SF
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.26%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
78.81
Open
78.82
Day Range76.72 – 79.04
76.72
79.04
52W Range58.24 – 89.83
58.24
89.83
59% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
15.0x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
1.24
Market-like
Performance
1D
-2.26%
5D
-0.23%
1M
+4.00%
3M
-6.96%
6M
-2.43%
YTD
-7.73%
1Y
+29.22%
Best: 1Y (+29.22%)Worst: YTD (-7.73%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +10% YoY · 86% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 15x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 5.2 · FCF $9.66/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.85B
Revenue TTM$6.51B
Net Income TTM$882.21M
Free Cash Flow$993.33M
Gross Margin86.1%
Net Margin13.5%
Operating Margin20.7%
Return on Equity15.4%
Return on Assets2.1%
Debt / Equity0.36
Current Ratio5.24
EPS TTM$8.58
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Equity market levels and volatility (S&P 500 performance drives AUM growth and client activity)

Investment banking pipeline and M&A transaction volumes, particularly in middle-market ($100M-$2B deal sizes)

Net interest margin expansion/contraction based on Fed policy and client cash balances

Advisor recruitment success and organic asset growth rates in wealth management

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Investment banking revenues are highly cyclical, contracting sharply during recessions as M&A activity and equity underwriting volumes decline. Wealth management provides some stability through recurring fees, but asset values decline with equity markets. Trading revenues can benefit from volatility spikes but typically suffer in prolonged downturns. Overall revenue correlation to GDP growth is strong, particularly through corporate confidence driving deal activity.

Interest Rates

Net interest income is highly sensitive to Fed policy, with rising rates expanding spreads on $15-20B in client cash and margin loans (estimated 10-15% revenue impact per 100bp rate change). However, higher rates can pressure equity valuations and reduce M&A activity, creating offsetting effects. Wealth management AUM is negatively impacted by rising rates through bond portfolio mark-to-market losses and equity multiple compression. The firm's own funding costs also rise, though typically lag asset yield increases.

Key Risks

Fee compression from robo-advisors and zero-commission trading platforms eroding wealth management economics, though high-net-worth focus provides some insulation

Regulatory burden (Dodd-Frank, capital requirements, fiduciary standards) increasing compliance costs and limiting balance sheet flexibility relative to pre-2008 environment

Technology disruption requiring continuous investment in digital platforms to retain advisors and compete for next-generation wealth transfer ($30+ trillion over next decade)

Investor Profile

value - Trades at modest P/B (2.1x) and P/E multiples relative to bulge bracket peers, attracting investors seeking exposure to wealth management secular growth and rate sensitivity at reasonable valuations. Dividend yield (~1.5-2%) provides some income component. Appeals to investors wanting diversified financial services exposure without pure-play investment banking volatility or money center bank regulatory complexity.

Watch on Earnings
S&P 500 index level and VIX (drives AUM values and client activity levels)Federal Funds Rate and 10-year Treasury yield (impacts net interest income and equity valuations)U.S. M&A transaction volume and middle-market deal count (leading indicator for investment banking fees)High-yield credit spreads (signals risk appetite and corporate financing conditions)
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
47/100
Liquidity
5.24Strong
Leverage
0.36Strong
Coverage
1.7xConcern
ROE
15.4%Strong
ROIC
2.5%Concern
Cash
$2.3BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
BUY
+19.4%upside to target
L $89.00
Med $92.00consensus
H $99.33
Buy
1362%
Hold
838%
13 Buy (62%)8 Hold (38%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.24 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 10, 2026
In 99 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 3.9%

+2.2% vs SMA 50 · -1.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI48.7
Neutral territory
MACD+0.49
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$89.83+16.6%
EMA 50
$77.32+0.4%
Current
$77.03
EMA 200
$75.85-1.5%
52W Low
$58.24-24.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$58.2459th %ile$89.83
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:1
Edge:+7 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
879K-13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$4.9B
$4.8B$5.1B
$4.39
±4%
High5
FY2025
$5.5B
$5.4B$5.5B
+11.7%$4.87+10.9%
±8%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$6.0B
$6.0B$6.1B
+10.3%$6.28+28.9%
±4%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySF
Last 8Q
-4.7%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+4%
Q3'24
-6%
Q4'24
+13%
Q1'25
-70%
Q2'25
+6%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+6%
Q1'26
+4%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Cowen & Co.Buy → Hold
Jan 14
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Hold → Buy
Oct 8
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Jul 31
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchPeer Perform
Jul 22
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Buy → Hold
Jul 8
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/2 SellsNet Selling
Rubulotta DavidOther: Co-head…
$50K
Feb 2
SELL
Zemlyak James MPresident
$1K
Jan 29
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.03% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.03%
Quarterly Div.$0.3400
Est. Annual / Share$1.36
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Retirement Systems of Alabama
398K
2
Nuveen, LLC
305K
3
SG Americas Securities, LLC
297K
4
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
210K
5
Moran Wealth Management, LLC
204K
6
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
195K
7
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
127K
8
BW Gestao de Investimentos Ltda.
125K
News & Activity

SF News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

established in 1890, stifel, nicolaus & company, incorporated is one of the nation’s premier full-service financial services firms, providing brokerage, trading, investment banking, investment advisory, and related services to individual investors, professional money managers, businesses, and municipalities through more than 350 locations in 45 states and the district of columbia. stifel ranks as the 6th largest brokerage firm in the country as measured by number of financial advisors, with approximately 2,100, and features a highly regarded equity research department that has earned numerous accolades from such publications as the wall street journal, forbes, and the financial times. stifel is the principal subsidiary of stifel financial corp. (nyse: sf), a financial services holding company headquartered in st. louis, missouri. some of stifel financial’s other subsidiaries include century securities associates, inc., an independent contractor broker-dealer firm; stifel nicolaus lim

CEO
Ronald Kruszewski
Harvinder Minhasvice president
Rajive Kumarvice president
James Mark ZemlyakPresident & Head of Global Wealth Management
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SF
$77.03-2.26%$11.9B9.0+694.4%1085.7%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.89%19.6+823.6%1913.0%1500