SPIR
Next earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Signal
Bullish Setup3
Price
1
Move+9.82%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume1.9× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 54Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
18.22
Open
17.70
Day Range17.70 – 20.45
17.70
20.45
52W Range6.60 – 23.59
6.60
23.59
79% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.76
High vol
Performance
1D
+9.82%
5D
+8.16%
1M
-6.10%
3M
+119.17%
6M
+166.09%
YTD
+166.80%
1Y
+66.75%
Best: YTD (+166.80%)Worst: 1M (-6.10%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -36% · 42% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 13x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.9 (low) · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$670.93M
Revenue TTM$63.51M
Net Income TTM$48.55M
Free Cash Flow-$118.55M
Gross Margin42.1%
Net Margin76.4%
Operating Margin-122.0%
Return on Equity0.2%
Return on Assets0.0%
Debt / Equity0.09
Current Ratio0.94
EPS TTM$0.00
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New contract wins and annual contract value (ACV) bookings, particularly multi-million dollar government contracts with DoD, NOAA, or international space agencies

Customer retention rates and net revenue retention (NRR) metrics indicating expansion within existing accounts

Satellite constellation health and launch cadence - successful deployments expanding coverage or replacing aging satellites

Quarterly revenue growth acceleration or deceleration relative to the 13% YoY baseline, signaling market traction

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Maritime and aviation data demand correlates with global trade volumes and air traffic, which contract during recessions as shipping activity and flight operations decline. However, government weather and defense contracts (estimated 30-40% of revenue) provide countercyclical stability as these budgets are less economically sensitive. The subscription model creates revenue stickiness, but new customer acquisition slows when corporate IT budgets tighten. Industrial production and trade volumes are leading indicators for maritime data demand.

Interest Rates

High interest rates negatively impact Spire through multiple channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, particularly acute given negative FCF; (2) Increased cost of capital for satellite manufacturing and launch financing, though current debt/equity of 0.06 suggests minimal debt burden; (3) Customer budget constraints as enterprises face higher financing costs, potentially delaying data analytics investments. The company's path to profitability becomes more critical in high-rate environments as equity capital becomes scarcer for cash-burning businesses.

Key Risks

Commoditization of space-based data as launch costs decline and new constellations proliferate, compressing pricing power and margins across maritime AIS and aviation ADS-B segments where data is becoming increasingly abundant

Government weather satellite modernization programs (NOAA, EUMETSAT) potentially displacing commercial weather data providers with free or subsidized alternatives, particularly for radio occultation data

Regulatory changes in spectrum allocation or data privacy (particularly maritime/aviation tracking) that could restrict data collection or commercialization rights

Investor Profile

growth - Attracts speculative growth investors betting on the commercialization of space data and the company's ability to scale revenue faster than operating expenses to reach profitability. The negative earnings, small market cap, and emerging industry position appeal to venture-style public market investors willing to accept high risk for potential multi-bagger returns if the company captures meaningful share of the $10B+ Earth observation and space data market. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative cash flows and no dividend. Recent 16.5% three-month return suggests momentum traders are also active.

Watch on Earnings
Global maritime trade volumes and container shipping rates (Baltic Dry Index proxy) as leading indicators for maritime data demandCommercial air traffic recovery and flight hours (IATA data) driving aviation tracking subscription growthUS and international defense budget allocations for space-based ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance) capabilitiesSatellite launch costs and SpaceX rideshare pricing trends affecting constellation expansion economics
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
28/100
Liquidity
0.94Concern
Leverage
0.09Strong
Coverage
-45.9xConcern
ROE
0.2%Concern
ROIC
-0.1%Concern
Cash
$25MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
BUY
+2.4%upside to target
L $15.00
Med $20.50consensus
H $22.50
Buy
758%
Hold
433%
Sell
18%
7 Buy (58%)4 Hold (33%)1 Sell (9%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 54 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.94 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 95 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 38.2%

+27.2% vs SMA 50 · +75.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI54.2
Neutral territory
MACD+0.53
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$23.59+17.9%
Current
$20.01
EMA 50
$16.09-19.6%
EMA 200
$12.60-37.0%
52W Low
$6.60-67.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$6.6079th %ile$23.59
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:5
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.1M+17%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$107.2M
$102.8M$113.1M
-$3.49
±6%
Low1
FY2024
$109.1M
$107.2M$111.4M
+1.8%-$2.35
±3%
Low2
FY2025
$71.2M
$71.1M$71.3M
-34.8%-$1.97
±3%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySPIR
Last 8Q
-7.5%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+43%
Q1'24
-61%
Q2'24
-82%
Q1'25
+10%
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
Q4'25
+20%
Q1'26
+3%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Alliance Global Par…Buy → Neutral
Dec 23
DOWNGRADE
Craig-HallumHold → Positive
Nov 14
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform
Aug 28
DOWNGRADE
Craig-HallumBuy → Hold
Aug 15
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $55K sold · 30d window
Platzer PeterDir
$33K
Apr 20
SELL
Condor TheresaCEO
$22K
Apr 20
SELL
Oehme Johann GabrielChief Technolo…
$109K
Feb 20
SELL
Platzer PeterDir
$267K
May 20
SELL
Platzer PeterDir
$610K
May 22
SELL
Platzer PeterDir
$18K
Jun 25
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
325 CAPITAL LLC
1.9M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
1.7M
3
Lane Generational LLC
756K
4
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
717K
5
STATE STREET CORP
575K
6
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP
570K
7
STIFEL FINANCIAL CORP
518K
8
AWM Investment Company, Inc.
429K
News & Activity

SPIR News

About

spire is a data and analytics company that collects data from space to solve problems on earth. spire can identify, track, and predict the movement of the world's resources and weather systems so that businesses and governments can make smarter decisions about what to do next - a vital capability given how quickly our world is changing. to learn more, visit: www.spire.com spire is looking for exceptional people to join its fast-growing team. challenge yourself, apply today! http://spire.com/careers/

Quintin JonesVice President & Head of North America
Theresa CondorChief Executive Officer, President & Director
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SPIR
$20.01+9.82%$671M-3521.7%7170.2%1500
$888.31+0.00%$409.2B1526
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B1488
$171.18+0.00%$230.5B1486
$220.49+0.00%$173.8B1502
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1506
$399.44+0.00%$155.1B1506
Sector avg+0.98%22.2-1707.3%5041.2%1502