SPCE
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move-2.43%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume2.1× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 56Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
2.88
Open
2.70
Day Range2.68 – 3.15
2.68
3.15
52W Range2.13 – 5.59
2.13
5.59
20% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
6.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-0.7x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.23
High vol
Performance
1D
-2.43%
5D
+10.63%
1M
-0.71%
3M
+9.77%
6M
-23.43%
YTD
-12.46%
1Y
-16.12%
Best: 5D (+10.63%)Worst: 6M (-23.43%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -76% YoY · thin -3882% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 1.0 · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$177.60M
Revenue TTM$1.31M
Net Income TTM-$259.13M
Free Cash Flow-$409.53M
Gross Margin-3882.4%
Net Margin-19781.3%
Operating Margin-15030.2%
Return on Equity-105.0%
Return on Assets-34.5%
Debt / Equity1.43
Current Ratio1.00
EPS TTM$-3.26
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Delta-class spacecraft development milestones and first flight timeline updates

Successful test flights and return-to-flight announcements following any groundings

Cash runway updates and capital raise announcements (equity dilution risk)

Ticket sales backlog changes and deposit collection rates

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Space tourism is the ultimate discretionary luxury purchase targeting ultra-high-net-worth individuals with $10M+ liquid assets. Demand correlates strongly with wealth effect from equity markets, cryptocurrency valuations, and private company exits. During economic downturns or market corrections, potential customers delay experiential luxury spending. The company's ability to raise capital also depends heavily on risk appetite in public markets and investor sentiment toward speculative growth stories.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Higher rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable, cash-burning growth companies with distant profitability timelines, (2) Rising rates increase the discount rate applied to far-future cash flows, making the NPV of 2028+ revenue streams less valuable today, (3) Higher rates reduce wealth effect among target customers as alternative fixed-income investments become more attractive, (4) Increased cost of capital makes equity raises more dilutive and debt financing more expensive if pursued.

Key Risks

Unproven market demand at scale - only ~800 tickets sold over 15+ years despite significant marketing, raising questions about total addressable market size and sustainable pricing power beyond initial novelty phase

Technology execution risk on Delta-class spacecraft - company has history of multi-year delays, cost overruns, and technical setbacks including 2014 fatal test flight accident; failure to achieve reliable weekly flight cadence would invalidate business case

Regulatory risk from FAA commercial spaceflight oversight - any serious incident could trigger industry-wide groundings or more stringent safety requirements increasing costs and reducing flight frequency

Investor Profile

momentum/speculative - The stock attracts retail traders and speculative growth investors betting on transformational space tourism narrative rather than fundamental investors focused on cash flows and profitability. Extreme volatility and binary outcomes (successful scaling vs bankruptcy) appeal to options traders and those seeking lottery-ticket exposure to emerging space economy. Institutional ownership is minimal given negative cash flows, lack of earnings visibility, and high execution risk. The -45% one-year return and -300% FCF yield reflect deteriorating sentiment as commercialization timelines extend.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly cash burn rate and total cash/equivalents balanceDelta-class spacecraft development timeline and test flight completion datesVSS Unity flight frequency and any technical issues causing delaysTicket backlog size, new deposits, and cancellation rates
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
24/100
Liquidity
1.00Watch
Leverage
1.43Watch
Coverage
-25.5xConcern
ROE
-105.0%Concern
ROIC
-33.7%Concern
Cash
$145MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE16 analysts
HOLD
-5.7%downside to target
L $2.30
Med $2.65consensus
H $3.00
Buy
531%
Hold
638%
Sell
531%
5 Buy (31%)6 Hold (38%)5 Sell (31%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 56 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.00
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 16.7%

+6.0% vs SMA 50 · -11.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI55.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.05
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$5.59+98.9%
EMA 200
$3.08+9.7%
Current
$2.81
EMA 50
$2.72-3.1%
52W Low
$2.13-24.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$2.1320th %ile$5.59
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:5
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)7.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
10.6M+42%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$8.7M
$8.0M$9.4M
-$15.56
±8%
High5
FY2025
$1.8M
$1.8M$1.9M
-78.8%-$5.18
±1%
High5
FY2026(current)
$32.6M
$27.3M$42.0M
+1663.7%-$2.31
±47%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySPCE
Last 8Q
+18.5%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+19%
Q3'24
+35%
Q4'24
+31%
Q1'25
-7%
Q2'25
+31%
Q3'25
+28%
Q4'25
+5%
Q1'26
+6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
Nov 22
DOWNGRADE
Alembic GlobalOverweight → Neutral
Jun 14
UPGRADE
BernsteinUnderperform
Sep 9
DOWNGRADE
UBSBuy → Hold
Jul 6
DOWNGRADE
Alembic GlobalOverweight
May 25
UPGRADE
UBSBuy
May 21
UPGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
1.2M
2
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC
926K
3
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
887K
4
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP
786K
5
UBS Group AG
694K
6
MORGAN STANLEY
651K
7
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.
515K
8
Invesco Ltd.
487K
News & Activity

SPCE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is a vertically integrated aerospace and space travel company, pioneering human spaceflight for private individuals and researchers, as well as a manufacturer of advanced air and space vehicles. It is developing a spaceflight system designed to offer customers a unique and transformative experience.

Industry
Small Arms Ammunition Manufacturing
Sarah E. KimExecutive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Douglas T. AhrensExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Eric CernyVice President of Investor Relations
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SPCE
$2.81-2.43%$178M-7805.6%-1806392.5%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.49%21.6-365.9%-256223.9%1500