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Heating degree days (HDD) in Northeast/Mid-Atlantic regions - each 10% variance from normal impacts volumes by 8-12%
Propane wholesale cost spreads (Mont Belvieu pricing) and ability to pass through costs with 30-90 day lag
Distribution coverage ratio and sustainability of $0.60 annual distribution ($0.15 quarterly)
Customer attrition rates in core residential heating segment versus natural gas pipeline expansion
low-to-moderate - Residential heating demand (60%+ of volumes) is non-discretionary and weather-driven rather than economically sensitive. Commercial/industrial segments (25-30% of volumes) exhibit moderate cyclicality tied to manufacturing activity and agricultural operations. Agricultural propane demand for crop drying correlates with harvest volumes and commodity prices. Recession impact is muted by essential-service nature, though commercial customer bankruptcies and residential payment delinquencies increase during downturns.
Rising rates create moderate headwinds through multiple channels: (1) Higher financing costs on $800M+ debt load, with estimated $8-10M annual interest expense increase per 100bps rate rise; (2) MLP distribution yields become less attractive versus risk-free rates, compressing valuation multiples; (3) Refinancing risk on debt maturities, though current debt structure is largely termed out through 2028-2030. Conversely, falling rates support valuation multiples and reduce financing costs. The 2.42x debt/equity ratio amplifies interest rate sensitivity.
Natural gas pipeline expansion into rural markets threatens 1-3% annual customer attrition in core territories, with permanent volume loss as customers convert to lower-cost natural gas
Energy transition and building electrification policies (heat pumps, electric appliances) create long-term demand headwinds, particularly in residential new construction where propane penetration has declined from 6% (2010) to 4% (2025)
Regulatory restrictions on propane usage in certain applications and potential carbon pricing mechanisms that disadvantage fossil fuels versus renewable alternatives
dividend/income - MLP structure with 8-9% distribution yield attracts income-focused investors seeking tax-advantaged cash flows. Value investors are drawn to 0.9x price/sales and 10.1x EV/EBITDA multiples trading below historical averages. The partnership structure appeals to investors comfortable with K-1 tax reporting and seeking energy infrastructure exposure without commodity price volatility. Limited growth prospects (mature markets, structural headwinds) deter growth investors.
Trend
+0.4% vs SMA 50 · +4.9% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $1.3B $1.3B–$1.4B | — | $1.63 | — | — | Low2 |
FY2025 | $1.4B $1.4B–$1.4B | ▲ +9.0% | $1.75 | ▲ +7.1% | — | Low1 |
FY2026(current) | $1.4B $1.4B–$1.4B | ▼ -1.1% | $1.85 | ▲ +6.0% | — | Low1 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Advanced Micro Devices eyes strong Q1 2026 results as Data Center revenues surge on EPYC and Instinc…

suburban is a nationwide marketer and distributor of a diverse array of products to meet the energy needs of our customers, specializing in propane, fuel oil and refined fuels, as well as the marketing of natural gas and electricity in deregulated markets. in the residential and commercial markets, propane is used primarily for space heating, water heating, clothes drying and cooking. industrial customers use propane generally as a motor fuel to power over-the-road vehicles, forklifts and stationary engines, to fire furnaces, as a cutting gas and in other process applications. in the agricultural market, propane is primarily used for tobacco curing, crop drying, poultry brooding and weed control. propane is clean burning and, when consumed, produces only negligible amounts of pollutants, that's why propane is the safe, “go anywhere, do anything” green energy source for all seasons. suburban propane partners also sells, installs, and services various whole-house heating products, air cl
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPH◀ | $20.07 | -1.04% | $1.3B | 9.9 | +793.8% | 743.9% | 1500 |
| $400.93 | +0.00% | $2.1T | — | — | — | 1500 | |
| $90.33 | +0.00% | $316.0B | 14.1 | — | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $133.86 | +0.00% | $305.1B | 23.7 | — | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $183.44 | +0.00% | $286.4B | 27.2 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $144.67 | +0.00% | $279.7B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $89.04 | +0.00% | $251.9B | 14.4 | — | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.15% | — | 18.4 | +751.3% | 1423.2% | 1500 |