SSD
Next earnings: Jul 27, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.69%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 56Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
190.73
Open
190.01
Day Range189.76 – 193.94
189.76
193.94
52W Range151.38 – 211.98
151.38
211.98
67% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
281.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
22.5x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
1.02
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.69%
5D
+5.64%
1M
+15.48%
3M
+6.88%
6M
+8.81%
YTD
+18.94%
1Y
+22.25%
Best: 1Y (+22.25%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +6% YoY · 46% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 23x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.4 · FCF $8.20/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$7.95B
Revenue TTM$2.38B
Net Income TTM$355.42M
Free Cash Flow$338.23M
Gross Margin45.5%
Net Margin14.9%
Operating Margin19.7%
Return on Equity16.9%
Return on Assets11.7%
Debt / Equity0.04
Current Ratio3.40
EPS TTM$8.62
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

US housing starts and building permits (single-family starts drive 60% of residential revenue, with 6-9 month lag from permit to connector installation)

Repair and remodel spending (approximately 30% of revenue, more stable than new construction with correlation to home price appreciation and home equity levels)

Steel and zinc commodity costs (raw materials represent 30% of COGS, with 60-90 day pass-through lag creating margin volatility)

Building code adoption cycles (California seismic codes, Florida wind codes, and IRC updates drive 5-15% content-per-home increases over 3-5 year cycles)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue exhibits 1.2-1.5x beta to US housing starts, which are highly cyclical and GDP-sensitive. Single-family housing starts (60% of revenue driver) correlate strongly with employment, household formation, and consumer confidence. Repair/remodel activity (30% of revenue) provides partial offset during downturns as homeowners invest in existing homes rather than move. Commercial construction (10% of revenue) lags residential by 12-18 months. During 2008-2011 housing downturn, revenue declined 35% peak-to-trough, demonstrating high cyclical sensitivity despite market share gains.

Interest Rates

Rising mortgage rates negatively impact housing affordability and dampen single-family starts with 6-12 month lag, directly reducing connector demand. Each 100 basis point increase in 30-year mortgage rates historically reduces housing starts by 8-12% over subsequent 12 months. However, company benefits from minimal debt (0.28x Debt/Equity) so financing costs are negligible. Higher rates also reduce home turnover, which can paradoxically support repair/remodel spending as homeowners improve rather than relocate. Valuation multiple contracts when 10-year Treasury yields rise as investors rotate from cyclical industrials to bonds.

Key Risks

Modular and prefabricated construction adoption could reduce field-installed connector content per home by 15-25% if factory-built housing exceeds 10% market share (currently 3-4%)

Building code stagnation or deregulation in key markets (California, Florida, Texas) would eliminate primary growth driver of content-per-home increases from seismic and wind load requirements

Steel tariffs and trade policy volatility create unpredictable raw material cost spikes that compress margins during 60-90 day pass-through lag periods

Investor Profile

value - Stock attracts value investors during housing downturns when P/E multiples compress to 12-15x despite strong balance sheet and market position, and quality-focused growth investors during housing upcycles when ROE exceeds 18% and revenue growth accelerates to 8-12%. The 46% gross margin and capital-light model appeal to investors seeking high-quality cyclical exposure. Dividend yield of 1.5-2.0% provides modest income component but stock primarily valued on earnings growth potential through housing cycle recovery.

Watch on Earnings
US housing starts (HOUST) and building permits (PERMIT), particularly single-family versus multi-family mixLeading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA) published by Joint Center for Housing Studies, predicting repair/remodel spending 6-9 months forwardSteel hot-rolled coil prices and zinc commodity prices (track HGUSD copper as proxy for industrial metals)Mortgage rates (MORTGAGE30US) and housing affordability indices
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
57/100
Liquidity
3.40Strong
Leverage
0.04Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
16.9%Strong
ROIC
13.3%Watch
Cash
$384MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+11.7%upside to target
L $210.00
Med $214.50consensus
H $220.00
Buy
450%
Hold
450%
4 Buy (50%)4 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 56 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.40 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 6.3%

+3.0% vs SMA 50 · +9.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI56.1
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.19
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$212.0+10.4%
Current
$192.1
EMA 50
$184.9-3.7%
EMA 200
$174.9-8.9%
52W Low
$151.4-21.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$151.467th %ile$212.0
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)292K
Recent Vol (5D)
194K-33%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$2.2B
$2.2B$2.2B
$7.83
±1%
Low2
FY2024
$2.2B
$2.2B$2.2B
+0.1%$7.57-3.2%
±1%
Moderate3
FY2025
$2.3B
$2.3B$2.3B
+5.1%$8.12+7.3%
±0%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 6 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySSD
Last 8Q
+4.4%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2
-5%
Q3'24
-7%
Q4'24
+3%
Q1'25
+8%
Q2'25
+3%
Q3'25
+9%
Q4'25
+7%
Q1'26
+17%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CJS SecuritiesOutperform
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Donaldson Philip EDir
$399K
Dec 12
SELL
Andrasick James SDir
$102K
Nov 11
SELL
Andersen MichaelEVP, Europe
$196K
Aug 25
SELL
Gilstrap JeremyEVP, Innovation
$446K
Aug 1
SELL
Andrasick James SDir
$143K
May 14
SELL
Lutz JenniferEVP, Human Res…
$51K
May 1
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.60% yield
+2.0% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.60%
Quarterly Div.$0.2900
Est. Annual / Share$1.16
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Conestoga Capital Advisors, LLC
605K
2
RIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC
181K
3
River Road Asset Management, LLC
119K
4
FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
106K
5
WHITTIER TRUST CO
98K
6
Nuveen, LLC
77K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
57K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
55K
News & Activity

SSD News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

simpson manufacturing co., inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells wood and concrete building construction products. the company offers wood construction products, including connectors, truss plates, fastening systems, fasteners, shearwalls, and pre-fabricated lateral systems that are used in light-frame construction; and concrete construction products comprising adhesives, specialty chemicals, mechanical anchors, carbide drill bits, powder actuated tools, fiber reinforced materials, and other repair products for use in concrete, masonry, and steel construction, as well as for concrete construction repair, protection, and strengthening applications, which include grouts, coatings, sealers, mortars, fiberglass and fiber-reinforced polymer systems, and asphalt products. it also provides connectors and lateral products for wood framing, timber and offsite construction, mid-rise steel construction, and cold formed steel applications; fasteners, which inc

CEO
Karen Colonias
Phillip BurtonExecutive Vice President of North America - Simpson Strong-Tie Company Inc
Cassandra PaytonExecutive Vice President & General Counsel
Michael AndersenExecutive Vice President of Europe - Simpson Strong-Tie Switzerland GmbH
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SSD
$192.05+0.69%$8.0B22.3+451.0%1479.3%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.47%21.5+788.9%1969.2%1500