SFBC
Next earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.50%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
42.38
Open
41.55
Day Range41.55 – 42.17
41.55
42.17
52W Range40.68 – 50.85
40.68
50.85
15% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
7.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
14.4x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Performance
1D
-0.50%
5D
-0.19%
1M
-8.74%
3M
-4.81%
6M
-5.81%
YTD
-3.35%
1Y
-16.66%
Worst: 1Y (-16.66%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
63% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 162.9 · FCF $2.63/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$108.29M
Revenue TTM$62.25M
Net Income TTM$7.57M
Free Cash Flow$6.75M
Gross Margin63.3%
Net Margin12.2%
Operating Margin14.7%
Return on Equity7.0%
Return on Assets0.7%
Debt / Equity0.19
Current Ratio162.88
EPS TTM$2.95
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion or compression driven by Federal Reserve policy and deposit beta (sensitivity of deposit rates to Fed funds changes)

Loan growth in commercial real estate and C&I portfolios within Puget Sound market, particularly Seattle metro area

Credit quality metrics including non-performing asset ratios and provision expense tied to Pacific Northwest real estate valuations

Deposit franchise stability and cost of funds relative to regional competitors

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Community banks are highly sensitive to regional economic conditions. Puget Sound economy is tied to technology sector employment (Microsoft, Amazon headquarters proximity), aerospace (Boeing), and real estate development. Economic slowdowns reduce loan demand, increase credit losses on commercial real estate and business loans, and compress net interest margins as competition for quality borrowers intensifies. The 54.3% net income growth suggests recovery from prior period challenges, but small absolute profitability (11.6% net margin) leaves limited buffer for economic deterioration.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity to interest rate levels and yield curve shape. Rising short-term rates initially benefit net interest margin as loan yields reprice faster than deposit costs, but prolonged high rates eventually compress margins as deposit betas increase and competition for deposits intensifies. The current environment (February 2026) reflects post-tightening cycle dynamics where deposit costs have caught up to loan yields. Inverted or flat yield curves (low T10Y2Y spread) particularly hurt profitability by reducing the spread banks earn on maturity transformation. Mortgage banking income also declines when rates rise due to reduced refinancing activity.

Key Risks

Scale disadvantage versus larger regional and national banks in technology investment, regulatory compliance costs, and funding costs - sub-$2B asset banks face structural profitability challenges

Branch-based distribution model vulnerability to digital banking disruption and changing consumer preferences, particularly among younger demographics

Regulatory burden disproportionately impacts small banks with fixed compliance costs spread over smaller asset base

Investor Profile

value - The 1.0x price-to-book ratio, 1.8x price-to-sales, and -13.9% one-year return suggest the stock trades at distressed valuations attracting deep value investors betting on mean reversion, operational improvement, or M&A takeout premium. The 2.5% FCF yield and likely dividend (typical for community banks) may attract income-focused investors, though the weak ROE limits dividend growth potential. Not suitable for growth investors given -0.7% revenue decline and structural headwinds facing sub-scale community banks.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and forward guidance from Federal Reserve on monetary policy trajectory10-Year minus 2-Year Treasury spread (T10Y2Y) as indicator of yield curve steepness and bank profitability environmentSeattle-area commercial real estate vacancy rates and capitalization rates for office and retail propertiesPuget Sound regional unemployment rate and technology sector employment trends
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
44/100
Liquidity
162.88Strong
Leverage
0.19Strong
Coverage
0.4xConcern
ROE
7.0%Concern
ROIC
0.7%Concern
Cash
$138MWatch
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 3 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 162.88 — healthy liquidity

2 signals unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 3.7%

-1.9% vs SMA 50 · -5.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI37.7
Momentum fading
MACD-0.48
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$50.85+20.6%
EMA 200
$44.78+6.2%
EMA 50
$43.12+2.2%
Current
$42.17
52W Low
$40.68-3.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$40.6815th %ile$50.85
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:5
Edge:+5 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)8K
Recent Vol (5D)
3K-63%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Stewart Laura LeeDir
$40K
Mar 31
SELL
Haddad David S JrDir
$19K
Nov 12
SELL
Sweeney James EDir
$13K
Nov 7
SELL
Sweeney James EDir
$31K
Nov 8
SELL
Haddad David S JrDir
$2K
Nov 8
SELL
Haddad David S JrDir
$162
Nov 5
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.90% yield
+5.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.90%
Quarterly Div.$0.2100
Est. Annual / Share$0.84
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Stilwell Value LLC
410K
2
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.
180K
3
GRAHAM CAPITAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC
109K
4
BlackRock, Inc.
101K
5
KENNEDY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
52K
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
43K
7
Pacific Sage Partners, LLC
36K
8
Oppenheimer & Close, LLC
33K
News & Activity

SFBC News

About

Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc., a bank holding company, is the parent company of Sound Community Bank, and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington with full-service branches in Seattle, Tacoma, Mountlake Terrace, Sequim, Port Angeles, Port Ludlow and University Place. Sound Community Bank is a Fannie Mae Approved Lender and Seller/Servicer with one Loan Production Office located in the Madison Park neighborhood of Seattle, Washington.

Industry
Savings Institutions
Jennifer L. MallonSenior VP, Deputy CFO & Chief Accounting Officer
David A. RaneyExecutive Vice President & Chief Banking Officer
Wesley OchsPresident, Chief Strategy Officer & Chief Financial Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SFBC
$42.17-0.50%$108M14.3-70.7%1161.6%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.38%18.4+571.4%2458.9%1506