RLX
Earnings in 12 days · May 15, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.91%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 51Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
2.21
Open
2.22
Day Range2.17 – 2.23
2.17
2.23
52W Range1.79 – 2.84
1.79
2.84
38% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
21.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.38
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.90%
5D
-4.78%
1M
3M
-2.67%
6M
-10.25%
YTD
-6.01%
1Y
+18.38%
Best: 1Y (+18.38%)Worst: 6M (-10.25%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +47% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 22x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 5.7 · FCF $0.80/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$18.27B
Revenue TTM$3.60B
Net Income TTM$918.01M
Free Cash Flow$985.83M
Gross Margin32.7%
Net Margin25.5%
Operating Margin9.1%
Return on Equity5.7%
Return on Assets5.1%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio5.70
EPS TTM$0.75
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Chinese regulatory announcements regarding e-cigarette taxation, flavor restrictions, or retail licensing requirements

Monthly retail point-of-sale data indicating market share trends versus competitors like MOTI and Yooz

Gross margin trajectory on consumable pods reflecting pricing power versus competitive discounting

User retention rates and repeat purchase frequency as indicators of ecosystem stickiness

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - E-cigarettes represent discretionary spending within the broader tobacco category, making demand somewhat sensitive to consumer confidence and disposable income levels. However, the category benefits from trade-down dynamics as users switch from more expensive traditional cigarettes (average $4-5 per pack) to vaping ($2-3 daily cost). Youth unemployment and wage growth in Tier 2-3 Chinese cities (core demographic: 18-35 year olds) directly impact adoption rates. The 96.5% revenue growth suggests category expansion is currently overwhelming cyclical factors, but maturation will increase sensitivity.

Interest Rates

Low direct sensitivity as RLX carries minimal debt (0.01 D/E ratio) and generates strong free cash flow ($0.8B FCF). However, valuation multiples compress when risk-free rates rise, particularly impacting high-growth consumer stocks trading at 6.1x P/S. Chinese monetary policy and CNY liquidity conditions affect consumer purchasing power more than US rates, though ADR valuation responds to US Treasury yields as alternative return benchmarks.

Key Risks

Chinese regulatory tightening including potential flavor bans expansion, nicotine content restrictions, or taxation increases similar to traditional cigarettes (currently e-cigarettes face lower tax burden)

Public health campaigns and youth vaping concerns driving stricter age verification requirements or retail location restrictions (e.g., distance from schools)

Long-term health studies on vaping potentially shifting consumer perception or triggering regulatory crackdowns

Investor Profile

growth - The 96.5% revenue growth, 29.4% FCF yield, and dominant position in underpenetrated Chinese vaping market attract growth investors willing to accept regulatory uncertainty and negative operating margins for category expansion exposure. The 2.0% one-year return and -5.1% three-month performance suggest momentum has stalled, filtering out pure momentum players. Value investors may find appeal in 1.3x P/B and strong cash generation, but regulatory overhang and China exposure limit traditional value appeal. Not a dividend story given growth reinvestment priorities.

Watch on Earnings
USD/CNY exchange rate (DEXCHUS) affecting ADR valuation and repatriation economicsChinese retail sales growth (proxy for consumer spending power in core demographic)Authorized retail point count and geographic penetration into lower-tier citiesGross margin on consumable pods as leading indicator of competitive pricing pressure
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
54/100
Liquidity
5.70Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
5.7%Concern
ROIC
1.8%Concern
Cash
$5.5BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
HOLD
Hold
1100%
0 Buy (0%)1 Hold (100%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 51 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.70 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentOct 29, 2026
In 179 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 5.0%

-1.5% vs SMA 50 · -6.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI50.7
Neutral territory
MACD-0.01
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$2.84+29.7%
EMA 200
$2.27+3.7%
EMA 50
$2.21+1.0%
Current
$2.19
52W Low
$1.79-18.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$1.7938th %ile$2.84
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:0
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.7M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.1M-43%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$13.6B
$13.1B$14.2B
$3.73
±5%
Low2
FY2024
$2.7B
$2.5B$2.7B
-80.3%$0.70-81.1%
±5%
High5
FY2025
$3.9B
$3.8B$3.9B
+45.0%$0.85+20.7%
±6%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryRLX
Last 8Q
-61.3%avg beat
Beat 0 of 8 quartersMissed 8 Estimates falling
-106%
Q2'24
-94%
Q3'24
-33%
Q4'24
-95%
Q1'25
-88%
Q2'25
-25%
Q3'25
-39%
Q4'25
-10%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Financials
Dividends4.57% yield
+2054.4% avg annual growth
Annual Yield4.57%
Semi-Annual Div.$0.1000
Est. Annual / Share$0.20
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q4'23
Q4'24
Q3'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 4 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
IDG China Venture Capital Fund V Associates L.P.
57.1M
2
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
3.8M
3
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
752K
4
Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey
364K
5
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
258K
6
Nuveen, LLC
209K
7
SIGNATUREFD, LLC
56K
8
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
40K
News & Activity

RLX News

20 articles · 4h ago

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Country
China (Mainland)
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
RLX
$2.19-0.90%$2.7B20.1+4394.3%2548.5%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.69%21.1+1352.2%2121.9%1500