SARO
Earnings in 2 days · May 7, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.20%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull DowntrendBelow 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
24.53
Open
24.47
Day Range24.34 – 24.79
24.34
24.79
52W Range23.83 – 34.48
23.83
34.48
7% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
3.9M
Float
332.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
29.6x
EPS (TTM)
$0.83
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+0.20%
5D
+0.45%
1M
-6.79%
3M
-17.79%
6M
-10.62%
YTD
-14.30%
1Y
-11.14%
Best: 5D (+0.45%)Worst: 3M (-17.79%)
Quick Read
Earnings in 3d · May 7
Trend
DOWNTREND
Price below SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BEARISH
price below key MAs · thin 15% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 30x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.2 · FCF $0.62/sh
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$8.18B
Revenue TTM$6.06B
Net Income TTM$277.42M
Free Cash Flow$203.89M
Gross Margin15.2%
Net Margin4.6%
Operating Margin9.1%
Return on Equity10.9%
Return on Assets4.2%
Debt / Equity0.92
Current Ratio2.20
EPS TTM$0.84
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Global flight hours and aircraft utilization rates - drives maintenance demand with 6-12 month lag as engines reach time-between-overhaul (TBO) intervals

Business jet flight activity - StandardAero has 30-35% market share in business aviation MRO, making this segment disproportionately important

Contract wins and renewals with fleet operators - multi-year agreements (5-10 years) provide revenue visibility and drive valuation multiples

OEM engine production rates - new engine deliveries create future MRO demand but cannibalize near-term work as operators defer maintenance on older units

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Commercial aviation MRO demand correlates with GDP growth and business confidence through flight hour activity, typically with 6-12 month lag. Business jet utilization is particularly sensitive to corporate profitability and high-net-worth spending patterns. However, the mandatory nature of maintenance (FAA/EASA regulations require overhauls at specified intervals) and long maintenance cycles (18-24 months) provide some demand stability during downturns. Military contracts (10-15% of revenue) offer counter-cyclical stability.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) Customer financing costs - airlines and operators face higher costs to finance maintenance reserves and shop visit expenses, potentially delaying discretionary work; (2) Valuation compression - as a capital-intensive business trading at 19.5x EV/EBITDA, StandardAero's multiple contracts when risk-free rates rise. However, the company's 0.99x debt/equity ratio and positive operating cash flow limit direct balance sheet impact from rate increases.

Key Risks

Engine technology evolution - next-generation engines (Pratt & Whitney GTF, CFM LEAP) have 30-40% longer time-between-overhaul intervals, potentially reducing MRO frequency and market size over 10-15 year horizon

OEM vertical integration - engine manufacturers (GE Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, Rolls-Royce) expanding captive MRO networks and offering bundled maintenance contracts that bypass independent providers

Regulatory changes in certification requirements - stricter FAA/EASA rules could increase compliance costs or limit repair technique approvals

Investor Profile

growth - The 14.8% revenue growth, 138% EPS growth, and 25.9% three-month return attract growth investors betting on the multi-year aviation recovery cycle. The $10.4B market cap and recent strong momentum suggest institutional interest in a pure-play aerospace aftermarket story. However, razor-thin 0.2% net margins and negative free cash flow indicate the company is in investment/expansion mode rather than mature cash generation, appealing to investors with 3-5 year horizons willing to accept near-term profitability volatility for market share gains.

Watch on Earnings
Global revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) and business jet flight hours - proxy for maintenance demand with 6-12 month lead timeJet fuel prices (DCOILWTICO) - higher fuel costs incentivize operators to maintain older, less efficient engines rather than retire aircraftOEM engine delivery backlogs (Boeing, Airbus order books) - indicates future installed base requiring maintenance in 8-12 yearsAircraft age demographics - average commercial fleet age of 11-12 years drives peak MRO intensity
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
42/100
Liquidity
2.20Strong
Leverage
0.92Strong
Coverage
3.2xWatch
ROE
10.9%Watch
ROIC
7.7%Concern
Cash
$290MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
HOLD
+54.6%upside to target
L $34.00
Med $38.00consensus
H $39.00
Buy
240%
Hold
360%
2 Buy (40%)3 Hold (60%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 7 signals bullish
2/10
Trend
Trend StateDowntrend (below both MAs)
Above SMA 50$27.17 (-9.5%)
Above SMA 200$27.96 (-12.1%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentDeath Cross (50D vs 200D -2.8%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.20 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$34.48+40.3%
SMA 200
$27.96+13.8%
SMA 50
$27.17+10.5%
Current
$24.58
52W Low
$23.83-3.1%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$23.837th %ile$34.48
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$6.0B
$5.9B$6.1B
$0.84
±2%
High6
FY2026(current)
$6.4B
$6.4B$6.4B
+5.9%$1.26+51.0%
±4%
High10
FY2027
$7.0B
$6.8B$7.2B
+10.1%$1.56+23.5%
±4%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySARO
Last 6Q
-2.8%avg beat
Beat 2 of 6 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+3%
Q4'24
-25%
Q1'25
+12%
Q2'25
-5%
Q3'25
-1%
Q4'25
-2%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $559K sold · 30d window
Chambliss MalisaChief Human Re…
$21K
Apr 16
SELL
Brancato AnthonySee Remarks
$30K
Apr 16
SELL
Krekeler Gregory Cl…See Remarks
$11K
Apr 16
SELL
Trapp AlexChief Strategy…
$13K
Apr 16
SELL
Prebble LewisSee Remarks
$31K
Apr 16
SELL
Ernzen KimberlyCOO
$69K
Apr 16
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Trinity Street Asset Management LLP
995K
2
Nuveen, LLC
653K
3
Retirement Systems of Alabama
233K
4
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
208K
5
KIRR MARBACH & CO LLC /IN/
196K
6
SG Americas Securities, LLC
178K
7
SeaBridge Investment Advisors LLC
152K
8
Capricorn Fund Managers Ltd
131K
News & Activity

SARO News

20 articles · 4h ago

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