SONO
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.95%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 25Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
14.69
Open
14.57
Day Range14.50 – 15.14
14.50
15.14
52W Range9.65 – 19.82
9.65
19.82
51% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
87.2x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.38
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
45% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 87x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $0.98/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.77B
Revenue TTM$1.46B
Net Income TTM$23.68M
Free Cash Flow$117.55M
Gross Margin44.8%
Net Margin1.6%
Operating Margin2.6%
Return on Equity6.0%
Return on Assets2.8%
Debt / Equity0.15
Current Ratio1.58
EPS TTM$0.20
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New product launch cycles and adoption rates - particularly flagship soundbar refreshes (Arc, Beam) which drive 40%+ of revenue and ecosystem entry

Direct-to-consumer channel performance and customer acquisition costs - DTC margin differential of 8-12 points versus retail drives profitability

Gross margin trajectory driven by product mix (soundbars vs speakers), promotional intensity, and component cost trends (semiconductor availability, freight rates)

App platform stability and feature releases - May 2024 app redesign caused significant customer backlash impacting NPS scores and repeat purchase rates

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Sonos products are discretionary purchases with $199-$899 price points, making demand highly sensitive to consumer confidence and disposable income. Housing market activity drives 25-30% of purchases (new home setups, renovations), creating direct linkage to home sales velocity and mortgage rates. Premium positioning means customer base skews toward higher-income households (median HHI $120K+) with greater spending elasticity during economic uncertainty. Historical revenue volatility shows 15-20% swings correlated with consumer sentiment shifts.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact Sonos through multiple channels: (1) Reduced housing turnover and renovation activity decreases new system installations, (2) Higher mortgage rates compress discretionary spending budgets for home improvement categories, (3) Consumer financing costs increase for premium purchases, and (4) Valuation multiple compression as growth stocks de-rate in higher rate environments. Company carries minimal debt (0.13 D/E) so direct financing cost impact is negligible, but demand elasticity to rates is significant.

Key Risks

Platform commoditization as Amazon, Apple, and Google leverage massive ecosystems and subsidize hardware to drive services revenue - Alexa/Siri integration creates switching costs favoring integrated platforms

Shift toward soundbar-centric TV audio versus standalone speaker systems as streaming replaces traditional music listening, potentially reducing multi-room expansion opportunities

Retail channel consolidation and potential Best Buy strategic shift away from premium audio could eliminate 30-40% of distribution access

Investor Profile

value/turnaround - Stock trades at 1.3x sales with negative earnings, attracting investors betting on margin recovery and return to growth as product cycle normalizes and app platform stabilizes. 5.7% FCF yield despite losses suggests potential for cash generation if operational efficiency improves. Recent 20-25% six-month rally indicates momentum traders entering on technical signals, but fundamental holders focused on 2027-2028 profitability inflection. Not suitable for dividend or income investors given no payout and negative ROE of -4.4%.

Watch on Earnings
US existing home sales and housing turnover velocity (25-30% of purchases tied to moving/renovation)Consumer electronics retail sales trends and Best Buy comparable store sales (primary retail partner)Consumer sentiment index and discretionary spending patterns in $100K+ income cohortsSemiconductor component pricing and availability for audio DSPs and wireless chips
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
59/100
Liquidity
1.58Watch
Leverage
0.15Strong
Coverage
81.7xStrong
ROE
6.0%Concern
ROIC
5.0%Concern
Cash
$175MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE9 analysts
HOLD
+31.5%upside to target
L $18.00
Med $19.50consensus
H $21.00
Buy
444%
Hold
444%
Sell
111%
4 Buy (44%)4 Hold (44%)1 Sell (12%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 25 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.58 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 92 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 48.1%

-13.2% vs SMA 50 · +28.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI25.1
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-0.88
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$19.82+33.6%
EMA 50
$16.53+11.5%
Current
$14.83
EMA 200
$11.56-22.0%
52W Low
$9.65-34.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$9.6551th %ile$19.82
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:9
Dist days:3
Edge:+6 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.9M+36%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.5B
$1.5B$1.6B
-$0.35
±1%
Moderate3
FY2024
$1.5B
$1.5B$1.5B
-2.1%-$0.28
±1%
Moderate4
FY2025
$1.4B
$1.4B$1.4B
-5.2%-$0.43
±0%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySONO
Last 8Q
-13.7%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+21%
Q3'24
+18%
Q4'24
+78%
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
-220%
Q4'25
+27%
Q1'26
-33%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyUnderperform → Underweight
Sep 26
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Jun 14
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
NET BUYERS$725 bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Arabia CarmineDir
$725
May 6
BUY
Coliseum Capital Ma…10 Percent Own…
$1.7M
Mar 17
BUY
Coliseum Capital Ma…10 Percent Own…
$184K
Mar 16
BUY
Coliseum Capital Ma…10 Percent Own…
$1.2M
Mar 13
BUY
Coliseum Capital Ma…10 Percent Own…
$2.6M
Mar 11
BUY
Coliseum Capital Ma…10 Percent Own…
$4.5M
Mar 10
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Coliseum Capital Management, LLC
18.1M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
17.7M
3
STATE STREET CORP
4.6M
4
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
3.3M
5
JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC
3.0M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
3.0M
7
Trigran Investments, Inc.
2.5M
8
MORGAN STANLEY
2.4M
News & Activity

SONO News

About

in 2002, we set out with a goal – to reinvent home audio for the digital age. our vision was simple - fill every home with music and make listening a valued experience again. we’re making it easy for everybody to listen to the music they love in every room of their home. to hear the songs they love, to discover new music they never knew existed, and to appreciate it all with the highest sound quality. we’re doing it all over the world – in more than 60 countries, in seven languages through thousands of retailers. we’re constantly looking for ways to improve the experience – with new products, new software and continually investing in ways to provide our customers the best experience possible. we’re doing what we set out to do. changing the way people listen to music – one home at a time.

Industry
Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing
CEO
John Macfarlane
Frank BarbieriCOO & Principal Operating Officer
Kurt PrestonVice President of Global Operations
Thomas ConradPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SONO
$14.83+0.00%$1.8B75.51500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1522
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1508
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1474
$276.39+0.00%$196.4B22.6+372.3%1481
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%1499
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B1487
Sector avg-1.49%88.8+470.6%781.0%1496