RITM
Next earnings: Jul 27, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.15%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 33Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
9.78
Open
9.78
Day Range9.73 – 9.82
9.73
9.82
52W Range8.43 – 12.74
8.43
12.74
32% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
10.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.0x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.12%
Beta
1.13
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.15%
5D
-3.64%
1M
+1.66%
3M
-9.35%
6M
-10.76%
YTD
-10.18%
1Y
-13.21%
Best: 1M (+1.66%)Worst: 1Y (-13.21%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +7% YoY · 86% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 9x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.1 (low) · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.47B
Revenue TTM$5.61B
Net Income TTM$727.72M
Free Cash Flow$0.00
Gross Margin86.2%
Net Margin13.0%
Operating Margin38.9%
Return on Equity8.7%
Return on Assets1.4%
Debt / Equity4.59
Current Ratio0.13
EPS TTM$1.31
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Mortgage rate volatility and prepayment speeds - directly impacts MSR valuations and mark-to-market adjustments

Servicing portfolio size and acquisitions - bulk MSR purchases or organic growth through originations

Origination volumes and gain-on-sale margins - driven by purchase market activity and refinancing waves

Book value per share trajectory - quarterly NAV changes from MSR marks, realized gains, and capital deployment

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Origination volumes are cyclically sensitive to housing turnover and home prices, declining in recessions as purchase activity slows. However, servicing revenue provides counter-cyclical stability with contractual cash flows regardless of economic conditions. Delinquencies rise in downturns, increasing servicing costs but also advancing income. Overall revenue mix (60% servicing, 40% origination/investments) creates moderate GDP sensitivity.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity with complex dynamics. Rising rates: (1) decrease MSR fair values initially due to higher discount rates, (2) reduce prepayment speeds which increases MSR cash flow duration (positive), (3) compress origination volumes and margins as refinancing activity collapses. Falling rates create opposite effects - MSR marks decline from faster prepayments but origination surges. The company hedges interest rate risk with derivatives, but basis risk and model risk remain. Rate volatility itself is often more impactful than directional moves, as it drives trading losses/gains on hedges and MSR valuation uncertainty.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk from CFPB oversight and potential servicing transfer rules that could impair MSR transferability or increase compliance costs

Technology disruption from fintech mortgage platforms reducing barriers to entry in origination and potentially commoditizing servicing

Secular decline in mortgage refinancing activity as borrower rate awareness increases and cash-out refinancing becomes less attractive with higher home equity loan alternatives

Investor Profile

value - Stock trades at 0.7x book value, attracting investors focused on NAV discount closure and special situation opportunities in mortgage finance. Dividend yield (~8-10% estimated based on sector norms) appeals to income investors, though payout sustainability depends on distributable earnings volatility. Not a growth story given mature mortgage market, but tactical value in MSR portfolio monetization and operational improvements.

Watch on Earnings
30-year fixed mortgage rate (MORTGAGE30US) - primary driver of refinancing activity and prepayment speeds10-year Treasury yield volatility - impacts MSR discount rates and hedge effectivenessMBA mortgage application indices (purchase and refinance) - leading indicators for origination volumeHome price appreciation (Case-Shiller index) - affects loan-to-value ratios, credit performance, and cash-out refinancing demand
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
26/100
Liquidity
0.13Concern
Leverage
4.59Concern
Coverage
1.3xConcern
ROE
8.7%Watch
ROIC
76.3%Strong
Cash
$1.8BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
BUY
+37.9%upside to target
L $12.50
Med $13.50consensus
H $15.00
Buy
1794%
Hold
16%
17 Buy (94%)1 Hold (6%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 33 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.13 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 10, 2026
In 99 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 6.9%

-9.1% vs SMA 50 · -15.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI32.6
Momentum fading
MACD-0.30
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$12.74+30.1%
EMA 50
$10.60+8.3%
EMA 200
$10.26+4.8%
Current
$9.79
52W Low
$8.43-13.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$8.4332th %ile$12.74
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:3
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)4.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
4.5M+9%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$3.1B
$2.8B$3.4B
$1.20
±10%
High5
FY2024
$4.4B
$4.3B$4.4B
+39.5%$1.92+59.6%
±1%
High7
FY2025
$4.5B
$4.2B$4.6B
+1.9%$2.17+13.4%
±2%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryRITM
Last 8Q
+15.8%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+12%
Q3'24
+26%
Q4'24
+36%
Q1'25
+16%
Q2'25
+6%
Q3'25
Q4'25
+35%
Q1'26
-4%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Apr 28
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral
Sep 30
UPGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Sell
Apr 26
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
Zeiden DavidChief Legal Of…
$93K
Feb 27
SELL
Zeiden DavidChief Legal Of…
$214K
Nov 14
SELL
Nierenberg MichaelCEO
$3.3M
Nov 5
SELL
Financials
Dividends10.21% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield10.21%
Semi-Annual Div.$0.2500
Est. Annual / Share$0.50
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
1.7M
2
Advisors Capital Management, LLC
1.3M
3
Columbus Macro, LLC
984K
4
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
698K
5
PREVAIL INNOVATIVE WEALTH ADVISORS, LLC
523K
6
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
416K
7
OPPENHEIMER & CO INC
350K
8
Simplify Asset Management Inc.
337K
News & Activity

RITM News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

new residential investment corp. (nyse: nrz) is a real estate investment trust that focuses on opportunistically investing in, and actively managing, investments primarily related to residential real estate. we target investments in: (1) excess mortgage servicing rights (“excess msrs”), (2) residential mortgage backed securities (“rmbs”), (3) residential mortgage loans and (4) other opportunistic investments. we believe that unfolding developments in the approximately $19 trillion u.s. residential housing market are generating significant investment opportunities. for example, in the aftermath of the u.s. financial crisis, the residential mortgage industry is undergoing major structural changes that are transforming the way mortgages are originated, owned and serviced. these changes are creating a compelling set of investment opportunities. we believe that new residential is one of only a select number of market participants that have the combination of capital, industry experience and

Industry
Mortgage and Nonmortgage Loan Brokers
CEO
Michael Nierenberg
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
RITM
$9.79+0.15%$5.5B7.5+1999.2%1198.5%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.54%19.3+1010.1%1929.1%1500