SMPL
Next earnings: Jun 25, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.09%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 32Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
11.54
Open
11.78
Day Range11.44 – 11.86
11.44
11.86
52W Range10.21 – 36.41
10.21
36.41
5% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-10.2x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.98
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.09%
5D
-6.63%
1M
-1.45%
3M
-27.59%
6M
-41.52%
YTD
-42.48%
1Y
-67.97%
Best: 1D (+0.09%)Worst: 1Y (-67.97%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +0% · 33% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 5.1 · FCF $1.58/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.05B
Revenue TTM$1.42B
Net Income TTM-$105.68M
Free Cash Flow$146.01M
Gross Margin32.8%
Net Margin-7.5%
Operating Margin13.9%
Return on Equity-6.2%
Return on Assets-5.0%
Debt / Equity0.27
Current Ratio5.06
EPS TTM$-1.14
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Retail velocity and market share trends in measured channels (IRI/Nielsen data) for Quest and Atkins brands

Gross margin performance driven by input costs (whey protein, almonds, sweeteners) and promotional intensity

New product innovation success rates and contribution to total revenue growth

Distribution gains or losses in key retail channels (Walmart, Target, Costco, Amazon)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Nutritional snacking exhibits defensive characteristics as a food category, but premium pricing (2-3x conventional snacks) creates trade-down risk during recessions. Consumer willingness to pay for functional benefits correlates with discretionary spending power. However, the category benefits from structural health and wellness trends that persist through cycles. Revenue growth of 9% amid challenging macro conditions suggests resilience, though the 25% net income decline indicates margin vulnerability to input cost inflation and promotional pressures.

Interest Rates

Low direct sensitivity as the company maintains conservative leverage (0.26 D/E ratio) with minimal refinancing risk. Higher rates indirectly impact consumer discretionary spending and retail inventory financing, potentially pressuring order volumes. The 5.01 current ratio provides substantial liquidity buffer. Valuation multiples (11.0x EV/EBITDA) may compress if rates rise further, making growth stocks less attractive, though the stock already trades at depressed levels (1.0x P/S, 0.9x P/B).

Key Risks

Dietary trend shifts away from low-carb/keto toward alternative nutritional approaches (plant-based, whole foods) could erode category relevance

Increasing competition from private label nutritional products at 30-40% price discounts as retailers develop premium store brands

GLP-1 weight loss drug adoption (Ozempic, Wegovy) reducing appetite and overall snacking occasions across the category

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at distressed multiples (0.9x P/B, 1.0x P/S) with 10.7% FCF yield, attracting deep value investors betting on operational turnaround and margin recovery. The 58% one-year decline has created potential mean reversion opportunity for contrarian investors. However, negative earnings momentum and competitive pressures deter growth investors. The lack of dividend eliminates income-focused shareholders.

Watch on Earnings
IRI/Nielsen measured channel market share data for nutritional bars and protein snacks categoriesWhey protein concentrate spot prices (key input cost representing 15-20% of COGS)Retail out-of-stock rates and inventory weeks on hand at major customersAmazon search ranking and review velocity for Quest and Atkins products
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
55/100
Liquidity
5.06Strong
Leverage
0.27Strong
Coverage
10.2xStrong
ROE
-6.2%Concern
ROIC
7.0%Concern
Cash
$98MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE23 analysts
BUY
+42.9%upside to target
L $13.00
Med $16.50consensus
H $31.00
Buy
1670%
Hold
730%
16 Buy (70%)7 Hold (30%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 32 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.06 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 33.4%

-14.6% vs SMA 50 · -43.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI32.4
Momentum fading
MACD-0.57
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$36.41+215.2%
EMA 200
$20.48+77.3%
EMA 50
$13.54+17.2%
Current
$11.55
52W Low
$10.21-11.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$10.215th %ile$36.41
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.6M-12%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.4B
$1.4B$1.5B
$1.94
±2%
High8
FY2026(current)
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.3B
-7.9%$1.66-14.7%
±2%
High10
FY2027
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.5B
+0.5%$1.77+6.6%
±7%
High10
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySMPL
Last 8Q
+5.5%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+4%
Q2'24
+1%
Q4'24
+7%
Q1'25
+15%
Q2'25
Q3'25
-3%
Q4'25
+8%
Q1'26
+12%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Sep 18
UPGRADE
StephensOverweight
Jun 27
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
NET BUYERS$991K bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Kilts James MDir
$991K
Apr 23
BUY
Clawson Michael LChief Commerci…
$100K
Nov 17
BUY
Matthews Timothy Al…VP, Controller…
$114K
Nov 11
SELL
Bealer Christopher JCFO
$199K
Nov 6
BUY
Tanner Geoff EDir
$200K
Jul 23
BUY
Heflin Stuart E. Jr.SVP & General …
$186K
Apr 11
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
13.1M
2
Boston Trust Walden Corp
3.6M
3
STATE STREET CORP
3.4M
4
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
3.0M
5
River Road Asset Management, LLC
3.0M
6
FMR LLC
2.8M
7
SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
2.3M
8
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
2.2M
News & Activity

SMPL News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

The Simply Good Foods Company, headquartered in Denver, Colorado, is a highly-focused food company with a product portfolio consisting primarily of nutrition bars, ready-to-drink shakes, sweet and salty snacks and confectionery products marketed under the Atkins®, Quest®, and Atkins Endulge® brand names. Simply Good Foods is poised to expand its wellness platform through innovation and organic growth along with investment opportunities in the snacking space and broader food category. Simply Good Foods aims to lead the nutritious snacking movement with trusted brands that offer a variety of convenient, innovative, great-tasting, better-for-you snacks and meal replacements.

Industry
Other Snack Food Manufacturing
Christopher James BealerCFO & Principal Accounting Officer
Kathy KelleySenior Vice President of Operations
Joseph E. ScalzoChief Executive Officer, President & Director
PeersConsumer Defensive(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SMPL
$11.55+0.09%$1.0B+898.3%714.1%1500
$131.45-0.76%$1.0T47.9+472.5%307.0%1520
$1048.95+0.74%$465.4B54.5+816.7%294.3%1507
$80.82+0.46%$347.7B25.4+187.0%2734.0%1508
$141.57-0.80%$329.7B20.5+29.2%1895.3%1486
$189.61-1.17%$295.5B26.7+731.3%2791.8%1509
$149.12+0.30%$203.8B23.3+225.5%877.3%1488
Sector avg-0.16%33.0+480.1%1373.4%1503