SATL
Earnings in 9 days · May 12, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+11.15%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 63Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
6.46
Open
6.67
Day Range6.56 – 7.50
6.56
7.50
52W Range1.26 – 8.35
1.26
8.35
84% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
9.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-39.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.54
Low vol
Performance
1D
+11.15%
5D
+15.99%
1M
+6.06%
3M
+95.11%
6M
+275.92%
YTD
+283.96%
1Y
+52.12%
Best: YTD (+283.96%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +38% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 5.1 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$784.79M
Revenue TTM$17.71M
Net Income TTM-$4.78M
Free Cash Flow-$34.26M
Gross Margin28.8%
Net Margin-27.0%
Operating Margin-175.2%
Return on Equity13.0%
Return on Assets-3.2%
Debt / Equity1.05
Current Ratio5.12
EPS TTM$-0.04
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Satellite launch announcements and successful orbital deployments (constellation size directly impacts revenue capacity)

Major contract wins, particularly multi-year government or enterprise agreements (validates commercial traction)

Constellation performance metrics: image resolution quality, revisit frequency improvements, and operational satellite count

Cash runway updates and financing announcements (given negative cash flow, dilution risk drives volatility)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Government defense and intelligence spending (estimated 30-40% of addressable market) shows low cyclicality and often increases during geopolitical tensions. Commercial applications (agriculture monitoring, infrastructure planning, commodity trading intelligence) exhibit moderate GDP sensitivity as enterprise customers reduce discretionary technology spending during recessions. However, the company's pre-revenue scale means near-term stock performance depends more on execution milestones than macro demand.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels. Rising rates increase: (1) discount rates applied to distant cash flows, compressing valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies; (2) cost of capital for satellite manufacturing and launch financing; (3) competition for investor capital versus safer fixed-income alternatives. The -$0.0B free cash flow means the company requires external financing, making credit market conditions critical. The 1.08 current ratio and negative equity suggest limited financial flexibility if rates remain elevated.

Key Risks

Satellite technology commoditization as launch costs decline (SpaceX Starlink model) and synthetic aperture radar (SAR) providers offer all-weather imaging alternatives

Regulatory risks including orbital debris regulations, spectrum allocation conflicts, and export controls on high-resolution imagery (US NOAA licensing, international ITAR restrictions)

Geopolitical risks: Chinese state-backed competitors offering subsidized imagery, potential sanctions limiting market access

Investor Profile

momentum/speculative growth - The 106.5% three-month return despite -33.7% one-year performance indicates momentum-driven trading. Investors are betting on future constellation scale and market share gains rather than current cash flows. The -903.4% net margin and $0.3B market cap on near-zero revenue attracts venture-style equity investors willing to accept binary outcomes. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative profitability and no dividend. Requires high risk tolerance and long time horizon (3-5 years to potential profitability).

Watch on Earnings
SpaceX Falcon 9 launch pricing and availability (primary launch provider for smallsat constellations)US defense budget allocation to space-based ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance) programsPlanet Labs stock performance and customer acquisition metrics (closest public comparable)High-yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) as proxy for risk appetite in unprofitable growth equity
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
51/100
Liquidity
5.12Strong
Leverage
1.05Watch
Coverage
-2386.1xConcern
ROE
13.0%Watch
ROIC
-23.9%Concern
Cash
$94MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
SELL
-26.9%downside to target
L $4.50
Med $5.25consensus
H $7.00
Sell
1100%
0 Buy (0%)0 Hold (0%)1 Sell (100%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 63 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusSell
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.12 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentOct 9, 2026
In 159 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 22.5%

+86.9% vs SMA 50 · +128.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI62.6
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.61
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$8.35+16.3%
Current
$7.18
EMA 50
$3.76-47.6%
EMA 200
$3.41-52.4%
52W Low
$1.25-82.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$1.2584th %ile$8.35
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.6M-11%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$15.3M
$14.3M$17.1M
-$0.32
±5%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$32.8M
$30.6M$36.5M
+113.9%-$0.13
±6%
Moderate3
FY2027
$51.5M
$48.1M$57.4M
+57.0%-$0.09
±12%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySATL
Last 5Q
+104.4%avg beat
Beat 5 of 5 quarters Estimates rising
+43%
Q3'22
+38%
Q1'23
+7%
Q3'23
+50%
Q4'25
+383%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Tirman MatthewPresident
$49K
Mar 30
SELL
Dunn RickCFO
$98K
Mar 30
BUY
Dunn RickCFO
$99K
Mar 27
BUY
Cantor Fitzgerald, …Other: See Rem…
$2.5M
Mar 23
SELL
Cantor Fitzgerald, …10 Percent Own…
$722K
Jan 28
SELL
Cantor Fitzgerald, …10 Percent Own…
$2.2M
Jan 29
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
2.8M
2
Halter Ferguson Financial Inc.
487K
3
Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC
107K
4
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
89K
5
THOMPSON DAVIS & CO., INC.
54K
6
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
50K
7
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
48K
8
Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey
27K
News & Activity

SATL News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Dustin GreerSenior Vice President & Corporate Controller
Ryan DriverSenior Vice President of Finance & Corporate Development
Jeffrey S. KerridgeSenior Vice President of Global Sales
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SATL
$7.18+11.15%$785M+3758.4%-2701.2%1500
$889.67-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$286.51-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$173.99-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$227.38-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$425.55-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$266.32-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg+0.73%42.5+1657.1%845.9%1502