SEVN
Next earnings: Jul 27, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.68%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 34Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
8.32
Open
8.25
Day Range8.16 – 8.29
8.16
8.29
52W Range7.90 – 12.86
7.90
12.86
6% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
107.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.1x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.11%
Performance
1D
-1.68%
5D
-2.73%
1M
-3.65%
3M
-5.87%
6M
-7.36%
YTD
-8.09%
1Y
-32.84%
Worst: 1Y (-32.84%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -7% · 80% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 9x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.2 (low) · FCF $0.73/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$140.27M
Revenue TTM$59.36M
Net Income TTM$15.29M
Free Cash Flow$16.37M
Gross Margin80.3%
Net Margin25.8%
Operating Margin75.0%
Return on Equity5.1%
Return on Assets1.9%
Debt / Equity1.42
Current Ratio0.20
EPS TTM$0.68
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin compression or expansion driven by SOFR-loan yield spread dynamics

Credit quality deterioration in commercial real estate, particularly office and retail sectors experiencing structural decline

Loan origination volume and deployment of capital into new loans versus portfolio runoff

Dividend sustainability given 11.5% FCF yield but declining earnings trajectory

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Commercial real estate lending is highly cyclical as property values, occupancy rates, and borrower creditworthiness deteriorate during recessions. Bridge loans to transitional properties face elevated default risk when sponsors cannot execute business plans or refinance. The -2% revenue decline and -12.5% net income drop suggest the company is already experiencing stress from slowing CRE fundamentals.

Interest Rates

Very high sensitivity to both short-term and long-term rates. Rising short-term rates (SOFR/Fed Funds) increase funding costs on repo facilities, compressing net interest margins if loan yields don't adjust proportionally. Rising long-term rates (10Y Treasury) reduce property values and make refinancing more expensive for borrowers, increasing default risk. The inverted yield curve environment through 2023-2025 particularly pressured mortgage REIT profitability. However, if rates decline from current levels, the company could benefit from lower funding costs and improved borrower refinancing ability.

Key Risks

Permanent demand destruction in office real estate due to remote work adoption, with Class B/C office assets facing potential obsolescence and 50%+ value declines in secondary markets

Regional bank retrenchment from CRE lending creates refinancing wall for $1.5 trillion in commercial mortgages maturing 2024-2027, potentially triggering widespread defaults

Regulatory pressure on mortgage REITs regarding leverage limits and capital requirements following Silicon Valley Bank collapse

Investor Profile

value/distressed - The 0.4x price-to-book and 11.5% FCF yield attract deep value investors betting on asset recovery or special situation investors anticipating restructuring. However, declining fundamentals and sector headwinds make this a high-risk contrarian play rather than traditional income-focused REIT investment. The -34% one-year return and minimal institutional ownership suggest most investors are avoiding the name.

Watch on Earnings
SOFR and Fed Funds rate trajectory as primary driver of funding costsHigh-yield credit spreads (OAS) as leading indicator of commercial real estate credit stress10-year Treasury yield affecting property cap rates and refinancing feasibilityOffice vacancy rates and effective rents in major metros (CBRE data)
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
27/100
Liquidity
0.20Concern
Leverage
1.42Watch
Coverage
1.5xConcern
ROE
5.1%Concern
ROIC
5.6%Concern
Cash
$123MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
BUY
+58.9%upside to target
Buy
4100%
4 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 34 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.20 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 105.0%

-23.3% vs SMA 50 · +57.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI34.1
Momentum fading
MACD-0.28
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$12.86+57.2%
EMA 50
$10.77+31.6%
Current
$8.18
52W Low
$7.90-3.4%
EMA 200
$5.23-36.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$7.906th %ile$12.86
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)105K
Recent Vol (5D)
75K-29%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$33.5M
$33.2M$33.9M
$1.55
±1%
Low1
FY2024
$35.9M
$35.6M$36.2M
+7.1%$1.44-7.4%
±1%
Low2
FY2025
$29.4M
$29.1M$29.8M
-18.0%$1.20-16.4%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySEVN
Last 8Q
+2.6%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+15%
Q3'24
+3%
Q4'24
-6%
Q1'25
+6%
Q2'25
-10%
Q3'25
+6%
Q4'25
+3%
Q1'26
+3%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JMP SecuritiesMarket Outperform
Jun 29
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
Tremont Realty Capi…10 Percent Own…
$17.4M
Dec 11
BUY
Portnoy Adam D.Dir
$17.4M
Dec 11
BUY
Somers Jeffrey P.Dir
$12K
Dec 1
SELL
Morea JosephDir
$45K
May 30
BUY
Gilmore Barbara D.Dir
$22K
Aug 25
BUY
Gilmore Barbara D.Dir
$22K
Aug 25
BUY
Financials
Dividends13.65% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield13.65%
Quarterly Div.$0.2800
Est. Annual / Share$1.12
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
1.6M
2
MORGAN STANLEY
894K
3
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
627K
4
Flat Footed LLC
433K
5
Independent Advisor Alliance
377K
6
STATE STREET CORP
356K
7
RIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC
242K
8
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
178K
News & Activity

SEVN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Industry
Mortgage and Nonmortgage Loan Brokers
Jared LewisVice President
Thomas J. LorenziniPresident & Chief Investment Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SEVN
$8.18-1.68%$140M12.0-1219.4%2621.8%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.55%18.1+407.3%2667.5%1506