SEZL
Earnings in 1 day · May 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.59%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 56Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
85.46
Open
85.43
Day Range84.90 – 91.70
84.90
91.70
52W Range49.50 – 186.74
49.50
186.74
27% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
761.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
23.1x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+0.59%
5D
+7.64%
1M
+24.92%
3M
+40.64%
6M
+39.82%
YTD
+35.41%
1Y
+53.64%
Best: 1Y (+53.64%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +66% YoY · 85% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 23x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.9 · FCF $6.14/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.91B
Revenue TTM$450.28M
Net Income TTM$133.13M
Free Cash Flow$208.36M
Gross Margin85.4%
Net Margin29.6%
Operating Margin39.3%
Return on Equity91.6%
Return on Assets33.3%
Debt / Equity0.83
Current Ratio3.92
EPS TTM$3.93
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Underlying merchandise volume (UMV) growth rates and active consumer/merchant counts - primary indicator of market share gains and platform adoption

Net transaction margin trends (revenue less transaction costs and credit losses) - shows unit economics health and pricing power sustainability

Credit loss rates and charge-off trends relative to UMV - signals underwriting quality and economic sensitivity of borrower base

Regulatory developments around BNPL oversight, including potential CFPB rules on credit reporting, fee caps, or underwriting standards

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - BNPL demand is tightly linked to discretionary consumer spending, particularly in fashion, electronics, and home goods categories where Sezzle has merchant concentration. Economic downturns simultaneously reduce transaction volumes and increase credit losses as subprime-leaning borrowers (typical BNPL users lack traditional credit access) face income stress. The 62% gross margin suggests significant sensitivity to volume fluctuations.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create headwinds through multiple channels: (1) higher cost of capital for funding receivables portfolio reduces net interest margin, (2) tighter consumer credit conditions reduce addressable market as prime borrowers shift to traditional credit cards, (3) valuation multiple compression as high-growth fintech trades at lower P/S multiples in rising rate environments. However, Sezzle's short-duration receivables (6-week average) limit direct funding cost exposure versus longer-term lenders.

Key Risks

Regulatory intervention risk: CFPB and state regulators increasingly scrutinizing BNPL fee structures, underwriting standards, and credit reporting requirements. Potential fee caps or mandatory credit bureau reporting could compress margins and reduce addressable market among subprime consumers.

Commoditization threat: Low barriers to entry and minimal product differentiation enable merchant platforms (Shopify, Amazon) to build native BNPL functionality, disintermediating third-party providers. Network effects are weaker than traditional payments due to lack of two-sided lock-in.

Scale disadvantage versus Affirm (public, $45B+ UMV) and Klarna (private, $80B+ UMV) limits merchant bargaining power and increases customer acquisition costs. Larger competitors offer broader payment options (longer-term loans, savings products) creating stickier merchant relationships.

Investor Profile

growth - The 70% revenue growth, 1000%+ earnings growth, and 5.2x P/S ratio attract momentum and growth investors betting on BNPL market expansion and operating leverage. Recent profitability inflection (30% net margin) appeals to GARP investors, but lack of dividends and high valuation multiples deter value-oriented funds. The -32% six-month return followed by 23% three-month recovery indicates momentum-driven trading.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly active consumers and repeat transaction rates (measures platform stickiness and customer lifetime value)Net charge-off rate as percentage of UMV by cohort vintage (leading indicator of credit quality deterioration)Merchant discount rate trends (pricing power indicator amid competitive pressure)Consumer sentiment index and retail sales ex-auto (leading indicators for discretionary spending and UMV growth)
Health Radar
5 strong1 watch
88/100
Liquidity
3.92Strong
Leverage
0.83Strong
Coverage
12.6xStrong
ROE
91.6%Strong
ROIC
46.5%Strong
Cash
$64MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
BUY
-1.1%downside to target
L $76.00
Med $85.00consensus
H $94.00
Buy
480%
Hold
120%
4 Buy (80%)1 Hold (20%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 56 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.92 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 10.9%

+22.0% vs SMA 50 · +8.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI56.5
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+3.31
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$186.7+117.2%
Current
$85.96
EMA 200
$84.07-2.2%
EMA 50
$72.13-16.1%
52W Low
$49.50-42.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$49.5027th %ile$186.7
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
793K-25%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$192.7M
$188.2M$196.9M
$7.40
±3%
Low1
FY2024
$249.2M
$246.8M$251.6M
+29.3%$1.63-78.0%
±3%
Low1
FY2025
$448.0M
$442.0M$451.9M
+79.8%$3.36+106.3%
±1%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySEZL
Last 8Q
+747.7%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+5289%
Q1'24
+157%
Q3'24
+227%
Q4'24
+42%
Q1'25
+212%
Q2'25
+19%
Q3'25
+9%
Q4'25
+26%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Paradis PaulDir
$270K
Mar 3
SELL
Paradis PaulDir
$42K
Mar 3
SELL
Paradis PaulDir
$63K
Mar 3
SELL
Youakim CharlesDir
$369K
Mar 3
SELL
Youakim CharlesDir
$58K
Mar 3
SELL
Youakim CharlesDir
$86K
Mar 3
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Accredited Investors Inc.
887K
2
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
85K
3
CVFG LLC
43K
4
Nuveen, LLC
33K
5
SG Americas Securities, LLC
23K
6
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
18K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
17K
8
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
16K
News & Activity

SEZL News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Industry
Financial Transactions Processing, Reserve, and Clearinghouse Activities
CEO
Charlie Youakim
Paul Victor ParadisCo-Founder, President & Executive Director
Justin KrauseSenior Vice President of Finance & Financial Controller
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SEZL
$85.96+0.59%$2.9B21.9+6607.6%2956.6%1500
$307.65-1.54%$829.7B14.6+330.7%2039.3%1502
$326.85-0.36%$626.5B28.1+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$504.74+1.87%$446.8B28.9+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$52.19-1.97%$374.6B11.9-45.1%1592.6%1501
$188.03-1.13%$298.6B16.2+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$903.27-2.21%$268.0B15.2-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-0.68%19.6+1525.5%2715.3%1503