STAG
Next earnings: Jul 28, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.00%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 51Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
38.58
Open
38.74
Day Range38.26 – 38.75
38.26
38.75
52W Range33.07 – 39.99
33.07
39.99
80% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
29.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.84
Market-like
Performance
1D
5D
-0.82%
1M
+5.55%
3M
+2.93%
6M
+0.81%
YTD
+4.95%
1Y
+13.91%
Best: 1Y (+13.91%)Worst: 5D (-0.82%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +10% YoY · 62% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 30x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.8 (low) · FCF $2.10/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$7.38B
Revenue TTM$863.82M
Net Income TTM$244.08M
Free Cash Flow$401.36M
Gross Margin61.8%
Net Margin28.3%
Operating Margin37.9%
Return on Equity6.9%
Return on Assets3.4%
Debt / Equity0.90
Current Ratio0.79
EPS TTM$1.28
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-store NOI growth driven by occupancy rates (currently 95-97% range) and rental rate mark-to-market spreads on lease renewals

Acquisition volume and cap rate spreads versus cost of capital (accretive acquisitions at 6.5-7.5% cap rates versus 5-6% blended cost of debt/equity)

Tenant credit quality and lease renewal rates, particularly exposure to e-commerce and logistics tenants versus traditional manufacturing

10-year Treasury yield movements affecting REIT valuation multiples and cost of capital for acquisitions

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Industrial real estate demand correlates with manufacturing activity, e-commerce volumes, and supply chain investment. During economic expansions, tenant demand strengthens and rental rate growth accelerates; recessions reduce absorption and increase tenant credit risk. However, STAG's focus on essential distribution and manufacturing (versus discretionary retail) provides relative stability. The 4-5 year average lease term creates revenue visibility that dampens short-term cyclical volatility.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact STAG through three channels: (1) higher cost of debt for refinancing and acquisitions, compressing acquisition spreads; (2) increased competition from fixed-income alternatives, pressuring REIT valuation multiples (P/FFO compression); and (3) higher cap rates in transaction markets, creating mark-to-market headwinds on portfolio valuation. However, floating-rate debt exposure is typically hedged, and strong industrial fundamentals can offset rate headwinds through NOI growth. The current 61% gross margin suggests healthy cash flow generation to service debt.

Key Risks

Oversupply risk in industrial markets if speculative development accelerates beyond demand, particularly in Sun Belt markets with fewer land constraints, compressing rental rate growth and occupancy

E-commerce fulfillment network optimization by major tenants (Amazon, third-party logistics providers) potentially reducing space needs per dollar of sales through automation and AI-driven efficiency

Climate-related physical risks including flooding, extreme heat, and supply chain disruptions affecting property values and insurance costs in vulnerable geographies

Investor Profile

dividend - STAG appeals to income-focused investors seeking stable, growing dividends (current yield likely 3.5-4.5% range) backed by predictable cash flows from long-term industrial leases. The 32.4% net margin and 6.3% FCF yield support sustainable dividend coverage. Also attracts value investors during REIT selloffs when P/FFO multiples compress below historical averages, creating entry points for total return (income plus NAV appreciation).

Watch on Earnings
10-year Treasury yield (GS10) as primary driver of REIT valuation multiples and cost of capitalIndustrial Production Index (INDPRO) as leading indicator of manufacturing tenant demand and space utilizationE-commerce retail sales growth as proxy for logistics and fulfillment space demandCBRE industrial vacancy rates and asking rents in secondary markets (quarterly reports)
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
27/100
Liquidity
0.79Concern
Leverage
0.90Strong
Coverage
2.3xWatch
ROE
6.9%Concern
ROIC
4.7%Concern
Cash
$15MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE20 analysts
HOLD
+3.7%upside to target
L $39.00
Med $40.00consensus
H $44.00
Buy
945%
Hold
840%
Sell
315%
9 Buy (45%)8 Hold (40%)3 Sell (15%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 51 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.79 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 2.3%

+0.9% vs SMA 50 · +3.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI51.1
Neutral territory
MACD+0.26
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$39.99+3.7%
Current
$38.58
EMA 50
$38.26-0.8%
EMA 200
$37.32-3.3%
52W Low
$33.07-14.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$33.0780th %ile$39.99
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:3
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.3M-14%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$836.7M
$825.5M$848.9M
$1.24
±2%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$900.7M
$888.7M$913.9M
+7.7%$1.02-17.8%
±2%
Low2
FY2027
$959.0M
$946.2M$973.0M
+6.5%$1.14+12.4%
±2%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySTAG
Last 8Q
+58.1%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quarters Estimates falling
+3%
Q3'24
+2%
Q4'24
+239%
Q1'25
+2%
Q2'25
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+175%
Q1'26
+41%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Underweight
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesBuy
Jan 1
UPGRADE
WedbushNeutral → Outperform
Jul 22
UPGRADE
BMO CapitalUnderperform
Apr 18
DOWNGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Hold
Apr 26
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Crooker William RDir
$3.7M
Feb 23
SELL
Pinard MattsEVP, CFO AND T…
$989K
Feb 23
SELL
Colbert VirgisDir
$317K
Feb 19
SELL
Colbert VirgisDir
$368K
Feb 19
SELL
Chase MichaelEVP AND CIO
$509K
Nov 5
SELL
Guillemette Larry TDir
$71K
Sep 23
SELL
Financials
Dividends3.58% yield
+92.3% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.58%
Quarterly Div.$0.3900
Est. Annual / Share$1.56
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'25
Q3'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
4.0M
2
Boston Trust Walden Corp
2.5M
3
FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/
808K
4
ProShare Advisors LLC
693K
5
MILLER HOWARD INVESTMENTS INC /NY
587K
6
Leeward Investments, LLC - MA
438K
7
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
338K
8
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
242K
News & Activity

STAG News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

stag industrial, inc. (nyse: stag) is a real estate investment trust (reit) focused on the acquisition and operation of single-tenant, industrial properties throughout the united states. stag seeks to identify relative value across all markets, industries, and tenants through the principled application of our proprietary risk assessment model. we target the acquisition of individual single-tenant industrial properties throughout the united states with purchase prices ranging from $5 million to $50 million. for additional information, please visit the company’s website at www.stagindustrial.com.

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
Benjamin Butcher
Jeff ManganoSenior Vice President and Head of Data & Technology
Jeffrey SullivanExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
Kurt N. FlionisSenior Vice President of Credit
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
STAG
$38.58+0.00%$7.4B30.2+1013.8%3235.7%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.56%22.6+869.3%2220.1%1500