funds and thematic ETFs rather than traditional value managers.

Watch on Earnings
Bitcoin spot price (BTCUSD) - primary revenue driverBitcoin network hashrate and difficulty adjustments - impacts production economicsRiot operational hashrate deployment (EH/s) versus capacity targetsCost per Bitcoin mined (all-in cash cost including electricity, hosting, labor)
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
25/100
Liquidity
1.08Watch
Leverage
0.12Strong
Coverage
-18.8xConcern
ROE
-28.8%Concern
ROIC
-14.0%Concern
Cash
$234MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
BUY
+10.7%upside to target
L $24.00
Med $26.00consensus
H $31.00
Buy
1794%
Hold
16%
17 Buy (94%)1 Hold (6%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 73 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.08
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 5.4%

+37.2% vs SMA 50 · +44.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI73.4
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+2.34
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$25.86+10.1%
Current
$23.49
EMA 50
$18.85-19.8%
EMA 200
$15.93-32.2%
52W Low
$7.93-66.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$7.9387th %ile$25.86
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:1
Edge:+7 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)18.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
15.7M-15%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 13 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$655.0M
$639.8M$664.2M
-$0.37
±45%
High12
FY2026(current)
$655.5M
$588.4M$753.5M
+0.1%-$1.87
±23%
High13
FY2027
$813.9M
$720.0M$917.6M
+24.2%-$0.70
±50%
High12
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryRIOT
Last 8Q
-107.1%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
-100%
Q3'24
-238%
Q4'24
+263%
Q1'25
-260%
Q2'25
+400%
Q3'25
+237%
Q4'25
-823%
Q1'26
-336%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Sep 26
UPGRADE
Compass PointBuy
Jun 28
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $4.4M sold · 30d window
Les JasonDir
$4.4M
May 11
SELL
Werner Ryan D.SVP, CAO
$345K
Oct 10
SELL
Les JasonDir
$2.3M
Oct 3
SELL
Les JasonDir
$256K
Sep 29
SELL
Les JasonDir
$466K
Sep 24
SELL
Jackman William Ric…EVP, GENERAL C…
$3.9M
Sep 10
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
29.7M
2
Starboard Value LP
15.5M
3
FMR LLC
15.0M
4
NOMURA HOLDINGS INC
9.9M
5
STATE STREET CORP
9.2M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
9.0M
7
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC
7.4M
8
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
7.0M
News & Activity

RIOT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Riot Blockchain focuses on cryptocurrency mining of bitcoin. The Company is expanding and upgrading its mining operations by securing the most energy efficient miners currently available. Riot also holds certain non-controlling investments in blockchain technology companies. Riot is headquartered in Castle Rock, Colorado, and the Company's primary mining facility operates out of upstate New York, under a co-location hosting agreement with Coinmint.

Industry
In-Vitro Diagnostic Substance Manufacturing
Jason ChungCFO, Executive VP and Head of Corporate Development & Strategy
Joshua H. KaneVice President of Investor Relations
Philip James McPhersonVice President of Capital Markets & Investor Relations
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
RIOT
$23.49-4.59%$8.9B+7188.9%-10243.2%1500
$225.32-4.42%$5.5T45.6+6547.4%5560.3%1502
$300.23+0.68%$4.4T36.0+642.6%2691.5%1482
$421.92+3.05%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1460
$425.19-3.32%$2.0T80.7+2387.4%3619.8%1500
$724.66-6.62%$817.2B33.8+4885.1%2284.5%1532
$424.10-5.69%$691.5B138.6+3433.8%1251.5%1516
Sector avg-2.99%60.0+3796.9%1254.1%1499