SNDK
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+8.25%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull UptrendAbove 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
1,096.51
Open
1,059.02
Day Range1,048.00 – 1,189.22
1,048.00
1,189.22
52W Range33.13 – 1,189.24
33.13
1,189.24
100% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
18.5M
Float
147.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
40.5x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
$29.32
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+8.25%
5D
+16.41%
1M
+69.19%
3M
+78.43%
6M
+495.49%
YTD
+400.04%
1Y
+3350.58%
Best: 1Y (+3350.58%)
Quick Read
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
price above key MAs · revenue +83% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 40x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 4.8 · FCF $30.14/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$175.20B
Revenue TTM$13.18B
Net Income TTM$4.51B
Free Cash Flow$4.46B
Gross Margin56.0%
Net Margin34.2%
Operating Margin40.9%
Return on Equity42.3%
Return on Assets26.4%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio4.78
EPS TTM$30.45
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

NAND flash memory spot pricing and contract pricing trends - 30-40% price swings can flip profitability

Bit shipment growth rates and product mix shift toward enterprise SSDs with 50%+ gross margins

Technology node transitions (planar to 3D NAND, layer count increases) affecting yields and cost structure

Hyperscale data center capex cycles from AWS, Azure, Google Cloud driving enterprise SSD demand

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Flash memory demand is highly correlated with consumer electronics sales (smartphones, PCs, gaming consoles) and enterprise IT spending, both of which contract sharply during recessions. Data center SSD demand links directly to cloud capex cycles, which are sensitive to corporate IT budgets and GDP growth. Consumer discretionary spending drives retail storage product sales. The industry also suffers from inventory corrections when OEMs reduce orders during economic uncertainty.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact SanDisk through multiple channels: (1) higher cost of capital for the massive capex required in semiconductor fabs reduces returns on new investments, (2) tech sector multiple compression as investors rotate to bonds, reducing valuation, (3) slower consumer electronics demand as financing costs increase for big-ticket items, and (4) reduced cloud infrastructure spending as hyperscalers optimize capex under higher discount rates. The current 8.7x P/S ratio is vulnerable to rate-driven multiple compression.

Key Risks

NAND flash memory commoditization as technology diffuses - Chinese manufacturers (YMTC, CXMT) entering market with government subsidies creating structural oversupply and pricing pressure

Smartphone market saturation in developed markets reducing primary growth driver for mobile NAND, with replacement cycles extending from 24 to 36+ months

Shift to cloud storage reducing consumer demand for physical storage devices (USB drives, memory cards) as streaming and cloud backup adoption accelerates

Investor Profile

momentum - The 934% 1-year return and extreme volatility attracts momentum traders and event-driven investors betting on acquisition completion, restructuring success, or cyclical recovery in NAND pricing. The negative profitability and cash burn exclude traditional value investors, while lack of dividends eliminates income-focused holders. The stock likely has high short interest and options activity given the volatility profile.

Watch on Earnings
NAND flash memory spot prices ($/GB) from DRAMeXchange or TrendForce - leading indicator for gross margin trajectoryGlobal smartphone shipment units and average NAND content per device from IDC/GartnerHyperscale data center capex spending (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud quarterly reports) driving enterprise SSD demandPC and notebook shipment units from IDC - secondary demand driver for client SSDs
Health Radar
5 strong1 watch
90/100
Liquidity
4.78Strong
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
43.5xStrong
ROE
42.3%Strong
ROIC
31.2%Strong
Cash
$1.5BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
BUY
+1.1%upside to target
L $450.00
Med $1,200.00consensus
H $2,000.00
Buy
1185%
Hold
215%
11 Buy (85%)2 Hold (15%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
7 of 7 signals bullish
10/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$762.90 (+55.6%)
Above SMA 200$353.00 (+236.3%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +116.1%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 4.78 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 106 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$1,189+0.2%
Current
$1,187
SMA 50
$762.9-35.7%
SMA 200
$353.0-70.3%
52W Low
$33.13-97.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$33.13100th %ile$1,189
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$7.3B
$7.3B$7.3B
$2.71
±2%
High10
FY2026(current)
$18.8B
$17.6B$20.3B
+157.8%$61.21+2161.8%
±13%
High11
FY2027
$39.0B
$29.1B$49.2B
+107.8%$163.08+166.4%
±30%
High14
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySNDK
Last 6Q
+112.3%avg beat
Beat 5 of 6 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
-41%
Q1'25
+23%
Q2'25
+522%
Q3'25
+38%
Q4'25
+71%
Q1'26
+60%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Raymond JamesOutperform
Jan 30
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
Suzuki MiyukiDir
$2.2M
Feb 25
SELL
Sayiner NecipDir
$248K
Dec 3
SELL
Sadana SumitEVP, CSO & GM …
$1.8M
May 11
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
SG Americas Securities, LLC
945K
2
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
587K
3
Nuveen, LLC
457K
4
GF FUND MANAGEMENT CO. LTD.
329K
5
Amanah Holdings Trust
250K
6
AIGH Capital Management LLC
200K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
116K
8
Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey
61K
News & Activity

SNDK News

20 articles · 4h ago

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