STOK
Next earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-4.08%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
31.36
Open
31.04
Day Range29.70 – 31.04
29.70
31.04
52W Range9.09 – 40.22
9.09
40.22
67% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
722.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-10.5x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.55
High vol
Performance
1D
-1.07%
5D
-1.75%
1M
-12.55%
3M
-1.72%
6M
+18.29%
YTD
-1.20%
1Y
+248.83%
Best: 1Y (+248.83%)Worst: 1M (-12.55%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -83% · 90% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 9.0 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.87B
Revenue TTM$32.08M
Net Income TTM-$169.77M
Free Cash Flow-$147.69M
Gross Margin90.4%
Net Margin-529.2%
Operating Margin-577.5%
Return on Equity-48.8%
Return on Assets-38.3%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio8.99
EPS TTM$-2.69
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

STK-001 Phase 3 clinical trial data readouts for Dravet syndrome (efficacy on seizure frequency reduction, safety profile)

FDA regulatory interactions and guidance on approval pathway, including potential accelerated approval discussions

Pipeline expansion announcements for additional haploinsufficiency targets (autosomal dominant disorders)

Strategic partnerships or licensing deals that validate TANGO platform technology and provide non-dilutive funding

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Pre-revenue rare disease biotech with value driven entirely by clinical and regulatory milestones, not economic cycles. Dravet syndrome patients require treatment regardless of GDP growth. However, macro conditions affect: (1) ability to raise capital in risk-off environments, (2) acquisition appetite from large pharma partners, and (3) discount rates applied to future cash flows in DCF models. The 220% one-year return suggests momentum-driven trading amplified by biotech sector rotation.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact valuation through higher discount rates applied to distant future cash flows (first potential revenue 2027-2028 post-approval). Clinical-stage biotechs are long-duration assets similar to zero-coupon bonds. Higher rates also increase financing costs for future capital raises, though current 6.53x current ratio and minimal debt (0.01 D/E) provide near-term insulation. The 10-year Treasury yield directly affects comparable biotech sector multiples and risk appetite for speculative growth stocks.

Key Risks

Binary clinical trial risk: STK-001 Phase 3 failure would eliminate 80%+ of company value given single lead asset concentration. Dravet syndrome trials face challenges with heterogeneous patient populations and placebo response variability.

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for novel mechanism (TANGO platform untested in approved therapies). FDA may require additional safety data or longer-term follow-up given pediatric population and chronic dosing requirements.

Reimbursement risk in rare disease markets: payers increasingly scrutinizing ultra-orphan drug pricing despite small patient populations (estimated 5,000-8,000 Dravet patients in US).

Investor Profile

growth/momentum - Attracts speculative biotech investors focused on binary clinical catalysts and high-risk/high-reward profiles. The 220% one-year return and 70% six-month return indicate momentum-driven trading. Pre-revenue clinical-stage assets appeal to investors willing to underwrite 3-5 year timelines to commercialization with potential 5-10x returns on successful approval, but total loss on failure. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative cash flows and no dividend. Hedge funds and biotech-focused funds dominate ownership.

Watch on Earnings
STK-001 Phase 3 trial enrollment completion date and top-line data readout timing (expected 2026-2027)Monthly convulsive seizure frequency reduction in trial patients (primary endpoint, target >30% improvement vs placebo)Quarterly cash burn rate and total cash/equivalents (runway calculation critical for financing risk assessment)FDA interactions and regulatory feedback on approval strategy (accelerated vs traditional pathway)
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
45/100
Liquidity
8.99Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
-54.4xConcern
ROE
-48.8%Concern
ROIC
-45.4%Concern
Cash
$84MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE15 analysts
BUY
+33.0%upside to target
L $35.00
Med $40.00consensus
H $60.00
Buy
1280%
Hold
320%
12 Buy (80%)3 Hold (20%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 8.99 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 16.6%

-11.5% vs SMA 50 · +3.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI38.5
Momentum fading
MACD-0.66
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$40.22+33.7%
EMA 50
$33.38+11.0%
Current
$30.08
EMA 200
$27.63-8.1%
52W Low
$9.09-69.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$9.0967th %ile$40.22
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)722K
Recent Vol (5D)
561K-22%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$188.8M
$185.9M$190.8M
$0.12
±50%
High8
FY2026(current)
$26.4M
$11.6M$42.2M
-86.0%-$3.22
±6%
High8
FY2027
$46.6M
$33.9M$56.0M
+76.5%-$3.12
±25%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySTOK
Last 8Q
+86.1%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+19%
Q3'24
+10%
Q4'24
+65%
Q1'25
+614%
Q2'25
+30%
Q3'25
-20%
Q4'25
-29%
Q1'26
+1%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Cowen & Co.Buy
Mar 26
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral
May 1
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $74K sold · 30d window
Ticho BarryCHIEF MEDICAL …
$74K
May 1
SELL
Ticho BarryCHIEF MEDICAL …
$60K
Apr 1
SELL
Allan JonathanGENERAL COUNSE…
$292K
Mar 20
SELL
Allan JonathanGENERAL COUNSE…
$21K
Mar 20
SELL
Ticho BarryCHIEF MEDICAL …
$117K
Mar 17
SELL
Ticho BarryCHIEF MEDICAL …
$86K
Mar 17
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP
5.6M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
5.4M
3
FMR LLC
5.4M
4
Lynx1 Capital Management LP
4.8M
5
Redmile Group, LLC
4.2M
6
MORGAN STANLEY
3.4M
7
BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP
3.3M
8
TORONTO DOMINION BANK
3.2M
News & Activity

STOK News

About

stoke is developing antisense oligonucleotide medicines that target rna splicing to increase gene expression for the treatment of severe genetic diseases.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Edward Kaye
Isabel AznarezCo-Founder, Head of Research & Senior Vice President
Susan WillsonVice President of Corporate Communications
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
STOK
$30.08-1.07%$1.9B+40450.0%-373.3%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.70%50.3+347628.4%-3555.3%1500