SUNC
Next earnings: Jun 3, 2026
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.56%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull UptrendAbove 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
70.30
Open
71.23
Day Range69.84 – 71.71
69.84
71.71
52W Range47.00 – 71.71
47.00
71.71
99% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
567.4K
Float
43.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
7.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
$9.43
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+1.56%
5D
+8.25%
1M
+18.29%
3M
+29.54%
6M
+45.77%
YTD
+44.89%
1Y
+43.55%
Best: 6M (+45.77%)
Quick Read
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
NEUTRAL
11% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 8x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.4 · FCF $4.95/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.07B
Revenue TTM$19.29B
Net Income TTM$161.38M
Free Cash Flow$325.47M
Gross Margin10.9%
Net Margin0.7%
Operating Margin5.4%
Return on Equity5.5%
Return on Assets0.5%
Debt / Equity5.96
Current Ratio1.40
EPS TTM$2.76
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Wholesale fuel distribution volumes and cents-per-gallon margin spreads - seasonal driving patterns and regional demand shifts directly impact throughput

Retail same-store merchandise sales growth and in-store margin expansion - higher-margin convenience items drive profitability disproportionately

Acquisition activity and terminal network expansion - strategic M&A to densify geographic footprint and capture market share

Distribution coverage ratio and distribution growth announcements - as a master limited partnership structure, distribution sustainability drives unit price performance

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Fuel demand exhibits moderate cyclicality tied to miles driven, commercial activity, and consumer mobility. Economic expansions increase commercial trucking volumes and discretionary driving, while recessions reduce demand by 3-5%. However, gasoline demand is relatively inelastic in the short term as transportation remains essential. Convenience store merchandise sales show higher sensitivity to consumer spending patterns, with premium categories (prepared food, beverages) declining faster during downturns while value items remain resilient.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) higher financing costs on the company's floating-rate debt (approximately 40-50% of total debt), directly impacting distributable cash flow, and (2) valuation multiple compression as yield-oriented investors compare distribution yields to risk-free rates. A 100bp rate increase typically reduces valuation multiples by 10-15% for midstream MLPs. However, the fee-based model provides some insulation compared to commodity-exposed energy companies.

Key Risks

Long-term electric vehicle adoption reducing gasoline demand - EV penetration above 30% of fleet (estimated 2035-2040 timeframe) would materially impact volumes, though commercial diesel demand remains more resilient

Regulatory changes including renewable fuel standards (RFS) mandates, carbon pricing, or fuel efficiency standards that could compress distribution economics or accelerate demand decline

Retail format disruption from electric charging infrastructure, autonomous vehicles, or changing consumer convenience preferences reducing store traffic and merchandise sales

Investor Profile

dividend - The MLP structure and 7-9% distribution yield (estimated from 3.9% FCF yield and payout dynamics) attracts income-focused investors seeking tax-advantaged distributions. The stable, fee-based cash flows appeal to investors prioritizing yield sustainability over growth. However, K-1 tax reporting complexity limits retail investor appeal, concentrating ownership among institutional investors comfortable with partnership structures and energy infrastructure specialists.

Watch on Earnings
US gasoline demand (EIA weekly product supplied) and regional inventory levels indicating supply-demand balanceRetail gasoline prices (GASPRICE) and crack spreads affecting dealer profitability and volume incentivesMiles driven (FHWA vehicle miles traveled) as leading indicator for fuel consumption trendsConsumer sentiment (UMCSENT) predicting discretionary driving and convenience store spending patterns
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
19/100
Liquidity
1.40Watch
Leverage
5.96Concern
Coverage
2.8xWatch
ROE
5.5%Concern
ROIC
3.5%Concern
Cash
$891MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
BUY
+7.1%upside to target
L $73.00
Med $76.50consensus
H $80.00
Buy
2100%
2 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
6 of 7 signals bullish
9/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$63.05 (+13.2%)
Above SMA 200$56.74 (+25.8%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +11.1%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.40
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$71.71+0.4%
Current
$71.40
SMA 50
$63.05-11.7%
SMA 200
$56.74-20.5%
52W Low
$47.00-34.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$47.0099th %ile$71.71
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$25.2B
$25.2B$25.2B
$5.16
Low2
FY2026(current)
$41.4B
$41.4B$41.4B
+64.5%$4.02-22.0%
Low1
FY2027
$41.7B
$41.7B$41.7B
+0.7%$7.29+81.2%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySUNC
Last 4Q
-13.8%avg beat
Beat 1 of 4 quartersMissed 2
Q4'25
-8%
Q1'26
-76%
Q1'26
+28%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Raymond JamesStrong Buy
Jan 5
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends2.69% yield
1 yr of payments
Annual Yield2.69%
Quarterly Div.$0.9900
Est. Annual / Share$3.96
FrequencyQuarterly
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 2 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Neuberger Berman Group LLC
1.3M
2
QV Investors Inc.
1.2M
3
Invesco Ltd.
1.1M
4
UBS Group AG
1.1M
5
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
869K
6
Clearbridge Investments, LLC
717K
7
iA Global Asset Management Inc.
611K
8
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
492K
News & Activity

SUNC News

About

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